Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
60
lifetime
Volume
$67
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$37
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51% 0% $-2
Politics
49%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No +6 $0 88¢ $5 +$5 05-13 03:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -12 $-5 33¢ $-4 +$1 05-13 05:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 05-13 22:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 05-10 19:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +6 $4 64¢ $4 $-0 05-14 06:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 05-12 03:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes +8 $3 36¢ $3 +$0 05-11 14:42
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Yes -25 $-5 11¢ $-3 +$2 05-12 21:01
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? Yes +2 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 05-14 05:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 05-13 22:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2 $-1 55¢ $-1 $-0 05-14 11:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-10 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +8 $1 $1 $-0 05-14 11:34
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-0 26¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 18:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -1 $-0 40¢ $-0 +$0 05-14 04:15
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? No -0 $-0 73¢ $-0 $-0 05-14 12:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -26 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-10 19:19
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 22¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 08:47