Prickly-Flan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

23.8%

Resolved

1,158

Trades

9,636

lifetime

Volume

$218.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$360

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-21 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

57% 26% -$10,507

Politics

36% 21% -$3,044

Sports

3% 42% -$161

Tech

2% 35% -$125

Crypto

1% 10% -$194

Pop-Culture

1% 56% +$70

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	-209	-$159	86¢	$-180	-$21	05-09 13:57
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-150	-$87	93¢	$-139	-$52	04-29 19:02
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	-209	-$35	14¢	$-29	+$5	05-09 13:56
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-150	-$61	7¢	$-11	+$51	04-29 19:02
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	-0	$0	100¢	$-0	$0	05-21 21:12
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-0	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	05-21 21:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	24	$7.1K	7,522	5,810	+1,713	Yes	-$44	02-28 10:20
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	261	$4.0K	12,464	2,287	+10,177	No	-$1,706	02-17 14:41
will israel strike gaza on february 14 2026	489	$4.0K	4,438	3,559	+879	Yes	-$104	02-14 19:39
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	39	$3.7K	3,400	5,549	-2,150	Yes	-$907	02-16 00:15
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	45	$3.6K	4,231	2,325	+1,906	Yes	-$143	02-18 01:20
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	226	$3.6K	3,589	3,459	+130	Yes	-$666	03-15 12:34
will meta dip to 620 in february	49	$2.9K	3,049	2,876	+173	No	-$288	02-23 20:12
will i can only imagine 2 opening weekend box office be greater than 16m	43	$2.6K	3,333	979	+2,354	No	-$267	02-17 22:03
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 80 99	60	$2.3K	3,393	1,526	+1,867	No	+$4	02-17 18:30
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	19	$2.2K	3,405	933	+2,472	Yes	-$29	02-18 03:39
will the 2026 state of the union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long	28	$2.1K	2,546	3,546	-1,000	No	-$225	02-17 22:35
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	24	$2.0K	1,455	2,124	-669	Yes	-$124	02-15 22:40
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 0 99	45	$1.8K	517	3,003	-2,486	Yes	+$7	02-16 15:51
will amzn dip to 192 in february	33	$1.7K	1,532	1,728	-197	No	-$260	02-21 03:57
will msft dip to 390 in february	29	$1.6K	1,581	1,339	+241	Yes	-$135	02-21 08:37
will nvda reach 200 in february	35	$1.6K	2,389	627	+1,762	No	+$12	02-20 23:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	19	$1.4K	2,483	818	+1,665	No	+$9	02-17 16:22
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	46	$1.4K	1,507	799	+708	No	-$59	02-17 18:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	17	$1.4K	1,522	1,146	+376	Yes	-$10	02-28 06:23
will company b be accused of insider trading	27	$1.3K	218	2,402	-2,184	No	-$6	02-26 13:33
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	153	$1.3K	1,180	1,525	-345	Yes	-$63	02-17 00:55
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 120 139	32	$1.2K	797	1,033	-236	Yes	+$674	02-17 18:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	40	$1.2K	1,710	976	+734	No	+$1	03-09 15:27
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	24	$1.2K	1,346	960	+385	Yes	-$42	02-27 20:46
will sp 500 spx close over 6860 on the final trading day of february 2026	36	$1.1K	1,168	1,157	+11	Yes	-$62	02-22 00:56
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	29	$1.1K	931	1,064	-133	Yes	-$37	02-25 16:52
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	32	$1.1K	250	1,958	-1,708	No	-$48	03-11 14:24
will meta dip to 600 in february	22	$1.1K	1,256	784	+472	No	-$111	02-23 23:59
will pltr dip to 126 in february	33	$1.0K	990	1,230	-240	No	-$75	02-19 23:38
will tsla dip to 383 in february	25	$969	1,535	522	+1,014	No	-$55	02-20 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 21:13:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0x145bae…
05-21 21:13:23	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x9f16be…
05-21 21:13:19	Halle Berry as Storm?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x03905c…
05-21 21:13:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x2e33ee…
05-21 21:13:10	Halle Berry as Storm?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x2abe9b…
05-21 21:13:07	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf29866…
05-21 21:13:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x80b954…
05-21 21:12:58	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x68dba8…
05-21 21:12:55	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x2ef46c…
05-21 21:12:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x406ee9…
05-21 21:12:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe370d7…
05-21 21:12:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x591ccb…
05-21 21:12:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x084796…
05-21 21:12:32	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x47d12e…
05-21 21:12:27	Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x3d7c98…
05-21 21:12:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x266d2a…
05-21 21:12:18	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0c5cbb…
05-21 21:12:13	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xcb3fa9…
05-21 21:12:09	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xeb5e90…
05-21 21:12:04	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x67e69b…
05-21 21:11:59	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe5162a…
05-21 21:11:53	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x3af96f…
05-21 21:11:50	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x006ab4…
05-21 21:11:45	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xa96a79…
05-21 21:11:41	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x52fb6a…
05-21 21:11:36	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa5b1d6…
