Nutty-Washcloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.23K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

393

lifetime

Volume

$50.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$443

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-06 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 75% +$87

Politics

30% 50% $-2,321

Other

22% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	No	-252	$-233	99¢	$-250	$-17	06-02 03:36
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+119	$100	82¢	$97	$-3	05-29 06:42
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+126	$100	76¢	$96	$-4	05-29 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$2.6K	2,700	0	+2,700	open	—	02-02 05:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$2.6K	1,769	1,769	+0	open	—	03-09 07:10
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-06 01:11
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$1.9K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	03-05 10:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$1.9K	1,140	923	+217	open	—	03-09 07:39
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	4	$1.7K	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	01-08 08:03
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	16	$1.6K	1,625	1,495	+130	open	—	02-05 13:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1.6K	0	3,943	-3,943	Yes	$-2,366	02-18 20:35
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.6K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	02-02 05:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-08 00:12
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.2K	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	03-02 23:41
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	4	$1.2K	1,548	0	+1,548	open	—	02-03 03:25
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	Yes	+$42	03-04 07:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$979	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-30 06:47
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$967	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-30 06:48
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$935	0	936	-936	open	—	01-04 08:43
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-22 09:50
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$900	955	0	+955	open	—	01-06 12:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$877	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 00:12
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	6	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-12 09:24
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$857	904	0	+904	open	—	04-03 06:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$834	564	564	+0	open	—	01-19 11:48
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	7	$812	1,054	154	+900	open	—	02-02 05:43
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$600	613	0	+613	open	—	02-22 03:03
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$500	663	663	+0	open	—	03-04 07:37
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$417	400	400	+0	open	—	02-02 05:55
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	1	$400	421	0	+421	open	—	01-15 06:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$400	421	0	+421	open	—	03-29 05:44
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	2	$400	416	0	+416	open	—	01-15 05:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$300	375	0	+375	open	—	01-15 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 12:05:00	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5fed0e…
06-02 03:36:32	Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	No	SELL	252	92¢	$233	0x97fb0f…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xec4291…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xbe190e…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9cd2d2…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x769d92…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x491d89…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x40fa07…
05-29 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x3136bc…
05-29 06:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x513ad4…
05-29 06:42:26	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x2c14a2…
05-29 06:42:15	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd52571…
05-26 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xccfa73…
05-26 07:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x798557…
05-26 07:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2df510…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0xd3ed76…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xadddb5…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xa9963b…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x806787…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x7bbf7c…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x785f9d…
05-26 07:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x505ae8…
05-26 07:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	136	81¢	$110	0x4e0ef4…
05-26 07:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x6618f8…
05-26 07:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xfc3b1f…
05-26 07:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x462a8a…
05-26 07:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x4641ba…
05-26 07:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc29cdb…
05-26 06:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x48afbf…
05-26 06:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x085c49…
05-26 06:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x249e10…
05-26 06:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e1fec…
05-22 04:21:38	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa5b0a7…
05-22 04:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3f448a…
05-22 03:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xedbded…
05-22 03:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xda6b16…
05-20 07:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8b70e5…
05-20 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7b1f9d…
05-20 04:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe694d4…
05-20 04:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6263b1…
04-21 07:30:58	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x4427d1…
04-21 06:49:14	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0x55757d…
04-21 06:49:00	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x66cafc…
04-08 00:12:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	282	0¢	$1	0x73f2a7…
04-08 00:12:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$7	0xea84c0…
04-08 00:12:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,600	1¢	$16	0x5b061f…
04-04 04:08:15	btc updown 5m 1775275500	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3e894f…
04-03 08:13:15	btc updown 5m 1775203800	Down	BUY	74	91¢	$67	0x877216…
04-03 08:13:15	btc updown 5m 1775203800	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x67e260…
04-03 08:13:15	btc updown 5m 1775203800	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x0af808…
04-03 08:03:17	Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf087a2…
04-03 07:53:41	btc updown 5m 1775202600	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x9ce52d…
04-03 07:47:19	btc updown 5m 1775202300	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x58df62…
04-03 07:46:37	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 4 2026 24c	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2a4007…
04-03 07:46:17	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 4 2026 26c	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x09ffee…
04-03 07:45:57	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 4 2026 25c	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd2b5f3…
04-03 06:13:37	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x572804…
04-03 06:13:31	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x9fcb7f…
04-03 06:12:17	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0xdd5a35…
04-03 06:08:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x2e20e7…
04-03 06:07:49	will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xafde24…
04-02 06:59:19	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd45fe3…
04-02 05:48:27	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x4271c6…
04-02 02:49:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x40b83d…
04-02 02:47:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xe452b3…
04-02 02:47:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x70fec1…
04-02 01:48:07	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7787f5…
04-02 01:47:19	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0f6e4f…
04-02 01:47:07	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xe88f67…
04-02 01:46:47	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc2d21c…
04-02 01:46:41	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x354b25…
04-02 01:46:35	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72482d…
04-02 01:46:29	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xacc5b5…
04-02 01:46:21	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6805a7…
04-01 06:53:45	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xdc7419…
04-01 00:01:03	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x98ebce…
03-31 17:56:57	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0b8263…
03-31 16:10:41	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xaa29cc…
03-31 15:30:41	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x90abe3…
03-31 14:36:31	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	634	1¢	$5	0x13e395…
03-31 14:07:53	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x60f609…
03-31 14:07:45	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x4e454d…
03-31 14:06:47	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x05d1c1…
03-31 14:06:37	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in march 2026	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x2e7f69…
03-31 11:54:01	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x65084d…
03-31 07:51:05	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x4c4a6d…
03-31 07:24:15	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xbd43b2…
03-31 07:05:51	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xc0bb6d…
03-31 06:11:49	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x111525…
03-31 05:48:55	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x066fc9…
03-31 05:11:21	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x20ed95…
03-31 05:11:07	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xea1c1f…
03-31 05:11:07	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xba92b7…
03-31 04:53:47	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x4d53c1…
03-31 04:45:29	grok 5 released by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	146	0¢	$0	0x2e2572…
03-31 04:44:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	127	2¢	$3	0x17de0d…
03-31 04:43:55	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x075d74…
03-31 04:40:39	will hong kong have between 160 170mm of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4a93aa…
03-31 04:40:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xdf498e…
03-31 04:12:19	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x00b63a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	138	$56.6K	22,289	04-16 21:02
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	136	$27.8K	5,443	05-25 11:16
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	135	$789.4K	14,783	06-08 11:49
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	132	$144.1K	13,920	04-01 04:25
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	132	$18.6K	10,166	05-25 11:45
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	113	$7.03K	1,511	03-27 19:42
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	111	$280.5K	24,028	04-30 19:52
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	111	$80.9K	6,115	05-29 19:26