Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

5,465

Trades

6,145

lifetime

Volume

$193.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-12 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 98% -$258

Politics

14% 44% -$108

Other

14% 23% +$180

Sports

6% 41% +$50

Tech

2% 22% -$185

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	49	$6.1K	6,057	6,057	+0	No	+$31	06-26 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	92	$5.7K	4,983	4,983	+0	No	-$58	06-19 10:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	19	$2.9K	2,723	2,723	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$2.5K	2,361	2,361	+0	open	—	07-08 02:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	9	$2.5K	1,660	1,660	+0	open	—	06-10 21:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$2.2K	2,581	2,581	+0	No	-$39	06-19 16:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	30	$2.2K	2,214	2,214	+0	Yes	-$17	06-14 12:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	34	$2.1K	2,213	2,213	+0	No	-$65	07-07 20:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$2.0K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	07-08 22:04
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$2.0K	1,733	1,733	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$0	05-22 19:13
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	19	$1.8K	1,294	1,294	+0	No	$0	06-08 20:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.6K	927	927	+0	open	—	06-30 08:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.5K	1,313	1,313	+0	Yes	+$7	05-27 02:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	20	$1.4K	1,201	1,201	+0	Yes	-$2	07-03 15:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.4K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$46	05-30 22:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.4K	798	798	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 09:12
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	7	$1.3K	1,030	1,030	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$0	05-30 05:48
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$1.2K	1,030	1,030	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$0	06-01 15:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.1K	1,137	1,137	+0	No	+$0	05-27 19:53
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	5	$1.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	05-25 19:50
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	9	$989	1,030	1,030	+0	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-19 14:46
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$946	728	728	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 06:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$931	540	540	+0	No	+$1	06-28 11:01
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	6	$886	672	672	+0	Yes	+$27	07-12 07:54
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$848	461	461	+0	No	+$0	06-18 07:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$797	595	595	+0	No	+$0	06-02 19:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	2	$727	438	438	+0	No	+$0	05-21 20:11
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$669	631	631	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 17:04
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	10	$658	433	433	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 14:58
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	5	$655	364	364	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:51:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	142	55¢	$78	0xf72bb0…
07-12 14:47:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	311	31¢	$97	0xce7b53…
07-12 14:47:02	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	171	59¢	$101	0xac7437…
07-12 14:46:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xcce15f…
07-12 14:45:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0x196dc1…
07-12 14:44:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x9f0ffa…
07-12 14:43:25	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xa2e57e…
07-12 14:41:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xc2dc6a…
07-12 14:41:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x52946c…
07-12 14:41:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	387	33¢	$128	0x3d55e1…
07-12 07:55:29	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	134	21¢	$28	0x8964cd…
07-12 07:54:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	272	59¢	$160	0xabc6c1…
07-12 05:28:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	272	49¢	$133	0x4a5b9f…
07-12 01:17:43	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x1b7f9e…
07-11 23:16:13	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xd4e7be…
07-11 22:32:26	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$3	0x5d9e3d…
07-11 22:32:26	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$3	0x020ef1…
07-11 22:30:47	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	385	13¢	$51	0xbe2e54…
07-11 22:30:47	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	385	13¢	$51	0xa8301c…
07-11 22:30:47	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x135c78…
07-11 22:16:50	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	11¢	$42	0xe982db…
07-11 22:16:50	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	10¢	$38	0x201f8d…
07-11 22:16:49	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	12¢	$46	0x80a8c1…
07-11 18:20:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	247	50¢	$123	0xde3822…
07-11 17:33:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	247	44¢	$109	0xe42449…
07-11 10:20:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	258	36¢	$93	0x027535…
07-11 09:40:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	44	36¢	$16	0xe625fb…
07-11 08:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	302	36¢	$109	0xd6706a…
07-11 08:49:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	261	83¢	$217	0x1e97dd…
