Gaseous-Creation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$840

Unrealized P&L

-$551

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

162

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$34.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$824

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

48% 24% -$1,256

Sports

47% 47% +$1,686

Politics

3% 0% -$42

Pop-Culture

3% 50% +$452

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+19,145	$730	2¢	$335	-$395	08-12 15:00
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+13,006	$224	2¢	$241	+$16	10-18 22:37
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+196	$100	46¢	$91	-$9	08-05 08:36
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,312	$210	6¢	$85	-$125	07-28 22:32
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+3,667	$110	2¢	$71	-$38	08-06 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	42	$2.4K	11,501	3,717	+7,784	No	-$363	07-15 18:56
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$2.1K	13,747	13,747	+0	No	-$44	07-06 13:01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$1.9K	9,419	6,802	+2,617	No	-$441	07-07 23:03
itsb mon ven 2026 03 21 draw	2	$1.5K	1,129	1,129	+0	Yes	+$778	03-21 20:11
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$936	26,688	22,882	+3,806	No	-$264	07-03 23:20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$911	9,269	9,269	+0	No	-$16	06-29 14:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$903	4,551	4,551	+0	No	+$743	07-07 23:15
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	11	$730	19,145	0	+19,145	open	—	08-12 15:00
will tetairoa mcmillan be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 271	11	$684	239	1,224	-985	Yes	+$258	02-02 09:40
will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	5	$561	1,367	962	+405	No	+$286	03-15 23:53
will sinners win exactly 4 awards at the oscars	7	$504	1,159	426	+733	Yes	+$477	03-15 23:56
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$417	2,439	0	+2,439	Yes	+$2,023	07-15 20:51
sea juv sas 2026 03 21 draw	2	$411	312	311	+1	Yes	+$212	03-21 23:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$397	1,198	1,198	+0	open	—	08-07 00:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$388	307	307	+0	No	-$22	07-09 21:30
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	10	$385	1,123	556	+566	No	-$25	03-16 01:25
will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	4	$350	2,059	0	+2,059	No	-$350	06-30 11:35
Will Panaitolikos Agrinio vs. Asteras Tripolis end in a draw?	3	$280	785	0	+785	No	-$222	08-23 15:55
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$273	23,833	16,243	+7,590	No	-$13	06-30 09:00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$225	0	2,644	-2,644	No	+$225	05-02 10:09
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$224	13,006	0	+13,006	open	—	10-18 22:37
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?	20	$211	2,640	0	+2,640	open	—	07-28 22:36
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$210	1,312	0	+1,312	open	—	07-28 22:32
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	1	$200	800	0	+800	Yes	+$600	07-16 12:53
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	1	$200	769	0	+769	No	-$200	05-20 07:46
rou1 aus aog 2026 03 23 draw	4	$200	624	0	+624	No	-$200	03-23 08:19
itsb ave pad 2026 03 07 draw	1	$200	606	0	+606	No	-$200	03-07 12:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$199	149	149	+0	Yes	-$1	08-02 18:52
sea bol laz 2026 03 22 draw	3	$195	609	0	+609	No	-$195	03-22 08:51
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 draw	2	$190	679	0	+679	No	-$190	03-22 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 22:37:47	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	653	2¢	$14	0x3a9cc4…
10-18 22:35:03	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	281	5¢	$14	0xea7ebe…
10-17 14:23:54	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0x9f5953…
10-17 14:23:32	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x3fc18e…
10-12 21:20:41	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6,471	2¢	$110	0x602446…
10-12 21:20:17	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5,882	2¢	$100	0x5c6105…
10-12 17:50:51	Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Rapid 1923 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xd9f47b…
10-11 12:23:37	Will AE Kifisia FC vs. Panaitolikos Agrinio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0x5bad3c…
10-11 09:48:46	Will FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xd8f4d3…
10-11 09:48:22	Will FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x30219b…
10-11 09:47:27	Will Modena FC 2018 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x45495f…
10-11 09:47:06	Will Modena FC 2018 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x8e6c83…
10-10 14:10:16	Will FC Botoşani vs. FC UTA Arad end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	448	29¢	$130	0x88174c…
10-10 12:16:19	Will FC Zbrojovka Brno vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	448	29¢	$130	0x31e1a6…
10-07 20:09:25	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	241	29¢	$70	0x24128c…
10-07 20:09:08	Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x69aee1…
10-07 07:17:11	Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	842	6¢	$50	0x3dbe7a…
10-07 07:16:42	Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	1,085	5¢	$50	0x99fc35…
09-20 08:32:12	Will Mantova 1911 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x8ab436…
09-20 08:31:59	Will Mantova 1911 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x789559…
09-20 07:24:22	Will FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	586	29¢	$170	0x03a6e4…
09-18 14:47:52	Will SS Juve Stabia vs. Cesena FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	586	29¢	$170	0xbb816d…
09-13 16:51:46	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xc27402…
09-13 16:51:09	Spread: JAX (-8.5)	CLE	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf709c3…
09-13 14:44:04	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	186	59¢	$110	0x5ad545…
09-12 09:27:46	Will Sepsi OSK vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x32e629…
09-12 09:25:06	Will Calcio Padova vs. Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	567	30¢	$170	0xd35633…
09-07 23:55:51	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Patriots	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6ad53f…
09-06 09:31:04	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x121eea…
09-06 09:29:27	Will SS Juve Stabia vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	530	33¢	$175	0x05c750…
09-05 10:10:33	Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5309f5…
09-05 10:07:55	Will FC Südtirol vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x0c365d…
09-05 10:07:07	Will Carrarese Calcio vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	548	31¢	$170	0x1a6475…
