Guilty-Forebear 0x4fad59…39d264
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$999
Unrealized P&L
+$380
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
783
Trades
2,041
lifetime
Volume
$102.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$10.6K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
59% 56% -$546
Tech
19% 90% +$516
Politics
16% 55% -$1,307
Sports
4% 67% +$413
Crypto
2% 61% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -2,035 -$1,931 96¢ $-1952 -$21 10-13 18:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -1,733 -$1,636 95¢ $-1652 -$16 10-31 07:01
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,443 -$1,389 96¢ $-1386 +$2 10-31 07:00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,933 $1,370 72¢ $1.4K +$12 10-31 09:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1,043 -$1,014 97¢ $-1015 -$1 10-17 18:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +814 $700 94¢ $769 +$69 10-31 09:32
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +616 $450 74¢ $453 +$3 10-31 09:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +625 $450 70¢ $441 -$9 10-31 09:34
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +435 $300 68¢ $298 -$2 10-31 09:34
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +233 $200 96¢ $224 +$24 05-13 06:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -309 -$257 55¢ $-170 +$88 08-14 16:43
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +160 -$14 94¢ $151 +$165 07-13 02:23
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +288 $159 52¢ $149 -$10 10-31 09:38
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +204 $130 69¢ $141 +$11 10-31 17:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +167 $110 70¢ $118 +$8 10-20 02:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +122 $100 94¢ $114 +$14 05-13 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +102 $50 70¢ $72 +$22 08-02 17:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +69 $50 92¢ $63 +$13 07-14 02:33
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $30 68¢ $38 +$8 09-28 03:46