07-11 08:10:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xa94898…
07-10 22:40:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x0a24e7…
07-10 22:02:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0xc893bb…
07-10 22:02:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	153	47¢	$72	0x87432a…
07-10 22:01:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	134	47¢	$63	0xfa2309…
07-10 21:58:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xbdafd2…
07-10 21:18:20	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x0e03b8…
07-10 21:18:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	273	83¢	$227	0xe4a4ff…
07-10 15:25:02	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	116	87¢	$101	0xd4a19e…
07-10 15:24:25	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x54f7a5…
07-09 10:11:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x605240…
07-09 10:11:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	68	84¢	$57	0xbec1a3…
07-09 10:08:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x846deb…
07-09 10:06:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0xde5f3d…
07-09 10:04:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x68cb54…
07-09 09:57:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	127	84¢	$107	0x35f969…
07-08 22:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	628	83¢	$521	0x281eba…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	628	83¢	$521	0xcd9cf5…
07-08 20:24:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x5cffea…
07-08 20:20:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	199	80¢	$159	0xc2ec1c…
07-08 20:04:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x5fa609…
07-08 15:26:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	301	47¢	$141	0xa5d0ef…
07-08 13:30:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x6eb021…
07-08 13:29:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x8e3717…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	341	49¢	$167	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	341	49¢	$167	0xce0943…
07-08 09:16:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	131	71¢	$93	0x772f84…
07-08 09:16:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	273	71¢	$194	0x4087ea…
07-08 09:15:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	404	71¢	$287	0xc8f77e…
07-08 08:18:41	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	443	38¢	$168	0xf7f2c9…
07-08 02:28:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	38¢	$120	0xd1daff…
07-08 02:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	37¢	$117	0x19bb6f…
07-08 02:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	35¢	$110	0x7310fa…
07-08 02:23:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	315	36¢	$113	0x6d1fe6…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	315	35¢	$110	0x8e2aea…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	315	37¢	$117	0x83f958…
07-07 20:58:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4d83a6…
07-07 20:07:47	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	58	58¢	$34	0x89ac58…
07-07 20:06:17	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0x07761d…
07-07 09:12:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	798	85¢	$678	0xbde24f…
07-06 16:51:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	798	85¢	$678	0xff7125…
07-06 10:45:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	240	69¢	$165	0xd99356…
07-06 10:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xf8c378…
07-06 10:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x9905f3…
07-06 10:43:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x4e4001…
07-06 10:43:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	69¢	$38	0xa41dfe…
07-06 10:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0xf1e385…
07-06 10:42:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	372	69¢	$256	0x41e8e4…
07-06 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	777	69¢	$536	0x0cf5c7…
07-06 07:22:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	84¢	$53	0xb3b8e6…
07-06 07:20:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xe979a4…
07-06 07:11:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	84¢	$45	0x32e060…
07-06 07:00:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	84¢	$123	0x8f5e68…
07-06 06:50:58	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	142	64¢	$91	0xe2fff3…
07-04 19:47:49	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0xe70222…
07-04 17:11:08	Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	SELL	167	46¢	$77	0x97bc80…
07-04 16:54:13	Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	167	46¢	$77	0x377a97…
07-04 13:52:02	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x97afe0…
07-04 13:44:28	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	21¢	$20	0x5887b8…
07-04 13:37:40	Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xef71d4…
07-04 13:30:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	443	46¢	$204	0xa96683…
07-04 06:46:40	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	728	65¢	$473	0x826562…
07-04 04:28:10	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	728	65¢	$473	0xd3acb9…
07-03 17:43:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	51¢	$53	0x48a6aa…
07-03 15:01:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	123	25¢	$31	0x81fc9b…
07-03 15:01:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x79cdfc…
07-03 15:01:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	131	25¢	$33	0xc2a730…
07-03 13:24:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	510	71¢	$362	0x4de2db…
07-03 12:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	510	71¢	$362	0x44b55f…
07-03 10:03:11	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	51¢	$53	0xd15542…
07-03 06:44:05	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x556904…