Content-Knuckle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,472

lifetime

Volume

$34.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$2

Politics

10% — —

Other

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+17	$15	83¢	$14	$-1	06-11 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on february 27	3	$6.2K	3,223	3,000	+223	open	—	02-27 08:40
bitcoin above 62k on february 28	4	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-28 14:40
ethereum above 1600 on march 3	6	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-02 12:58
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	02-28 07:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$902	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	02-28 05:24
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	3	$224	350	100	+250	open	—	03-05 09:11
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	10	$218	400	0	+400	open	—	02-27 03:39
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	1	$200	206	0	+206	open	—	02-09 08:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$198	0	200	-200	open	—	01-26 05:21
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	02-25 16:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	5	$196	204	0	+204	open	—	01-10 10:51
will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	118	$194	97,132	97,132	+0	open	—	03-27 04:53
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$192	151	100	+51	open	—	02-19 03:53
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	03-24 08:32
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	7	$142	400	0	+400	open	—	02-27 03:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	3	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-22 07:04
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$120	124	0	+124	open	—	04-01 11:07
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$120	122	0	+122	open	—	02-03 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	2	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-14 02:17
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$115	116	0	+116	open	—	04-14 04:26
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	4	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	03-29 06:17
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$110	140	0	+140	open	—	04-01 11:10
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-14 15:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-28 09:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	1	$100	264	0	+264	open	—	03-05 09:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	06-01 08:50
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-01 06:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	01-07 08:53
bitcoin above 86k on january 3	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-03 03:16
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-26 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 03:31:57	bitcoin above 52k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd16a93…
06-12 03:31:45	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x72247d…
06-12 03:31:33	bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0be6b…
06-11 09:08:12	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaa8402…
06-11 09:07:06	bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x400ca2…
06-11 09:06:51	bitcoin above 58k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa95ec5…
06-10 08:23:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd7bd1a…
06-10 08:22:57	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd574d3…
06-10 08:22:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x961a23…
06-06 12:36:30	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1955fc…
06-04 09:54:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xba0efd…
06-04 09:54:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5545e…
06-03 08:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x878a8a…
06-03 08:48:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18cb75…
06-03 08:47:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x216d84…
06-03 08:47:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f457f…
06-03 08:45:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74c685…
06-03 08:45:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa4f409…
06-01 09:04:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x94a297…
06-01 09:03:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88d606…
06-01 08:50:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2f69e7…
06-01 08:48:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7717ba…
05-29 01:44:00	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe78ab0…
05-29 01:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5717b6…
05-29 01:41:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x43d31a…
05-29 01:41:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x732cce…
05-29 01:41:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x80713c…
05-29 01:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x106e6d…
05-27 01:33:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7599f8…
05-27 01:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5be2f7…
05-27 01:32:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xddbd33…
05-26 01:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5d30d8…
05-25 01:27:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x25066f…
05-25 01:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4cfed…
05-25 01:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13a6aa…
05-22 07:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x808167…
05-21 15:24:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3fa799…
05-21 15:23:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3516fc…
05-21 15:20:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xde8535…
05-21 15:20:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xffd3e7…
05-21 15:20:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xf6c739…
05-21 10:58:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8e198a…
05-21 10:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x40c9ca…
05-21 10:58:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x23d4ba…
05-21 10:58:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea8085…
05-19 12:37:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb2973d…
05-19 12:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8fd679…
05-19 12:37:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f26b8…
05-18 15:28:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x78cc32…
05-18 15:12:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x928a92…
05-18 15:12:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x502199…
05-18 15:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf47f65…
05-18 15:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa09e52…
05-18 15:10:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xd57e6c…
05-18 15:10:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2a687e…
05-18 15:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7bb3b8…
05-14 03:04:35	Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Team Envy	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9212ed…
05-14 02:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x29302a…
05-14 02:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe58623…
05-14 02:17:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x431fd7…
05-14 02:17:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd1546d…
05-13 02:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe435fe…
05-13 02:45:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1f601f…
05-13 02:45:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdb0c9…
05-13 02:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4552b5…
05-13 02:44:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x21aa2c…
05-06 06:44:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0775d…
05-04 08:33:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8feabe…
05-04 08:33:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7aec4f…
04-28 09:11:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x7aa3df…
04-28 09:11:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x49abd8…
04-27 03:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2b9644…
04-27 03:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x77de70…
04-27 03:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc509db…
04-27 03:32:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb6736d…
04-24 02:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a4c4…
04-24 02:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x906c43…
04-24 02:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd587ef…
04-24 02:40:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe38018…
04-23 04:22:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcde78e…
04-23 04:21:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10ad5a…
04-23 04:21:14	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe0f50…
04-23 04:21:06	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbb746f…
04-23 04:20:38	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x981543…
04-23 04:20:28	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x73fb74…
04-23 04:20:18	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xad7919…
04-23 04:20:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2a9b43…
04-22 01:07:28	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x19470d…
04-22 01:07:10	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c9808…
04-22 01:06:56	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d8e0d…
04-22 00:58:34	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbcd728…
04-22 00:58:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x813cf5…
04-22 00:58:18	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x824b11…
04-22 00:58:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x329788…
04-22 00:57:58	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x104a9b…
04-21 06:28:42	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f7f98…
04-21 06:28:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3ad46c…
04-21 06:28:06	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd199b6…
04-20 01:00:12	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x21c87b…
04-19 05:40:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30cb11…