05-21 21:11:27	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x35674e…
05-21 21:11:22	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4c00fb…
05-21 21:11:17	Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x929e0a…
05-21 21:11:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb84f2a…
05-21 21:11:08	Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf72b40…
05-21 21:11:03	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x86589a…
05-21 21:10:59	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc765d4…
05-21 21:10:52	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x28acdd…
05-21 21:10:38	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdce2c1…
05-11 03:36:58	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x2c21aa…
05-10 21:17:22	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0xec6fe9…
05-10 18:47:29	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xfd9715…
05-10 18:17:05	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x93efc9…
05-10 18:14:40	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xa0b152…
05-10 11:01:50	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaa28f2…
05-10 11:00:07	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x4ff5ae…
05-10 07:05:09	Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	No	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xae5a20…
05-10 07:05:03	Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xea08f8…
05-10 02:24:32	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	SELL	76	75¢	$57	0x6281d0…
05-10 01:07:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	87¢	$131	0x739253…
05-10 01:07:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0x06dd11…
05-09 13:57:27	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x17cd26…
05-09 13:57:10	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0x3cee6e…
05-09 13:56:42	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0x66b550…
05-09 13:56:30	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	16¢	$24	0x76b9ff…
05-09 07:22:57	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x9a1a1f…
05-09 07:22:46	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	SELL	23	76¢	$17	0x74a1ad…
05-09 05:35:33	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0be01a…
05-09 01:24:38	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xdb4ad5…
05-09 00:33:27	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x5b3bfd…
05-09 00:23:20	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0xcef104…
05-08 16:59:39	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	G2	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xabab06…
05-08 15:09:43	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x68dc6b…
05-08 15:09:40	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xba4d7d…
05-08 14:29:02	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x65b095…
05-08 14:29:00	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xebfa2a…
05-08 13:45:05	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x5bace3…
05-08 13:44:59	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xa8edc0…
05-08 13:20:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0xf9b20a…
05-08 13:20:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x830cd2…
05-08 13:19:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	73	27¢	$20	0x54cbc4…
05-08 13:19:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	49	68¢	$33	0x29d338…
05-08 12:30:06	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x88edab…
05-08 12:30:06	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x13c173…
05-08 11:29:33	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x376fe2…
05-08 11:26:15	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb0248f…
05-08 11:15:56	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x3ccefe…
05-08 11:15:36	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x791220…
05-08 11:09:55	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0x6b2479…
05-08 11:09:52	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	39	81¢	$31	0xcf2cf0…
05-07 13:21:49	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x8aabbe…
05-07 00:04:26	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xc2a344…
05-07 00:03:48	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xfeb53e…
05-06 23:20:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xb21a0e…
05-06 23:20:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0x2a8e4a…
05-06 22:04:49	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	129	3¢	$4	0xb5c173…
05-06 22:02:47	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x11a394…
05-06 22:02:28	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x4654a0…
05-06 22:02:19	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x2ccf1d…
05-06 22:01:11	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf7d7a4…
05-06 22:00:30	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	29	71¢	$20	0x9e2b99…
05-06 21:59:55	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	73	74¢	$54	0x655690…
05-06 21:59:52	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	No	SELL	49	23¢	$11	0xd29894…
05-06 18:44:18	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x1d1465…
05-06 17:06:43	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	73	42¢	$31	0xbcc8bb…
05-06 17:06:32	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	SELL	73	57¢	$42	0x80b53f…
05-06 16:51:41	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xe0d154…
05-06 16:25:21	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xbca15f…
05-06 16:00:39	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x4c6d78…
05-06 14:03:02	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7dc579…
05-06 11:20:22	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xb1191b…
05-06 11:17:20	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xf985c2…
05-06 05:24:18	Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x7e40a7…
05-05 12:58:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	Yes	SELL	115	56¢	$64	0xe99121…