Attractive-Myth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,255

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$43

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 0% $-5

Sports

28% 43% +$11

Politics

18% — —

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+137	$30	29¢	$39	+$9	07-20 18:51
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?	No	+8	$5	54¢	$5	$-0	07-18 23:36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	+33	$20	0¢	$0	$-20	06-12 20:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1767645900	2	$893	471	471	+0	open	—	01-05 21:00
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	13	$318	1,000	900	+100	open	—	01-25 08:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$288	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 21:00
btc updown 15m 1767460500	8	$246	344	113	+231	open	—	01-03 17:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$244	32	288	-255	open	—	02-02 10:25
eth updown 15m 1775409300	2	$221	129	127	+2	open	—	04-05 17:30
ethereum above 3300 on january 6	7	$214	413	310	+103	open	—	01-06 15:20
will ethereum reach 3200 december 29 january 4	9	$210	350	100	+250	open	—	01-05 01:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$186	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 20:40
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	10	$186	310	310	+0	open	—	01-07 13:38
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	3	$163	217	217	+0	open	—	01-06 07:22
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$150	312	0	+312	open	—	01-14 13:48
ethereum up or down on january 4	5	$107	250	250	+0	open	—	01-04 08:51
btc updown 5m 1776494700	2	$105	56	55	+0	open	—	04-18 06:50
will ethereum reach 3400 january 5 11	5	$103	449	0	+449	open	—	01-09 01:25
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 11:41
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$84	195	195	+0	open	—	01-23 20:28
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$74	267	100	+167	open	—	01-16 17:26
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	3	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	01-25 01:03
will the carolina panthers win the nfc south 11	2	$71	0	96	-96	open	—	01-04 20:49
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$64	100	100	+0	open	—	01-14 13:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$64	866	0	+866	open	—	04-07 23:39
mlb min bal 2026 03 29	3	$64	51	51	+0	open	—	03-29 18:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$57	200	300	-100	open	—	03-11 16:53
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$56	606	6	+600	open	—	03-15 02:37
nfl la car 2026 01 10	5	$55	225	48	+177	open	—	01-11 00:46
btc updown 15m 1767428100	2	$55	36	36	+0	open	—	01-03 08:25
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	6	$55	1,074	29	+1,044	open	—	03-01 13:21
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	3	$51	100	50	+50	open	—	01-25 05:31
will ethereum dip to 2900 december 29 january 4	1	$49	0	50	-50	open	—	01-02 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:50:15	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x4d90ea…
07-20 23:24:57	eth updown 5m 1784589600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9fa1a…
07-20 19:28:10	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	341	4¢	$15	0x184256…
07-20 19:27:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xa13e62…
07-20 19:27:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5053d6…
07-20 18:53:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1934eb…
07-20 18:53:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde1bd9…
07-20 18:51:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xb34bab…
07-20 18:50:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x96f1e0…
07-18 23:36:15	Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc03978…
07-18 23:27:21	mlb bal hou 2026 07 18	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x92974b…
07-18 23:27:07	mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa394b7…
07-14 19:34:29	eth updown 5m 1784057400	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x88b691…
07-14 19:26:58	btc updown 15m 1784056500	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa44a3d…
07-03 21:03:43	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xf5c26c…
07-03 21:01:56	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1f3a70…
07-03 21:00:31	ethereum up or down on july 4 2026	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1306a9…
07-03 20:59:41	mlb tb hou 2026 07 03	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3f5d62…
07-03 20:59:34	mlb nym atl 2026 07 03	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb708dd…
06-14 21:18:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x620928…
06-13 22:18:03	eth updown 5m 1781388900	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa0e175…
06-13 22:17:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf9b61a…
06-13 22:15:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x94e31b…
06-12 20:18:43	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x939dca…
06-12 20:14:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x2f8237…
06-12 20:13:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xa192b8…
05-20 23:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7c84a5…
05-20 23:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x13b7c3…
05-16 00:24:02	Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcaa636…
05-16 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x1d94ad…
05-16 00:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x89cb89…
05-16 00:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xae366d…
05-16 00:18:08	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x52d769…
05-16 00:17:05	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb0bacf…
05-16 00:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4d41fa…
05-14 17:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf94746…
05-14 17:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x55a7da…
05-13 21:24:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x0b0c94…
05-13 21:21:11	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc2950c…
05-13 21:20:32	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd4114f…
05-13 21:20:18	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2acf78…
05-13 21:20:16	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x718728…
05-13 21:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xe79dee…
05-13 21:12:06	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x5b773e…
05-13 21:11:56	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x74293a…
05-13 21:11:23	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x164271…
05-13 21:11:07	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x15622b…
05-12 03:59:04	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6f50d2…
05-12 03:58:39	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf94ce1…
05-03 15:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9bafca…
05-03 15:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4bb659…
05-03 06:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xb5a3ae…
05-03 06:33:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x618caa…
05-03 06:33:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x285386…
05-03 06:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf503bf…
05-03 06:22:14	Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe31a8b…
05-03 06:20:56	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3b1352…
05-02 23:06:28	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xe93b59…
05-02 23:00:28	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x0ef92d…
05-02 22:59:48	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3e2016…
05-02 22:55:30	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x59c2bf…
05-02 22:55:10	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2de983…
05-02 22:53:36	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x23db92…
05-02 22:53:28	Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe8dcff…
05-02 22:53:02	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x08186a…
05-02 22:52:38	Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1bf766…
05-02 22:52:22	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbb7c16…
05-02 22:51:46	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x80e846…
05-02 17:59:26	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	Chicago Cubs	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5cb5b3…
05-02 17:59:04	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xdf0522…
05-02 17:58:50	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa37e5b…
05-02 17:58:36	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc4125a…
05-02 17:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x31272c…
05-02 17:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x185afc…
05-02 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd29274…
05-02 08:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xe54769…
05-02 08:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x67ff70…
05-02 08:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbc0eb1…
05-01 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xb6f154…
05-01 23:13:38	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x01e77c…
05-01 23:13:04	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x3407be…
05-01 23:12:46	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb6f7d6…
05-01 23:10:42	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa0c9fb…
05-01 23:10:24	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x164efa…
05-01 23:10:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x654479…
05-01 23:10:14	Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	Atlanta Braves	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4ba620…
05-01 23:09:36	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf00e2b…
05-01 23:09:16	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6a06c4…
05-01 22:59:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe74848…
05-01 06:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e6898…
05-01 06:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb90ba…
05-01 06:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1c2992…
05-01 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe98005…
05-01 06:03:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdadc8d…
04-30 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf235d0…
04-29 23:20:24	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4be95a…
04-29 20:54:40	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x69d229…
04-29 20:53:10	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x09e992…
04-29 20:51:30	New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	New York Yankees	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf07e17…
04-29 20:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa5c690…