Truthful-Dinner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

60% 43% +$6

Politics

38% 46% -$5

Crypto

2% 67% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	20	$740	561	561	+0	No	+$0	05-04 23:26
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	18	$650	600	600	+0	No	+$1	05-11 20:27
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$378	197	197	+0	Yes	-$1	03-26 08:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	9	$328	315	315	+0	No	$0	05-11 14:16
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$320	164	164	+0	No	+$0	05-07 09:20
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	5	$315	167	167	+0	Yes	-$1	04-14 12:19
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	7	$310	162	162	+0	No	+$1	04-26 20:28
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$306	156	156	+0	No	+$0	04-24 19:10
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$273	147	147	+0	No	-$2	04-15 06:54
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	5	$188	180	180	+0	No	-$1	03-19 23:46
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$179	95	95	+0	No	+$0	04-07 19:03
will the uk join the board of peace	4	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-30 15:54
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$177	92	92	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 20:34
will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$176	89	89	+0	No	+$0	04-12 01:31
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	2	$174	91	91	+0	No	+$0	04-13 17:04
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$174	89	89	+0	No	+$0	04-15 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$173	382	382	+0	No	-$1	05-10 22:56
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$170	263	263	+0	No	+$0	04-06 04:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	2	$170	87	87	+0	No	+$0	03-31 20:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$169	89	89	+0	No	+$1	05-01 08:14
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	2	$169	86	86	+0	No	+$0	03-31 15:10
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$168	87	87	+0	No	+$0	04-22 09:44
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$167	97	97	+0	No	-$1	03-27 09:19
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$167	85	85	+0	No	+$0	04-30 13:57
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$165	84	84	+0	No	$0	03-28 14:49
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$164	85	85	+0	No	+$0	03-25 10:05
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$162	83	83	+0	No	$0	04-08 03:08
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$162	82	82	+0	No	+$0	04-05 21:49
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$160	128	128	+0	Yes	-$49	03-23 16:09
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$160	81	81	+0	No	$0	04-09 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 17:03:17	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xb3f0a8…
06-22 11:32:43	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x3637c2…
06-22 09:24:55	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xaf8e61…
06-02 01:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$3	0xd1f20d…
05-25 12:44:33	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x92bd50…
05-25 12:44:31	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	88	97¢	$86	0x4995b1…
05-25 09:59:42	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	117	4¢	$4	0xbb8d29…
05-25 07:51:30	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xcaa4b2…
05-25 07:51:29	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xeb1fd5…
05-25 07:51:29	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x140ea1…
05-22 01:27:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x43ccba…
05-21 03:03:23	Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x03f752…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe92de4…
05-19 05:25:03	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x3b1573…
05-19 05:24:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa65c4e…
05-18 08:18:59	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xad80c3…
05-13 19:04:25	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x029500…
05-13 14:47:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x93c274…
05-13 06:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xc25822…
05-12 20:21:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	2¢	$4	0x9eec14…
05-12 17:40:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xdf232b…
05-12 17:40:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x2e14e8…
05-12 17:40:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x060393…
05-12 03:05:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0x0c16ad…
05-12 03:04:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x2a3f50…
05-11 20:27:16	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x87c7c8…
05-11 20:27:16	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x09aad1…
05-11 17:58:17	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x0fdd88…
05-11 14:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xfd982c…
05-11 14:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xcf41c5…
05-11 10:04:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x98dc39…
05-11 10:04:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x28d580…
05-11 08:33:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	85	94¢	$79	0xf9417c…
05-11 05:42:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$79	0x78512a…
05-10 22:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x3d67b2…
05-10 19:38:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$1	0x8707f8…
05-10 19:38:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x80fda3…
05-10 08:10:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	4¢	$7	0x6d8249…
05-10 05:17:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x66e30f…
05-10 05:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x02f3f7…
05-09 19:28:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x3eeaac…
05-09 18:14:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x0a0389…
05-09 09:52:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	3¢	$6	0x1866de…
05-09 08:03:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	4¢	$6	0xd30ea1…
05-08 21:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$1	0xe64d89…
05-08 21:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xbdb799…
05-08 21:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$3	0x0e6eb1…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xe59eff…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0x49313b…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x22251c…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	84	96¢	$81	0x5e6221…
05-08 06:42:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	84	97¢	$81	0x7ca8dd…
05-07 14:08:49	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xcadd50…
05-07 14:08:49	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xbcf062…
05-07 14:08:42	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xd2bdf5…
05-07 11:59:33	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0x16c6ac…
05-07 09:20:39	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0xf00783…
05-07 04:20:26	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x12c8dd…
05-06 15:20:41	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xc5477e…
05-06 12:48:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x27d64f…
05-06 12:48:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0494ce…
05-06 09:23:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	70	92¢	$64	0xf2b03a…
05-06 09:23:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xb91397…
05-06 04:58:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x5e6554…
05-06 01:28:12	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xefd9b9…
05-06 01:27:26	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x1097ad…
05-05 18:57:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x7b4ed5…
05-05 15:56:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0x39cc1f…
05-05 06:50:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	4¢	$5	0x1b5a1e…
05-05 04:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x9dcbbf…
05-05 04:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x112666…
05-04 23:26:28	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	2¢	$2	0x3fd8f7…
05-04 21:09:40	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x8d0ead…
05-04 18:26:00	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	97¢	$86	0x54b583…
05-04 17:17:14	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x9f4444…
05-04 12:22:18	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xd5edd2…
05-04 12:22:18	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x285e8a…
05-04 11:07:26	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x51c7f6…
05-04 04:17:26	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$1	0xd1d91a…
05-04 01:28:02	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	2¢	$1	0xdc2077…
05-04 00:06:22	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$1	0x9adec0…
05-04 00:06:22	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x47a789…
05-03 22:05:18	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x47638c…
05-03 20:24:34	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x8c3346…
05-02 20:26:30	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0x81af85…
05-02 17:47:42	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x9ab6a4…
05-02 17:47:42	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x93fbfb…
05-02 14:57:50	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xf8d73b…
05-02 09:02:24	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xfe1a3b…
05-02 09:02:24	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xdfdce5…
05-02 08:55:32	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	88	96¢	$85	0x010f9d…
05-02 06:38:48	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0xd9dcfc…
05-01 23:32:56	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x908a68…
05-01 18:53:28	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x1640dc…
05-01 08:14:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$85	0xc0ee63…
05-01 05:46:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0xa0164a…
05-01 03:57:22	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x47cad5…
05-01 03:57:22	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x1fa395…
04-30 22:09:02	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x059862…
04-30 16:36:06	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0xc089d7…