Remorseful-Advertisement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,014

lifetime

Volume

$39.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$1.15K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-15 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

78% 64% -$4,519

Other

22% 73% +$894

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-946	-$879	96¢	$-906	-$27	05-11 02:35
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-206	-$176	97¢	$-199	-$23	06-09 02:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-162	-$54	14¢	$-23	+$30	05-09 06:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-19	-$16	94¢	$-18	-$2	05-16 21:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	46	$9.5K	6,704	3,802	+2,902	No	+$824	03-21 06:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	128	$3.1K	1,858	1,858	+0	No	+$643	04-14 07:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	38	$2.6K	2,681	2,755	-74	Yes	-$2,459	04-07 23:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$1.7K	1,250	469	+781	Yes	+$11	04-08 06:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	26	$1.7K	2,180	0	+2,180	No	+$522	03-24 20:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	34	$1.5K	1,919	1,702	+217	Yes	-$1,404	04-07 23:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	24	$1.4K	912	564	+348	No	+$18	03-24 20:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$1.1K	2,170	1,200	+970	Yes	+$168	01-30 21:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	58	$1.1K	728	728	+0	No	-$77	05-09 08:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,739	0	+1,739	Yes	-$1,066	02-25 06:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$879	0	946	-946	open	—	05-11 02:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$853	998	0	+998	No	+$145	04-21 03:35
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	14	$814	824	0	+824	No	+$9	04-22 07:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$754	1,110	1,110	+0	Yes	-$724	04-07 23:34
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	10	$626	369	369	+0	No	+$98	03-11 05:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$554	567	0	+567	Yes	+$12	06-15 04:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$554	714	0	+714	Yes	-$554	02-21 01:51
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	8	$530	549	0	+549	Yes	+$18	02-02 20:34
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$514	738	0	+738	No	+$224	04-04 08:13
ice shooter fired by march 31	4	$502	579	0	+579	No	+$78	02-14 04:07
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$488	551	0	+551	No	+$63	04-10 14:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	10	$468	710	0	+710	Yes	+$243	02-25 18:31
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	25	$426	553	154	+399	Yes	-$7	02-25 00:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$336	358	0	+358	Yes	-$336	05-05 01:32
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$285	271	125	+146	Yes	+$38	02-22 09:19
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$256	132	132	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 02:28
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	19	$253	253	159	+94	Yes	-$146	03-26 20:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$241	250	0	+250	No	+$9	04-10 02:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$236	250	0	+250	Yes	+$14	03-03 15:03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$231	153	153	+0	Yes	+$75	02-28 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:34:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	87¢	$161	0x813e90…
06-15 07:34:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	87¢	$56	0x034501…
06-15 05:15:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x161ff8…
06-15 05:03:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0xb135d6…
06-15 04:43:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcd3e60…
06-15 04:43:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x134557…
06-15 04:39:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xce4255…
06-15 04:38:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	567	98¢	$554	0xcf56e5…
06-09 02:33:30	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0x6d2d75…
06-08 22:42:15	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xabccf8…
06-08 14:21:55	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xfff926…
06-08 11:44:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xce6c4d…
06-08 09:51:33	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x828c9a…
06-08 05:41:07	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xbac9e6…
06-08 03:40:06	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xc2a6b5…
06-07 21:14:39	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xead58e…
06-07 21:07:58	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x08756c…
06-07 19:37:37	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x524ae0…
06-07 18:05:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xce3494…
06-07 18:04:39	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x96ada5…
06-07 13:06:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x827bb8…
06-07 08:46:42	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xa12007…
06-07 07:46:40	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x713af6…
06-07 07:35:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xf06202…
06-07 07:28:40	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x425b13…
06-07 06:29:19	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x007cb9…
06-06 14:53:24	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x95af3c…
06-06 13:02:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x242d7a…
06-06 09:44:18	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x005ac6…
06-06 09:43:37	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x27f6d2…
06-06 06:09:15	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xc25945…
06-05 23:31:48	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x7a6828…
06-05 19:35:25	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xfddefb…
06-05 19:21:09	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$16	0x106e5a…
06-05 18:07:28	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x399ca1…
06-05 18:07:07	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd55e4c…
06-05 14:36:54	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xde4cb8…
06-05 00:57:36	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xbcf3f9…
06-04 22:01:33	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x219eb6…
06-02 05:40:14	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x8f73fd…
05-25 11:42:04	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x66a3c6…
05-25 07:36:38	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x4ada05…
05-25 02:00:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x99f6e9…
05-24 11:57:18	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x23331d…
05-24 09:31:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x9453e5…
05-24 05:27:10	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6987ff…
05-24 02:05:50	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$0	0xc4f136…
05-23 21:13:04	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xd2c6a0…
05-23 20:35:42	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x86a19d…
05-23 20:28:02	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7b2dd6…
05-23 20:04:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x64a74f…
05-22 09:54:13	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4f6277…
05-22 09:40:11	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x7fd25d…
05-22 09:33:11	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x02479e…
05-22 07:46:11	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x59993b…
05-22 04:52:47	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x8c00f3…
05-22 03:25:26	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xb8efef…
05-22 03:08:25	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x595aa9…
05-22 02:52:05	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x67ccae…
05-22 02:04:05	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe3d0b5…
05-22 00:03:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x255780…
05-21 20:29:38	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd42c15…
05-21 17:59:36	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xa65887…
05-21 16:01:33	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x23da81…
05-21 14:04:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9919cc…
05-21 09:18:28	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xb85444…
05-21 07:32:46	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xdaa43a…
05-21 02:40:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$0	0x715db9…
05-21 01:45:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x2f4f69…
05-21 01:25:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x0d1906…
05-20 21:43:00	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe25551…
05-20 20:16:03	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xffc2a2…
05-20 17:11:59	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xa504a7…
05-20 16:46:36	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf25547…
05-20 07:44:08	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x939637…
05-20 05:39:27	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x4c14e0…
05-20 02:02:23	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd30045…
05-20 02:01:45	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xa31570…
05-20 02:00:26	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x826f0d…
05-20 01:59:25	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbace5f…
05-20 01:58:23	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x7864b6…
05-20 01:57:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x12f4b4…
05-20 01:56:42	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x4a969f…
05-20 01:54:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xae601a…
05-20 01:54:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x5d2b8e…
05-19 20:54:37	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xc6f877…
05-19 18:34:55	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x32917e…
05-19 16:19:33	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf0530a…
05-19 15:47:38	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x9e8988…
05-19 14:09:10	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x59600d…
05-19 09:33:05	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x7fbfcc…
05-19 01:06:27	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd01604…
05-18 23:13:45	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$0	0x927c6e…
05-18 21:52:04	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x1d0565…
05-18 18:23:59	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xd2c4d0…
05-18 16:48:17	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x06b19a…
05-18 16:41:17	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xed6ebe…
05-18 16:32:38	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x2c89e5…
05-18 16:22:57	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x715611…
05-18 15:53:36	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x457b46…