Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

80 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$97

$1.27K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-06 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 44% +$33

Other

26% 33% -$45

Politics

7% 29% -$39

Sports

1% 50% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+79	$10	9¢	$7	-$3	11-06 10:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	2	$137	94	94	+0	Yes	+$41	03-04 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:05 UTC	4	$112	117	117	+0	Up	+$32	08-28 08:10
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	2	$99	54	54	+0	Yes	+$9	09-07 03:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 5	2	$96	52	52	+0	Yes	+$6	03-04 10:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	2	$55	36	36	+0	Up	+$15	09-27 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:15 UTC	2	$50	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	08-29 09:20
will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	1	$50	75	0	+75	Yes	+$25	03-01 19:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$34	83	83	+0	No	-$6	03-02 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$32	125	125	+0	Up	-$8	08-08 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:30 UTC	2	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$10	08-29 09:32
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	2	$30	37	37	+0	No	-$10	03-06 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$25	22	22	+0	Up	+$18	11-06 10:20
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	03-26 11:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$20	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	1	$20	42	0	+42	Down	-$20	10-13 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:10 UTC	1	$20	100	0	+100	Up	-$20	09-08 09:12
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	1	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$20	06-14 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$20	50	0	+50	Up	-$20	10-26 12:05
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	1	$20	48	0	+48	Yes	+$28	06-17 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:05 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	08-28 13:05
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	1	$20	38	0	+38	No	-$20	06-18 10:07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	-$20	06-14 19:13
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	06-10 17:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-01 10:15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$15	61	0	+61	No	-$15	07-11 09:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	1	$15	19	0	+19	No	-$15	03-04 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$12	250	250	+0	Down	-$8	10-31 20:23
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	04-03 05:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$10	79	0	+79	open	—	11-06 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$10	51	0	+51	No	-$10	05-16 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x515321…
11-06 10:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0xa0fb8d…
11-06 10:15:10	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x467cfd…
10-31 20:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xa9fdd9…
10-31 20:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x0cf405…
10-26 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x56deb8…
10-26 12:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x059609…
10-13 18:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xa62ae3…
10-03 10:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x972e85…
09-27 12:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x878d0f…
09-27 12:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xfb6a00…
09-08 09:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x38149c…
09-07 03:34:27	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x74835a…
09-06 17:28:57	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0x72770e…
09-04 04:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x763d53…
08-29 09:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xa35f1f…
08-29 09:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xbb6326…
08-29 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x5b508f…
08-29 09:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x920663…
08-29 06:38:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf090eb…
08-28 13:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x6e47c3…
08-28 08:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x98aea4…
08-28 08:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x2f9102…
08-28 08:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x0d1005…
08-28 08:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	69	36¢	$25	0x012d1f…
08-28 08:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x02fe21…
08-08 17:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	125	10¢	$12	0xcb580a…
08-08 17:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xfcccac…
07-24 13:43:21	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x449ce4…
07-24 13:42:40	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2aaed6…
07-11 09:40:32	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0xc21064…
07-07 10:07:11	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x27e1f7…
07-02 05:36:08	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x5e8054…
06-18 10:07:19	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x185cbd…
06-17 07:41:44	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xa32477…
06-17 07:41:04	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x743406…
06-15 09:32:49	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe4dc36…
06-14 19:15:07	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3e2dff…
06-14 19:14:24	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x83d5f3…
06-14 19:13:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x51dd2b…
06-14 07:40:27	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8730ec…
06-14 07:38:49	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x45dfb4…
06-10 17:24:07	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x40849f…
06-10 17:23:10	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	833	0¢	$3	0x7212bd…
06-10 17:22:55	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x97b754…
05-17 05:31:49	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xe38280…
05-16 13:44:18	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x49f381…
05-16 13:41:41	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x668a11…
05-16 13:39:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x6d552d…
05-16 13:36:52	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x92fb11…
05-01 10:25:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	56	19¢	$10	0xaf8b0b…
05-01 10:22:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4674c3…
04-11 05:28:25	will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb78eed…
04-03 05:10:57	Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xda8500…
04-03 05:08:07	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x1b23e8…
04-01 10:15:59	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xa725e7…
04-01 10:15:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$9	0x157fac…
03-29 08:15:30	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	148	1¢	$1	0x05040e…
03-26 11:52:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xf6e453…
03-17 17:27:37	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xcf562e…
03-14 20:38:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x34ba4f…
03-14 20:36:01	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf0e0eb…
03-13 18:12:35	will iran be said on the next episode of the joe rogan experience	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xfc70d1…
03-13 18:11:49	will israel be said on the next episode of the joe rogan experience	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xda8b2b…
03-13 18:09:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9c6e63…
03-13 18:05:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x696a3a…
03-11 14:04:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 11	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfe46c1…
03-07 17:17:49	will bitcoin dip to 65000 on march 7	Yes	BUY	266	4¢	$10	0x916ae4…
03-07 17:06:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x80fd59…
03-06 20:54:59	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0xd4fa1b…
03-04 19:48:03	will trumps remarks not air	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x796aaa…
03-04 17:17:13	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xbb163e…
03-04 17:16:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 5	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xa8c3f1…
03-04 10:26:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 5	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xc75be6…
03-04 09:17:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	SELL	94	94¢	$89	0x53d7e7…
03-03 16:39:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x1b2e2a…
03-02 19:51:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$14	0xd45b3e…
03-01 19:22:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 5	Yes	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x505935…
03-01 19:19:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xf56b3d…
03-01 16:22:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x8e3494…