Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$760

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 08-04 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$2

Other

28% — —

Tech

19% — —

Sports

4% 50% $-1

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$113	69	61	+8	open	—	04-02 16:29
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	4	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 08:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$63	42	42	+0	open	—	04-05 07:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$62	49	43	+6	open	—	03-30 11:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$32	17	15	+2	open	—	03-27 17:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$26	100	92	+8	open	—	07-01 13:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	03-25 16:28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-07 21:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$20	169	164	+5	open	—	06-15 13:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$20	138	138	+0	open	—	03-27 15:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 16:54
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$17	32	29	+3	open	—	04-20 07:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 15:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$16	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 08:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$15	10	5	+5	open	—	03-28 20:49
mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	4	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-31 11:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-14 21:03
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 06:53
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$9	14	10	+4	open	—	06-08 07:47
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	6	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	03-24 14:15
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	06-14 21:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$7	10	8	+2	Yes	+$2	03-03 18:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	06-08 07:47
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-13 08:38
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	1	$6	0	21	-21	open	—	06-08 00:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$6	7	1	+5	open	—	04-13 08:37
cl up or down on march 2 2026	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-02 11:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$5	5	3	+1	open	—	04-15 15:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	06-07 23:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-25 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 12:12:59	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa8b0ea…
08-03 05:41:18	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by july 31 2026 20260626210612732	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc70204…
07-13 22:20:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x91df2a…
07-01 13:42:55	will the announcers say what a save during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154122	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcea79c…
07-01 13:42:47	will the announcers say patience during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154117	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x75d723…
07-01 13:39:08	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x851df0…
07-01 13:38:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6c1d65…
07-01 13:38:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	13¢	$12	0x715c06…
06-15 13:36:33	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x490ac6…
06-15 13:36:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xc78843…
06-14 21:54:09	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x95bd69…
06-14 21:49:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x52c29d…
06-14 21:03:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1030de…
06-14 20:58:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb1551f…
06-14 20:58:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x45f056…
06-13 18:29:22	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3a1b1e…
06-13 18:29:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x8924d4…
06-13 18:28:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x59083f…
06-12 08:28:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xead436…
06-09 21:46:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xcfcd91…
06-09 21:46:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	5¢	$6	0x9d75da…
06-08 07:47:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6c38bc…
06-08 07:47:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x552fb0…
06-08 07:46:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9d4db3…
06-08 07:46:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x62f27a…
06-08 00:08:40	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0xddba1e…
06-08 00:07:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfd4d00…
06-08 00:05:03	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xcd8fca…
06-08 00:04:30	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8da636…
06-08 00:03:49	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd28490…
06-08 00:02:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xc5b754…
06-08 00:01:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0558bd…
06-08 00:01:36	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc3b453…
06-08 00:01:03	will trump say sex in june	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x11cc8c…
06-07 23:21:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6a7bc0…
06-07 23:21:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x686a57…
06-07 23:21:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x61531d…
06-07 23:20:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xea6cd9…
06-07 23:20:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9b8bc2…
05-28 18:02:37	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2987aa…
05-24 06:53:09	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x12b9e7…
05-21 22:55:26	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc1de4…
05-15 14:40:57	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3960a…
05-13 17:13:05	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd2e650…
04-20 07:08:06	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd3f543…
04-20 07:07:54	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x313dae…
04-15 15:37:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x30652d…
04-15 15:37:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd3bff9…
04-15 15:37:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4cdd3d…
04-14 16:54:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7730ea…
04-14 13:27:01	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x54b183…
04-13 08:38:01	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x071caf…
04-13 08:37:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3766be…
04-13 08:37:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4e6445…
04-12 22:07:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd7497…
04-12 22:07:09	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd304f…
04-12 22:06:17	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4315fe…
04-12 22:06:11	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x99a692…
04-12 17:40:45	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x83b8a3…
04-12 17:39:21	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xa26589…
04-12 17:38:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbba00f…
04-12 17:38:21	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdc023f…
04-12 17:38:15	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc2f3ce…
04-11 19:33:53	Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe644af…
04-11 19:33:19	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbedb4d…
04-11 19:33:13	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xf13e03…
04-10 05:20:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc4580a…
04-10 05:20:33	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x22dbab…
04-07 21:54:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0695f6…
04-07 21:54:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x55bc27…
04-07 21:54:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x24dad5…
04-07 21:53:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xf797e3…
04-07 15:54:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfc7480…
04-07 15:54:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x633ead…
04-05 07:39:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xda9efb…
04-04 20:13:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd892c7…
04-04 20:13:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x821f3e…
04-02 16:30:09	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf11e2c…
04-02 16:29:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xaa2b2b…
04-02 16:29:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xb08a24…
03-31 11:05:39	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x3335eb…
03-31 11:05:19	mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd60c2e…
03-30 11:07:04	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xddd926…
03-30 11:06:52	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xe0b2e0…
03-30 11:06:24	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa43ffb…
03-30 11:06:20	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x588578…
03-29 16:34:58	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x69eec9…
03-29 16:34:46	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xfa1706…
03-29 16:34:24	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3dcbfd…
03-29 16:33:58	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x09e088…
03-29 16:33:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x8c6c0f…
03-29 16:33:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x5d68fb…
03-29 09:44:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x5b1668…
03-29 09:44:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x7fa629…
03-28 20:49:42	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6231f2…
03-28 20:49:30	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdddea7…
03-28 13:53:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x31cabc…
03-28 13:53:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xaf21f8…
03-28 13:52:09	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xc6eb44…
03-28 11:21:37	mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9a6107…