Joyful-Whack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$182

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

253

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-23 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

63% 55% -$56

Other

29% 44% -$122

Crypto

7% 72% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	05-24 02:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+21	$11	8¢	$2	-$9	05-28 03:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+8	$4	20¢	$2	-$2	05-28 02:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	05-30 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$216	152	152	+0	Yes	+$18	04-05 03:46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$66	41	41	+0	Yes	+$12	04-05 03:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	9	$59	132	52	+80	No	+$35	05-25 23:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	11	$54	38	35	+4	Yes	+$3	05-15 19:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	14	$50	47	47	+0	No	-$14	05-20 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$43	27	27	+0	No	+$3	05-29 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$39	46	4	+42	No	-$31	04-30 18:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$4	03-29 20:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 05:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$20	19,500	0	+19,500	Yes	-$20	04-10 23:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	04-28 10:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$3	04-25 15:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$16	12	14	-2	Yes	-$2	06-09 21:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$15	32	18	+14	Yes	-$5	04-16 02:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$14	16	0	+16	Yes	+$2	05-04 01:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$13	17	12	+5	No	-$3	04-06 02:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	04-15 00:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$5	05-25 23:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$13	17	0	+17	Yes	-$13	04-05 05:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	4	$13	18	0	+18	No	-$13	05-25 23:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-06 06:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 04:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	04-02 23:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	9	$13	20	20	+0	No	-$6	05-20 14:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	3	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 20:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	03-30 23:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-29 20:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-28 03:36
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$11	16	0	+16	No	-$11	06-08 03:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$1	06-04 03:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 18:06:24	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbc286a…
07-23 18:06:16	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x218e19…
07-23 13:38:58	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x024286…
07-23 12:17:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7586f9…
07-23 10:55:40	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeb0658…
07-14 20:30:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe0e4a1…
07-14 10:30:23	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf05bd…
07-14 01:09:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2b3894…
07-14 01:07:16	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdaa928…
07-14 01:06:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb284e2…
07-13 19:51:14	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe621aa…
06-10 23:23:36	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x54ff41…
06-09 21:52:24	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xba24eb…
06-09 21:50:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc3f019…
06-08 05:23:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xae646f…
06-08 03:14:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x90d83f…
06-08 03:02:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc1fc4c…
06-08 03:01:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0913b1…
06-08 03:01:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x570ccb…
06-08 03:00:51	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5612a2…
06-08 02:58:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb26b6c…
06-08 02:57:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0f7746…
06-07 23:26:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc21323…
06-06 18:36:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc3691f…
06-06 18:36:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xaf6cc2…
06-04 03:02:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xabc012…
06-04 03:01:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x26a1bb…
05-30 05:20:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7abbfb…
05-30 05:20:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9a9092…
05-30 05:18:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf3be59…
05-30 05:18:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdf2e9f…
05-30 05:17:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x36b08c…
05-30 05:16:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95813d…
05-30 05:16:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2f908e…
05-29 19:54:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x649f96…
05-29 04:59:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x73fdd5…
05-28 03:36:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d5d2d…
05-28 02:50:25	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf6b3fe…
05-28 02:07:05	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaa8abc…
05-28 02:07:00	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7bc4b9…
05-27 23:25:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x85acc8…
05-27 23:25:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x612c3f…
05-27 21:12:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa68490…
05-27 21:12:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9e0c6e…
05-27 21:11:41	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x164c6b…
05-27 04:49:21	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x45ef16…
05-27 02:40:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x2e61ca…
05-27 02:39:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x617c9b…
05-27 02:39:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x565f17…
05-27 02:39:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x53f986…
05-27 02:38:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x53ddbf…
05-27 02:38:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbe44d1…
05-27 02:37:33	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8cf318…
05-26 02:26:29	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x1d4275…
05-26 02:24:23	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x63fba1…
05-26 01:52:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf41abe…
05-26 01:52:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x150eeb…
05-26 01:51:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x65112b…
05-25 23:48:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x9e543b…
05-25 23:47:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x753f4a…
05-25 23:19:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x43a492…
05-25 23:05:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xbc7189…
05-25 23:03:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0x3e4049…
05-25 21:33:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x79f846…
05-25 21:32:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5fd9ca…
05-25 21:32:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd31892…
05-24 02:59:02	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xf6f2a7…
05-23 18:12:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0b50fd…
05-23 18:11:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5f48e…
05-23 18:11:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcb399f…
05-23 18:10:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8f667b…
05-23 17:25:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x38a6ee…
05-23 02:35:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcca94c…
05-23 02:34:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x9bfc54…
05-23 02:30:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x20753a…
05-22 22:05:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07a6d3…
05-22 22:05:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2b7219…
05-22 22:05:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc77d38…
05-22 22:04:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x4c6621…
05-22 22:04:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x29d5a2…
05-22 19:36:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3d8839…
05-22 19:36:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd328a5…
05-21 20:52:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe32996…
05-21 04:25:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfca420…
05-20 14:38:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x5c5ca7…
05-20 14:38:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xfcf534…
05-20 14:38:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xfa68f0…
05-20 14:38:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	47	39¢	$18	0x3c8439…
05-20 04:20:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xd3a36f…
05-20 03:25:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x6050d7…
05-19 23:00:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd183cb…
05-18 18:57:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xca507c…
05-18 18:56:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfe1249…
05-15 23:20:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbe2c2a…
05-15 23:19:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x31b5be…
05-15 19:41:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x88eb46…
05-15 19:40:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x125ea7…
05-15 19:39:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x15152a…
05-15 19:39:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0xd2000a…
05-15 18:51:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe03e0f…