Witty-Pony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-11 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Other

32% 0% $-1

Politics

23% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+9	$9	96¢	$9	$-0	06-05 03:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	+6	$6	98¢	$6	$-0	06-05 03:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	+9	$7	64¢	$6	$-1	06-05 03:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	+0	$-0	94¢	$0	+$0	06-08 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	05-15 07:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$46	28	27	+0	open	—	03-27 13:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	04-07 20:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 18:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-30 10:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 01:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-12 02:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-25 23:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-31 05:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 19:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-08 20:17
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 16:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-01 01:52
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 20:10
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-06 09:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 14:36
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 21:00
will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-05 01:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 08:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 10:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 11:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-17 20:06
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-18 11:42
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 19:34
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-24 17:37
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-29 13:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 15:08
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 15:52
will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	06-05 03:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-27 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:32:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x042dc7…
06-11 02:44:51	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 10	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x73056d…
06-11 01:20:30	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 10	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x42b194…
06-10 16:07:48	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 10	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x0a7939…
06-10 14:58:49	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 10	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x6df695…
06-10 06:25:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x4098df…
06-10 04:03:36	bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x30c6fe…
06-10 01:23:45	will usd reach 18500 indonesian rupiah by june 30	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xdee825…
06-10 01:23:18	will usd reach 18500 indonesian rupiah by june 30	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xb33948…
06-09 08:41:15	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xa79b0f…
06-09 07:17:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xefbb3f…
06-08 20:17:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xfc8318…
06-08 09:49:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xee9a2c…
06-07 09:17:00	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x2fa9f0…
06-06 06:29:48	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xcc8031…
06-06 06:24:58	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xd5ea9d…
06-06 05:11:52	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x3ec6bb…
06-06 04:44:22	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xde5079…
06-06 03:59:48	bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xff7e7f…
06-06 02:13:52	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 5	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6ae7d3…
06-05 17:33:46	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 5	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x95fa1b…
06-05 17:23:48	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x5ada29…
06-05 15:30:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xe11eb8…
06-05 04:09:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb72fe1…
06-05 03:40:03	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xcaf20f…
06-05 03:23:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x971a42…
06-05 03:23:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0xcc8399…
06-05 03:23:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x153b50…
06-05 03:23:27	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x350f6b…
06-05 03:18:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xae1830…
06-05 01:14:03	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xd87c8f…
06-05 00:36:25	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x2f1bfa…
06-04 20:17:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5c8564…
06-01 02:04:05	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa02895…
06-01 01:52:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1c6211…
05-31 12:10:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe57042…
05-31 05:16:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xd0599d…
05-30 16:31:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8b892a…
05-30 15:13:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3a48d2…
05-29 20:10:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc31b3c…
05-29 15:28:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x851fb5…
05-29 14:36:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcc4b70…
05-29 14:08:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb6c8d0…
05-29 13:39:40	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x41726b…
05-28 04:41:50	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x1d3da9…
05-27 15:52:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0xa278a8…
05-27 15:12:47	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in May?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xff51f9…
05-27 12:21:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xddc7d6…
05-27 08:36:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x613e0c…
05-27 06:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xfc283a…
05-27 04:55:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x1082ee…
05-27 03:22:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1f6cc6…
05-25 23:36:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xd919a8…
05-25 21:35:03	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x51e7dd…
05-25 19:34:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x44acee…
05-25 18:42:43	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x7a4eed…
05-25 18:41:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x667592…
05-25 16:39:45	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xe6c558…
05-25 14:32:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 25?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x39c757…
05-25 10:07:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x333691…
05-25 10:07:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x207386…
05-25 01:22:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x6ebefb…
05-24 21:18:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc29024…
05-24 14:49:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xcedc73…
05-24 14:22:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x526844…
05-24 10:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x045ae5…
05-24 10:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe1fc87…
05-24 10:01:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9f5458…
05-24 04:29:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x045eea…
05-23 23:44:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa9f050…
05-23 15:23:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x606043…
05-23 14:54:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x22d995…
05-23 11:02:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xab7872…
05-23 08:07:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x3b869d…
05-23 01:33:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb6a241…
05-23 00:37:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xebdabb…
05-22 21:37:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9d6f4e…
05-22 21:05:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x018aab…
05-22 16:19:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x689a2f…
05-22 14:11:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x4b0429…
05-22 14:06:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xed2b00…
05-22 03:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x22cf4d…
05-21 11:58:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb6b1e7…
05-20 22:08:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7949be…
05-20 21:10:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x53c0de…
05-20 16:12:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xef6eec…
05-20 10:29:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x454cf2…
05-20 05:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x5a3dcc…
05-20 01:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x4fd5a8…
05-19 15:13:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xba1514…
05-19 13:28:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa14db3…
05-19 10:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9ee887…
05-19 03:09:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x6cb614…
05-19 02:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x04da48…
05-18 16:25:43	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x450ff6…
05-18 16:19:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2d4905…
05-18 16:19:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2ff9a0…
05-18 15:08:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x76487a…
05-18 13:24:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37318c…
05-18 10:58:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x998def…