Pricey-Formation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 09-19 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

48% 50% +$10

Other

47% 25% -$17

Politics

4% 50% $0

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+6	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	09-02 11:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+6	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	05-11 19:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-11 19:51
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	+7	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-02 11:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$7	6	6	+0	Charles Oliveira	+$3	03-08 05:02
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	07-08 14:25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	07-19 17:52
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	05-11 20:02
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	07-08 14:24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$3	14	0	+14	No	-$3	06-08 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-24 13:47
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-14 20:01
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$2	4	0	+4	Spurs	-$2	06-08 12:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	142	0	+142	No	-$2	04-13 22:36
Bears vs. Panthers	1	$1	2	0	+2	Bears	-$1	09-10 18:51
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	04-15 11:20
Vikings vs. Bears	1	$1	3	0	+3	Vikings	+$2	09-19 20:31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	+$5	06-05 16:03
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	09-02 12:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	06-05 16:03
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	09-10 18:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	45	0	+45	No	-$1	05-11 19:53
49ers vs. Rams	1	$1	3	0	+3	49ers	+$2	09-10 18:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 19:51
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	-$1	06-05 16:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	05-11 19:54
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	09-02 11:56
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	1	$1	2	0	+2	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$1	03-26 18:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-11 19:52
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-22 23:07
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	09-02 11:58
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-13 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 20:31:24	Vikings vs. Bears	Vikings	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa72a27…
09-10 18:55:36	Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x16d348…
09-10 18:52:22	49ers vs. Rams	49ers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb7bd76…
09-10 18:51:19	Bears vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x29e062…
09-02 12:04:12	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x48beec…
09-02 11:58:06	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x028112…
09-02 11:56:49	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x89f884…
07-19 17:52:27	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3350ef…
07-08 14:25:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8b5096…
07-08 14:24:38	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcbee1d…
06-08 12:31:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0b521d…
06-08 12:28:48	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xb15a19…
06-05 16:03:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x92951d…
06-05 16:03:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6902b8…
06-05 16:03:13	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1085ae…
05-11 20:02:57	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xe01303…
05-11 19:54:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0147ce…
05-11 19:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x14b339…
05-11 19:52:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd0b685…
05-11 19:51:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9f26d3…
04-24 13:47:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78e66a…
04-15 11:20:18	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb8c6ac…
04-14 20:01:50	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x37e1ef…
04-13 22:36:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4e9bcc…
04-13 22:33:49	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9c7046…
03-26 18:11:31	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd0edf6…
03-22 23:07:01	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdef9b2…
03-22 23:06:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x405ecd…
03-13 12:31:47	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x523aed…
03-13 12:30:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x75c1dd…
03-08 05:02:33	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x6e2c37…
03-03 20:36:07	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x091376…