Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
221
lifetime
Volume
$757
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$21
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-01 13:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
46% 100% +$2
Other
28%
Tech
19%
Sports
4% 50% $-1
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes -21 $-6 32¢ $-7 $-0 06-08 00:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 06-07 23:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +17 $5 24¢ $4 $-1 06-07 23:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-07 23:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 22¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 13:39
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +4 $2 26¢ $1 $-1 06-08 00:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 07-01 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +13 $3 $0 $-3 06-13 18:28