Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$786

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

5,427

Trades

5,863

lifetime

Volume

$168.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-12 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 98% $-229

Politics

12% 45% $-64

Other

10% 38% +$289

Sports

3% 25% $-637

Tech

1% 25% $-145

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	38	$4.9K	5,101	4,768	+333	No	$-175	06-26 21:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	13	$2.7K	2,451	2,451	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$2.5K	2,361	2,361	+0	open	—	07-08 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$2.2K	2,321	1,381	+940	No	+$229	06-19 10:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	24	$2.2K	2,581	2,542	+39	No	$-51	06-19 16:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	34	$2.1K	2,213	2,213	+0	No	$-65	07-07 20:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	26	$1.9K	2,001	1,753	+248	Yes	$-92	06-14 12:34
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	19	$1.8K	1,294	1,294	+0	No	$-0	06-08 20:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	5	$1.6K	970	970	+0	open	—	06-10 21:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.6K	927	927	+0	open	—	06-30 08:32
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	20	$1.4K	1,201	1,201	+0	Yes	$-2	07-03 15:01
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	7	$1.3K	1,030	1,030	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$0	05-30 05:48
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$1.2K	1,030	1,030	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$0	06-01 15:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.0K	560	1,137	-577	No	+$104	05-27 19:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$1.0K	628	628	+0	open	—	07-08 22:04
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	9	$989	1,030	1,030	+0	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-19 14:46
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$988	1,733	0	+1,733	Minnesota Twins	$-988	05-22 16:10
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	6	$886	672	672	+0	Yes	+$27	07-12 07:54
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$848	461	461	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$702	413	413	+0	No	+$0	05-30 22:37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	4	$689	1,030	295	+735	Philadelphia Phillies	+$353	05-25 19:50
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$669	631	631	+0	open	—	06-18 17:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$667	657	626	+31	Yes	$-10	05-22 23:57
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	10	$658	433	433	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 14:58
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	3	$646	960	960	+0	Yes	$-84	06-08 12:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	2	$592	423	423	+0	open	—	07-01 16:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	9	$584	728	728	+0	No	$-6	07-12 14:47
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	3	$574	404	404	+0	No	+$0	07-08 09:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	2	$536	576	576	+0	No	$-63	06-01 23:43
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	5	$535	354	354	+0	No	+$0	06-09 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:47:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	311	31¢	$97	0xce7b53…
07-12 14:46:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xcce15f…
07-12 14:45:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0x196dc1…
07-12 14:44:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x9f0ffa…
07-12 14:41:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xc2dc6a…
07-12 14:41:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x52946c…
07-12 14:41:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	387	33¢	$128	0x3d55e1…
07-12 07:54:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	272	59¢	$160	0xabc6c1…
07-12 05:28:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	272	49¢	$133	0x4a5b9f…
07-12 01:17:43	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x1b7f9e…
07-11 23:16:13	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xd4e7be…
07-11 10:20:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	258	36¢	$93	0x027535…
07-11 09:40:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	44	36¢	$16	0xe625fb…
07-11 08:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	302	36¢	$109	0xd6706a…
07-11 08:49:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	261	83¢	$217	0x1e97dd…
07-11 08:10:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xa94898…
07-10 22:40:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x0a24e7…
07-10 22:02:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0xc893bb…
07-10 22:02:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	153	47¢	$72	0x87432a…
07-10 22:01:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	134	47¢	$63	0xfa2309…
07-10 21:58:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xbdafd2…
07-10 21:18:20	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x0e03b8…
07-10 21:18:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	273	83¢	$227	0xe4a4ff…
07-08 22:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	628	83¢	$521	0x281eba…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	628	83¢	$521	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 20:24:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x5cffea…
07-08 20:20:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	199	80¢	$159	0xc2ec1c…
07-08 20:04:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x5fa609…
07-08 15:26:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	301	47¢	$141	0xa5d0ef…
07-08 13:30:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x6eb021…
07-08 13:29:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x8e3717…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	341	49¢	$167	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	341	49¢	$167	0xce0943…
07-08 09:16:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	131	71¢	$93	0x772f84…
07-08 09:16:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	273	71¢	$194	0x4087ea…
07-08 09:15:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	404	71¢	$287	0xc8f77e…
07-08 08:18:41	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	443	38¢	$168	0xf7f2c9…
07-08 02:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	38¢	$120	0xd1daff…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	37¢	$117	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	35¢	$110	0x7310fa…
07-08 02:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	36¢	$113	0x6d1fe6…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	315	35¢	$110	0x8e2aea…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	315	37¢	$117	0x83f958…
07-07 20:58:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4d83a6…
07-06 10:45:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	240	69¢	$165	0xd99356…
07-06 10:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xf8c378…
07-06 10:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x9905f3…
07-06 10:43:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x4e4001…
07-06 10:43:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	69¢	$38	0xa41dfe…
07-06 10:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0xf1e385…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	372	69¢	$256	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	777	69¢	$536	0x0cf5c7…
07-04 13:30:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	443	46¢	$204	0xa96683…
07-03 17:43:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	51¢	$53	0x48a6aa…
07-03 15:01:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	123	25¢	$31	0x81fc9b…
07-03 15:01:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x79cdfc…
07-03 15:01:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	131	25¢	$33	0xc2a730…
07-03 13:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	510	71¢	$362	0x4de2db…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	510	71¢	$362	0x44b55f…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	51¢	$53	0xd15542…
07-01 19:14:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	113	28¢	$32	0x8cb43d…
07-01 17:28:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	113	30¢	$34	0x78cca4…
07-01 16:42:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	423	70¢	$296	0x4e2ef1…
07-01 15:09:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	423	70¢	$296	0x9a8416…
07-01 13:53:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	324	81¢	$262	0x1a0937…
07-01 08:42:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	324	81¢	$262	0x3d4fa7…
06-30 08:32:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	320	86¢	$275	0x424b56…
06-30 08:22:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x715a57…
06-30 08:20:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x0729b1…
06-30 07:27:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	86¢	$303	0x322ee0…
06-29 03:57:20	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x818746…
06-29 03:56:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xc3226a…
06-26 21:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x25a365…
06-26 21:04:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x71023e…
06-26 12:20:49	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x9f9828…
06-26 11:58:59	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x334dde…
06-26 11:01:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	582	38¢	$224	0xe495c3…
06-26 09:19:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	575	87¢	$500	0x617742…
06-26 09:18:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x0490ed…
06-26 07:54:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4a0786…
06-26 07:54:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xdd79e1…
06-26 07:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xff7d39…
06-26 07:52:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0xd3ff3c…
06-26 07:52:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	572	48¢	$275	0x181333…
06-26 05:55:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	331	51¢	$169	0x25ff1a…
06-26 05:55:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	127	51¢	$65	0x4349b8…
06-26 05:55:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	83	51¢	$43	0x45f824…
06-26 05:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	210	51¢	$107	0xbe33f4…
06-26 05:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	331	51¢	$169	0x3c6af6…
06-25 12:49:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	684	62¢	$426	0x2d5b89…
06-25 11:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	684	57¢	$390	0x3a0ff2…
06-25 11:04:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x1ac863…
06-25 11:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9905a1…
06-23 05:34:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x7e2129…
06-23 05:27:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xdaef12…
06-23 05:16:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0x9f3174…
06-23 05:16:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0x0a4213…
06-23 04:21:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x1c96e1…
06-23 04:16:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8c7a83…
06-23 03:27:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	156	67¢	$105	0x7ce42d…