Gregarious-Lining — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-11 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Other

18% 100% +$0

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No		+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	06-03 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2000 on february 25	4	$330	182	182	+0	open	—	02-25 17:02
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$312	156	156	+0	open	—	03-22 07:23
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 10	1	$198	198	0	+198	open	—	04-09 14:08
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 7	1	$198	198	0	+198	open	—	04-07 06:41
will solana reach 95 on april 3	1	$197	198	0	+198	open	—	04-03 05:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$197	197	0	+197	open	—	03-29 08:06
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$181	197	0	+197	open	—	03-22 07:28
ethereum above 2900 on april 21	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	04-19 08:38
solana above 40 on april 16	1	$180	180	0	+180	open	—	04-14 16:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$160	161	0	+161	open	—	03-14 15:54
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$160	160	0	+160	open	—	03-05 08:29
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	1	$158	158	0	+158	open	—	04-05 05:04
solana above 110 on april 12	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	04-11 12:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	05-21 15:52
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 13?	1	$135	135	0	+135	Yes	+$0	05-10 12:56
will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	06-11 14:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 6?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	06-03 10:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-29 04:55
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 3?	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	05-01 15:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 14:06
xrp above 1pt7 on april 24	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-23 10:20
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	05-04 05:01
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$92	92	0	+92	open	—	04-26 07:22
btc updown 5m 1773503100	2	$76	63	62	+1	open	—	03-14 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	05-04 04:55
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$62	64	0	+64	open	—	04-26 07:22
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-26 07:21
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-22 07:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-13 04:43
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-05 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:09:31	will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x106bbf…
06-11 14:08:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xde3e8b…
06-03 10:08:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 6?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xb9fffb…
06-03 10:07:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9a24c9…
05-29 04:55:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd3f439…
05-21 15:52:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x6a01c5…
05-13 04:43:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x931fce…
05-10 12:56:17	Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xc03db4…
05-04 05:01:04	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd178da…
05-04 04:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xe492f6…
05-01 15:09:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 3?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x46ccab…
04-26 07:22:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4e5c13…
04-26 07:22:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x162437…
04-26 07:21:18	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x94b1e5…
04-25 04:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2e4332…
04-23 10:21:38	xrp above 1pt1 on april 24	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x332055…
04-23 10:20:58	xrp above 1pt7 on april 24	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5a464d…
04-20 12:00:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 24c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb3edc4…
04-19 08:38:28	ethereum above 2900 on april 21	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x63033a…
04-16 08:01:18	highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x80619c…
04-14 16:35:46	solana above 40 on april 16	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x7b3566…
04-13 14:23:01	highest temperature in munich on april 14 2026 6c	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1a90e6…
04-11 12:29:17	solana above 110 on april 12	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd34bb5…
04-09 14:08:03	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xb0e46e…
04-07 06:41:57	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 7	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x52c672…
04-05 05:04:49	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x044f47…
04-05 05:04:27	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3fdb38…
04-05 05:04:03	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63fc32…
04-03 05:40:11	will solana reach 95 on april 3	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x19eeda…
03-29 08:06:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x5de4a7…
03-22 07:28:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	197	92¢	$181	0x185196…
03-22 07:24:19	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb1cc90…
03-22 07:24:01	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xce28d3…
03-22 07:23:43	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x1ea0d1…
03-17 04:21:41	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x46faa4…
03-17 04:20:03	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa1918…
03-14 15:54:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x34b840…
03-14 15:50:03	btc updown 5m 1773503100	Down	SELL	62	73¢	$46	0x5044a8…
03-14 15:49:27	btc updown 5m 1773503100	Down	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x8ba3bd…
03-14 15:42:37	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4fda01…
03-05 08:29:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x9ca5a8…
03-05 08:29:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5c265…
02-26 14:09:00	will xrp reach 3 in february 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x597551…
02-26 14:08:22	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe05424…
02-26 14:07:42	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x05b943…
02-26 14:06:52	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x051a79…
02-26 14:06:14	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72fc27…
02-25 17:02:06	ethereum above 2000 on february 25	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x53c3d9…
02-25 16:42:42	ethereum above 2000 on february 25	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0598e6…
02-25 16:40:04	ethereum above 2000 on february 25	Yes	SELL	172	96¢	$164	0x89217a…
02-25 16:09:26	ethereum above 2000 on february 25	Yes	BUY	172	85¢	$146	0x637e73…