Watchful-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

14 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$17

$17 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-11 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 0% $-1

Sports

22% 0% $-1

Other

19% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	-1	$-1	100¢	$-1	$-0	05-10 23:17
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	-4	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-10 23:17
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	-2	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-11 01:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-11 01:35
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$3	2	3	-2	open	—	05-11 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-10 23:08
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-10 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	$-1	05-08 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 17:10
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$1	2	0	+2	Knicks	$-1	05-08 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 23:22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1	$1	1	0	+1	Lorenzo Musetti	+$0	05-08 21:10
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$1	0	4	-4	open	—	05-10 23:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef789a…
05-11 01:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x300007…
05-11 01:30:34	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x80b689…
05-10 23:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcd0c80…
05-10 23:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x513be9…
05-10 23:17:34	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x2fe065…
05-10 23:17:00	Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x099144…
05-10 23:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xb359b1…
05-10 23:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x43a982…
05-10 23:02:20	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5e30c2…
05-10 17:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7aadda…
05-08 21:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa22db9…
05-08 21:11:04	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4fe0cc…
05-08 21:10:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf439ce…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.91K	53	05-11 02:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$6.23K	100	05-11 01:34
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	6	$532	58	05-11 01:30
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	5	$16.4K	57	05-11 01:54
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	5	$15.7K	194	05-11 02:10
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$3.97K	35	05-11 02:10
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	5	$1.25K	52	05-11 01:30
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	5	$1.17K	49	05-11 01:30