09-05 09:06:31	Will FC Botoşani vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcb3f40…
09-05 09:05:55	Will FC Botoşani vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	567	30¢	$170	0x0efee7…
08-31 21:22:30	Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xb977e3…
08-31 16:14:25	Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x0140ed…
08-31 16:13:16	Will FC Rapid 1923 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	233	30¢	$70	0xa8f8b2…
08-31 16:13:07	Will FC Rapid 1923 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x864241…
08-30 16:00:13	Will Mantova 1911 vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd6fd71…
08-30 11:10:36	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	567	30¢	$170	0xe3a445…
08-30 11:09:07	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x1b12de…
08-30 09:44:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x56a836…
08-30 09:42:16	mlb lad det 2026 08 30 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x392f5a…
08-30 09:41:51	mlb col atl 2026 08 30 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4da11d…
08-30 09:37:00	Will Mantova 1911 vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xfe3e78…
08-30 09:36:43	Will Mantova 1911 vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	387	31¢	$120	0x95552c…
08-30 05:35:46	Will Mantova 1911 vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	30¢	$17	0x6d82ea…
08-29 11:26:43	mlb bos nyy 2026 08 29 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x7dcf0b…
08-29 11:26:01	mlb lad det 2026 08 29 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xe47378…
08-29 11:17:25	Will FC Argeș Pitești vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	212	33¢	$70	0xc8c047…
08-29 11:16:39	Will FC Argeș Pitești vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xb6c66c…
08-29 11:14:21	Will FC Alverca vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x3fb68e…
08-28 17:38:55	Will Clermont Foot 63 vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x0acfaa…
08-26 08:16:48	mlb pit sd 2026 08 26 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x530362…
08-25 08:50:12	mlb pit sd 2026 08 25 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x517ac0…
08-25 08:50:04	mlb pit sd 2026 08 25 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x510488…
08-23 15:55:25	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio vs. Asteras Tripolis end in a draw?	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x92062f…
08-23 15:54:51	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio vs. Asteras Tripolis end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	364	33¢	$120	0x9220f6…
08-23 15:54:49	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio vs. Asteras Tripolis end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	364	33¢	$120	0xb0b70c…
08-23 15:48:01	Will OFI Crete vs. Volos NPS end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x11e48c…
08-23 15:47:45	Will OFI Crete vs. Volos NPS end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x42de87…
08-23 15:47:37	Will OFI Crete vs. Volos NPS end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	429	30¢	$130	0x73554d…
08-23 10:47:54	Will Sepsi OSK vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	548	31¢	$170	0xaa8ef6…
08-22 13:38:00	Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xc3d998…
08-22 13:37:36	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x2a080e…
08-22 10:46:21	mlb det kc 2026 08 22 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x63dd24…
08-22 10:43:33	mlb nym cws 2026 08 22 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x494bf1…
08-22 10:42:37	mlb laa tex 2026 08 22 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xeb8503…
08-22 10:15:49	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	531	32¢	$170	0x4e0ac3…
08-21 20:56:54	nfl dal ari 2026 08 23 total 37pt5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb321fd…
08-20 16:09:12	nfl lv hou 2026 08 21	Raiders	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x6845c7…
08-16 09:53:49	Will FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	567	30¢	$170	0x124e9f…
08-16 09:52:42	Will Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	548	31¢	$170	0x3599c3…
08-15 14:40:37	Will Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	567	30¢	$170	0x46383a…
08-15 14:39:57	Will Konyaspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	586	29¢	$170	0xf9331a…
08-15 14:39:04	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	486	35¢	$170	0x59e69c…
08-15 10:29:12	Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0xb163a0…
08-15 10:28:55	Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xbaa1ba…
08-15 10:28:46	Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	414	29¢	$120	0x69e3e0…
08-15 08:08:33	mlb mia cin 2026 08 15 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xe926c2…
08-14 13:36:51	Will FC Argeș Pitești vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xc838f2…
08-14 13:36:10	Will FC Voluntari vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	232	30¢	$70	0x025b2b…
08-14 13:36:03	Will FC Voluntari vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xcafaa2…
08-13 22:57:52	wta swiatek rybakin 2026 08 13	Elena Rybakina	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xad0314…
08-12 15:00:54	Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x03d27b…
08-12 10:14:19	mlb phi stl 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xe24eca…
08-12 10:13:04	mlb mil sd 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xd53b65…
08-12 08:17:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	680	25¢	$170	0xb43c47…
08-12 07:51:48	mlb mil sd 2026 08 12 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x82c3e9…
08-11 14:49:36	mlb bos tor 2026 08 11 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x69ed8d…
08-09 09:12:51	Will FC Hradec Králové vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc3f30e…
08-09 09:10:18	Will WKS Slask Wroclaw vs. KS Cracovia Krakow end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x094e70…
08-09 09:06:07	Will FC Hradec Králové vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	233	30¢	$70	0x4bfb5e…
08-09 09:05:52	Will FC Hradec Králové vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x509211…
08-09 09:05:09	mlb lad ari 2026 08 09 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0xbf89cd…
08-09 09:03:21	Will WKS Slask Wroclaw vs. KS Cracovia Krakow end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x652d7c…
08-09 09:02:06	Will WKS Slask Wroclaw vs. KS Cracovia Krakow end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x67154f…
08-08 23:52:09	Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xb72b7c…
08-08 23:51:48	Will Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x105104…