Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
128
lifetime
Volume
$145
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-26 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
37%
Politics
30% 100% +$4
Sports
21%
Tech
8%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +13 $5 30¢ $4 $-1 06-26 06:35
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -15 $-3 22¢ $-3 $-0 06-26 06:19
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +13 $3 17¢ $2 $-1 06-26 06:40
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 05-31 08:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-26 06:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 06-26 06:35
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 06-26 06:38
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 06:22
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 46¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 06:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-05 08:47
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-26 06:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 42¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 06:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-26 06:23
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 06:24
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 06:19