Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$104

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-26 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

46% 88% +$2

Other

30% 100% +$1

Sports

12% 100% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	+60	$57	96¢	$57	+$0	10-22 09:24
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	+48	$47	96¢	$46	$0	10-20 06:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	05-23 19:49
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	06-18 00:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	3	$175	114	66	+48	open	—	10-20 06:16
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	09-17 10:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$128	66	66	+0	open	—	10-05 12:41
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	3	$114	47	68	-21	No	$0	05-22 08:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-28 17:11
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$100	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-28 09:05
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-23 12:07
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	2	$97	51	51	+0	open	—	10-26 13:55
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 08:27
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-25 16:31
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	4	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-11 11:39
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$93	48	48	+0	open	—	09-02 17:44
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$93	49	49	+0	open	—	05-23 19:49
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$92	48	48	+0	No	+$0	06-05 17:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	07-23 17:30
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$80	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	06-18 00:39
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	2	$80	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 14:33
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	2	$57	60	0	+60	open	—	10-22 09:24
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	1	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	10-19 23:13
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-12 11:41
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 09:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-10 19:41
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 10:32
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-18 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:55:05	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x8076b5…
10-22 09:24:50	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xfeb079…
10-20 06:16:35	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xf2d11c…
10-19 23:13:30	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$47	0x6a942c…
10-13 08:57:01	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x2d96da…
10-06 18:36:35	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0xa06d4d…
10-05 12:41:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x940abf…
10-05 12:40:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa81d66…
09-23 22:57:46	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xa489bf…
09-21 15:10:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xd95fcd…
09-20 08:27:35	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x6f5073…
09-17 10:59:18	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x954788…
09-11 11:39:27	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf09c60…
09-10 20:00:18	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x302b3c…
09-10 12:32:43	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x456d2b…
09-05 14:56:40	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x4cc908…
09-05 13:07:30	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa2c2c8…
09-04 20:11:36	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x18bb1a…
09-04 02:59:06	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x42ce2a…
09-02 17:44:12	Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x653fda…
07-25 16:31:30	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0a7625…
07-23 17:30:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x87d50d…
07-23 12:07:51	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xc9d249…
07-23 12:07:51	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x639eae…
07-21 11:00:33	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcd2196…
07-20 07:09:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4b78c8…
07-18 12:18:19	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x74cedf…
07-02 14:00:37	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x37b9fd…
06-30 14:33:52	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xe67402…
06-21 18:41:43	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x580d6e…
06-21 17:49:19	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xee1fa1…
06-18 11:00:55	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x0fdb45…
06-18 00:39:02	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7755f6…
06-18 00:00:50	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x857936…
06-17 23:08:55	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2bd81a…
06-17 22:29:47	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0cdfc1…
06-17 21:37:13	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x901c62…
06-14 21:22:48	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xdf8fb2…
06-14 03:49:30	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x4351bf…
06-05 17:58:33	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x5e8840…
05-28 17:11:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x01c991…
05-28 09:05:22	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x85bffb…
05-25 07:47:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x7ed1cf…
05-25 07:18:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xd34b79…
05-23 19:49:12	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf701f3…
05-23 18:10:36	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x6e489b…
05-23 17:49:25	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x942c50…
05-23 17:43:04	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x613ea5…
05-23 17:05:10	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xbd7faf…
05-22 08:30:53	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$47	0x019726…
05-20 17:03:26	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xa4763b…
05-16 08:20:07	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0xeab59a…
05-14 00:30:56	Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x613729…
05-13 14:26:03	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xd9fb88…
05-13 12:50:58	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x2a1767…
05-13 10:32:13	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb61253…
05-12 11:41:55	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfaa1ac…
05-10 19:41:09	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3ce3dc…
05-09 00:35:10	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x42022e…
05-08 04:10:11	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9564f3…
05-07 19:43:35	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x5b728e…
04-16 09:34:46	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xf676cd…
04-13 21:18:17	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x971501…
04-13 11:59:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0a2368…
04-13 11:14:15	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5bcaf5…
03-18 08:10:31	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x36733b…