Hefty-Raiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-15 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% — —

Politics

15% 100% +$0

Sports

11% 100% +$3

Other

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down january 30 4pm et	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-30 21:59
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 6pm et	3	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	04-06 22:54
solana up or down january 26 2pm et	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-26 19:59
nhl lak col 2026 04 19	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-19 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7PM ET	5	$45	52	15	+37	open	—	04-25 23:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 06:32
xrp up or down february 14 10am et	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	02-14 15:59
solana up or down january 25 3pm et	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-25 20:58
nhl fla mon 2026 01 08	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-09 02:25
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 09:25
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	8	$36	34	30	+4	open	—	02-22 15:26
bitcoin up or down february 22 1pm et	3	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	02-22 18:59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 09:26
bitcoin up or down january 24 4pm et	4	$33	44	21	+23	open	—	01-24 21:59
nhl mon car 2026 01 01	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	01-02 02:38
xrp up or down february 26 1pm et	3	$30	26	6	+20	open	—	02-26 18:57
bitcoin up or down january 29 5pm et	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	01-29 22:59
solana up or down february 26 6pm et	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-26 23:57
dogecoin up or down march 28 2026 11pm et	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-29 03:57
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-01 04:57
ethereum up or down april 6 2026 7pm et	5	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-06 23:59
xrp up or down april 6 2026 5pm et	3	$24	35	15	+20	open	—	04-06 21:38
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 10am et	4	$23	25	20	+5	open	—	04-11 14:51
ethereum up or down january 18 4pm et	2	$22	28	0	+28	open	—	01-18 21:58
Nothing Ever Happens: May	6	$20	23	16	+7	open	—	05-29 15:44
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 7pm et	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-12 23:30
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 9pm et	6	$20	21	21	+1	open	—	04-13 01:52
bitcoin up or down february 19 8pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-20 01:59
bitcoin up or down february 23 6pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-23 23:55
xrp up or down april 6 2026 4pm et	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-06 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:42:06	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7cdd6f…
06-15 01:21:27	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3a24b2…
06-15 00:32:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x045894…
06-15 00:32:40	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x623e2e…
06-15 00:32:30	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc9bb44…
06-15 00:32:15	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcf1096…
06-15 00:32:03	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7e59b7…
06-15 00:31:51	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7a8986…
06-14 17:54:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x23df11…
06-14 17:54:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1d2824…
06-14 17:53:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2174cb…
06-14 17:53:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x07b546…
06-14 17:53:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xeb46fd…
06-14 14:40:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa701d2…
06-13 10:59:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc71fb1…
06-13 10:58:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x35df47…
06-13 02:21:04	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x35c0c8…
06-13 02:20:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x51dadd…
06-12 16:23:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x697881…
06-12 16:23:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x5c0898…
06-12 16:22:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd2344a…
06-12 16:22:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x33aa37…
06-12 00:57:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x00f462…
06-12 00:56:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbb8b82…
06-07 15:13:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1f7b47…
06-06 23:35:58	ufc mat ale35 2026 06 06	Alessandro Costa	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xeac35f…
06-06 23:18:40	ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	Marcus McGhee	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x21887a…
06-06 23:06:19	ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	Marcus McGhee	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x973d8f…
06-03 15:53:15	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x03f3e1…
06-03 02:16:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb9799d…
06-03 00:52:06	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe6cc47…
06-03 00:51:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x6ae8f5…
06-02 11:25:11	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4324af…
05-30 21:20:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8f3909…
05-29 19:34:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0764fc…
05-29 19:33:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc50d38…
05-29 19:33:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xabb921…
05-29 19:32:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd79923…
05-29 15:44:59	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xb39ea0…
05-29 00:42:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9fb44c…
05-29 00:40:11	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x48bc96…
05-28 20:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xbc5e77…
05-28 00:54:22	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa4e83a…
05-28 00:40:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdcd482…
05-28 00:39:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdf8489…
05-27 23:55:24	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x383e82…
05-27 23:54:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd03cd5…
05-27 01:09:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0718ee…
05-27 01:06:50	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfe8d6a…
05-27 01:06:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5b8afa…
05-27 01:04:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe83b4e…
05-27 00:42:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe6923e…
05-26 14:10:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x37bee9…
05-26 01:29:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4db034…
05-26 01:29:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x628fb1…
05-26 00:17:41	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8a9143…
05-25 01:41:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5d90e5…
05-25 01:37:02	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x734f4f…
05-25 01:31:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x94c987…
05-24 14:17:18	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3096bc…
05-23 23:32:04	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1fe687…
05-23 23:01:13	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7086cd…
05-22 18:20:44	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3e7e4b…
05-21 13:09:46	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x947aff…
05-18 18:24:29	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3bd126…
05-18 18:21:20	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xeb0379…
05-16 13:35:47	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcea0b6…
05-14 22:02:09	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x70e916…
05-13 21:43:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x303312…
05-13 21:43:28	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xaab254…
05-12 02:19:31	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x187500…
05-11 02:17:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2a4e7c…
05-11 02:16:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7bdebd…
05-10 23:23:53	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaa4e8f…
05-09 03:37:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xed75e2…
05-09 03:21:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa620ed…
05-07 01:33:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x038a2b…
05-07 01:31:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x03b5f0…
05-04 00:44:38	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x71018f…
05-03 22:22:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcf4c34…
05-03 22:18:28	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xab34a1…
05-02 11:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x665907…
05-02 11:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b09a3…
05-02 06:32:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x430dfe…
05-02 03:27:02	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0305a9…
05-02 03:20:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x8a8a41…
05-02 01:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x305d6f…
05-02 00:23:40	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x02ebaf…
05-01 14:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ebe82…
05-01 13:51:22	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x174322…
05-01 13:49:00	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa545fd…
05-01 02:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6a973f…
05-01 01:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04dc4b…
05-01 01:44:40	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf8dee0…
05-01 01:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x4b3d54…
04-30 18:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc68273…
04-30 17:52:24	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0324ed…
04-30 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x342514…
04-29 23:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf45bb7…
04-29 23:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x833c4d…