Amused-Tracking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$581

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-18 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$0

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

11% 100% +$1

Sports

4% 100% +$3

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+1	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	06-18 07:55
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-1	$-0	56¢	$-1	$-0	06-18 07:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	Yes	-2	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-18 07:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	03-03 22:43
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	3	$46	47	2	+45	open	—	01-30 08:48
btc updown 15m 1770465600	4	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	02-07 12:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	02-24 09:54
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	3	$32	47	0	+47	open	—	01-13 09:25
college football undefeated 15 0 team	2	$22	74	74	+0	open	—	01-04 11:47
btc updown 15m 1770284700	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 10:01
cl up or down on march 2 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 09:29
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 22:38
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 12:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	01-30 23:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	01-30 00:13
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 23:06
cfb ore ind 2026 01 09	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	01-09 21:37
gc settle 4975 5100 jan 2026	2	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	01-28 10:22
spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 18:46
btc updown 5m 1771073700	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-14 12:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-30 23:46
will the 2025 26 college football champion come from the big 10	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	01-11 12:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-22 18:39
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-24 14:03
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-23 02:02
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 23:04
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-05 09:15
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 23:04
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-22 20:42
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-05 09:14
btc updown 15m 1770467400	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-07 12:44
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$4	8	5	+3	open	—	03-30 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 07:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdfca77…
06-18 07:53:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3bb6ca…
06-18 07:53:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x795b11…
06-18 07:53:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x390547…
06-18 07:53:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdcb0e4…
06-18 07:52:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x116e94…
06-18 07:52:07	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x25df0c…
06-18 07:51:55	will donald trump dance on june 14 2026 20260602150034337	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xefba6a…
06-18 07:51:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x1721b6…
06-15 01:03:58	will donald trump dance on june 14 2026 20260602150034337	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x424ce9…
06-15 01:02:15	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd1d034…
06-01 12:52:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef3e38…
05-23 23:18:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x458c4d…
05-23 23:18:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x3e3ce3…
05-23 23:18:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x19aeea…
05-23 23:18:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xec1189…
05-18 00:26:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x937bcf…
05-14 00:28:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x735545…
05-12 21:02:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa8fdd3…
05-12 20:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa07e2a…
05-09 10:09:42	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc2e1d8…
05-09 10:09:33	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5870d2…
05-02 22:35:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2548c6…
05-02 00:40:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2eb63f…
05-01 20:45:38	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa2446…
04-27 08:15:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x79809a…
04-25 23:06:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b885f…
04-25 16:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x719fa9…
04-25 11:22:24	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3b3aa0…
04-25 11:21:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x49fd26…
04-25 11:21:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9abab4…
04-25 11:19:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x222bf6…
04-25 11:17:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x8951b3…
04-23 07:52:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb6bbe7…
04-23 07:51:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x71736e…
04-23 07:51:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb80252…
04-23 07:49:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2b860a…
04-23 07:49:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a6d81…
04-23 07:49:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6c28f0…
04-22 08:04:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x66eb30…
04-21 00:21:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x644a6a…
04-19 21:58:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x55064f…
04-19 21:58:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe40c68…
04-19 21:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2ccbfc…
04-18 16:57:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa66295…
04-18 14:00:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x73bc92…
04-18 14:00:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb1dba5…
04-15 09:03:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x40877a…
04-12 20:53:47	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x1bbb55…
04-12 20:19:11	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x38c7fa…
04-11 18:05:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x26fb03…
04-11 18:04:47	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4e4f2f…
04-10 00:49:57	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x58dd28…
04-07 00:15:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa2357a…
04-05 10:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2c1f2d…
04-05 10:48:55	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x067ef1…
03-31 22:41:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5e489…
03-30 22:06:49	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa17833…
03-30 22:06:43	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0f03e7…
03-29 23:32:24	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x50d9cb…
03-29 23:32:14	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xc30e27…
03-28 09:29:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x892397…
03-28 01:29:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb2b93c…
03-27 21:14:33	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9e22ae…
03-27 21:13:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5947f4…
03-27 21:13:15	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2cecb0…
03-26 07:54:23	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaff0cb…
03-26 07:54:01	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x89c38c…
03-22 20:42:21	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2181e0…
03-22 18:40:11	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1fc16f…
03-22 18:40:05	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ba321…
03-22 18:39:57	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2d41d9…
03-22 18:39:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xe328c9…
03-22 18:39:13	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x95c2ea…
03-22 18:39:05	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0b0014…
03-22 18:38:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf7ad24…
03-22 18:38:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdaa4c6…
03-22 18:38:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2d953d…
03-22 18:38:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc39a69…
03-13 09:47:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc94faf…
03-12 09:20:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1ac2e3…
03-11 09:15:45	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcf96b2…
03-11 09:15:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8dcdaf…
03-10 23:04:49	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9740ad…
03-10 23:04:23	spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x950a3c…
03-10 08:19:29	spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x486700…
03-10 08:18:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xef4bdc…
03-10 08:17:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$0	0xa272b5…
03-10 08:17:39	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x3d8af1…
03-10 08:17:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x035eb1…
03-09 21:02:09	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xcc0dd5…
03-09 21:02:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x62905b…
03-09 21:01:45	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$0	0x5f12f5…
03-09 21:01:41	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x91d9b8…
03-09 21:01:37	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x988717…
03-09 21:00:47	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bd243…
03-08 12:05:51	spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x00b9ee…
03-07 22:00:35	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0597f1…
03-07 22:00:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xde0036…
03-07 22:00:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x19e3b6…