Wobbly-Pomelo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

1,419

Trades

4,966

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-27 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 72% -$111

Other

4% 59% +$88

Tech

1% 67% +$18

Politics

0% 0% -$27

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:30 UTC	125	$414	287	311	-24	Up	+$3	02-26 19:34
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	2	$326	179	179	+0	Yes	+$32	07-08 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:10 UTC	40	$138	93	109	-16	Down	+$21	02-26 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 12:20 UTC	5	$135	70	70	+0	Up	+$4	02-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:55 UTC	53	$128	103	120	-18	Down	$0	02-26 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 06:15 UTC	44	$126	120	119	+1	Down	+$5	02-23 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 11:50 UTC	6	$118	48	72	-24	Up	+$1	02-16 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:50 UTC	60	$118	142	108	+34	Up	+$27	02-26 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 12:30 UTC	7	$116	48	72	-24	Down	+$2	02-16 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 11:45 UTC	3	$112	58	58	+0	Up	+$2	02-16 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 07:50 UTC	12	$108	82	80	+1	Up	+$4	02-23 07:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:20 UTC	24	$104	131	132	-1	Down	-$13	02-23 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 07:35 UTC	14	$103	75	74	+1	Up	+$6	02-23 07:39
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	3	$99	54	54	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$10	05-16 17:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$99	80	80	+0	No	-$2	05-30 10:05
bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	16	$99	66	65	+1	Down	+$20	03-09 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 07:45 UTC	9	$95	55	55	+0	Down	+$3	02-23 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 06:00 UTC	27	$89	85	79	+6	Up	+$2	02-23 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:30 UTC	11	$88	66	59	+7	Down	+$28	02-23 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:40 UTC	5	$88	46	58	-12	Down	-$10	02-16 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:30 UTC	12	$88	75	35	+41	Down	-$22	02-23 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 04:45 UTC	29	$87	95	79	+16	Down	+$1	02-23 04:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:15 UTC	32	$86	76	83	-7	Up	-$1	02-26 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:25 UTC	9	$85	55	55	+0	Up	+$11	02-23 14:31
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	3	$83	114	86	+29	No	+$32	05-20 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 20:45 UTC	24	$81	106	106	+0	Down	$0	02-15 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 09:30 UTC	3	$80	29	58	-29	Up	+$6	02-16 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 05:20 UTC	26	$80	90	78	+12	Down	-$6	02-23 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 12:35 UTC	11	$79	68	25	+43	Up	-$38	02-16 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 04:55 UTC	23	$79	80	78	+2	Up	+$7	02-23 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 10:53:19	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0e1550…
07-12 13:37:14	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0xf867d1…
07-12 13:37:05	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0x577a3c…
07-11 06:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x402b0c…
07-11 06:31:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	48	16¢	$7	0x41e72d…
07-10 19:41:31	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x962827…
07-10 19:35:44	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x5c4f05…
07-10 19:14:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0x38e209…
07-10 18:54:17	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xdcc4ad…
07-10 18:54:16	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa1f9ab…
07-10 08:16:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 11?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xd524bf…
07-10 03:14:40	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	16¢	$12	0x02eaf1…
07-10 03:05:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xf8de90…
07-10 03:05:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9bcacf…
07-10 02:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xbe48dd…
07-10 01:17:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 11?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xa00658…
07-10 00:57:41	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xa58bc1…
07-09 15:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5b3b45…
07-08 08:03:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xd7ce04…
07-06 17:51:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	Yes	BUY	179	82¢	$147	0x76b9b7…
05-31 06:17:40	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$16	0x698659…
05-30 15:48:06	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$9	0x1f9c6e…
05-30 10:05:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x9d9e9d…
05-25 13:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	No	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0x6aaadc…
05-25 08:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0xb29335…
05-25 08:14:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x880f83…
05-25 08:08:11	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xb0e357…
05-25 05:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x49f10b…
05-25 05:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x7f4a18…
05-24 04:41:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xb5b6dc…
05-24 04:39:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xaa99ce…
05-24 04:35:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0xe0cf2c…
05-23 21:33:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x351011…
05-23 21:33:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xc9cbcd…
05-21 18:04:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x5ddc74…
05-21 17:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x849f28…
05-20 04:45:01	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	No	SELL	86	51¢	$43	0x6e296e…
05-20 00:45:30	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	17¢	$15	0xd2e7dd…
05-19 00:14:53	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xd6b5d3…
05-19 00:06:54	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x849b67…
05-18 19:56:55	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc140e3…
05-18 16:46:32	Hamburg European Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc4c5be…
05-18 16:38:38	Hamburg European Open: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Gea	Zizou Bergs	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x6d9cb0…
05-18 14:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0x0f8a17…
05-18 14:52:26	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x90c85e…
05-18 14:46:52	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xeb65d2…
05-18 14:35:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x85a3b3…
05-18 13:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdbaba9…
05-18 13:01:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb047e4…
05-18 09:39:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xfef403…
05-18 08:10:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x4ca91f…
05-18 08:07:35	Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xa9d32c…
05-18 05:24:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x911caa…
05-18 04:40:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xf4cc38…
05-18 04:37:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0d3297…
05-17 18:34:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x8e3104…
05-17 11:10:17	Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	FULL SENSE	SELL	32	21¢	$7	0x7485af…
05-17 10:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x317f6c…
05-17 07:50:19	Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	FULL SENSE	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x996404…
05-17 07:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5857ac…
05-17 06:25:23	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0xbdb607…
05-16 18:59:51	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x82799b…
05-16 18:06:22	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x15ab80…
05-16 18:04:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x075eeb…
05-16 17:59:13	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x14605b…
05-16 17:58:56	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Legacy	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xd33b46…
05-16 17:44:50	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x399f5e…
05-16 16:28:48	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xee63c6…
05-16 16:23:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2c1d50…
05-16 16:01:18	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x861d00…
05-16 15:48:03	LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa51a38…
05-16 15:47:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x54c25b…
05-16 15:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x286e54…
05-16 15:08:20	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xd103e4…
05-16 13:24:44	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x732d66…
05-16 13:09:34	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6b967f…
05-16 06:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xebfa3e…
05-16 06:33:31	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x86a825…
05-16 04:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x63135f…
05-16 04:41:57	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd9d0f3…
05-16 04:41:34	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0543c5…
05-16 04:41:24	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x4d77c5…
05-16 04:41:15	LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x3bd5fa…
05-16 04:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xd49f3d…
05-16 04:17:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x940591…
03-09 15:39:51	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	SELL	65	91¢	$59	0xb05d74…
03-09 15:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd2f6ae…
03-09 15:28:19	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xe30de6…
03-09 15:28:19	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x8d2f08…
03-09 15:28:11	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xabb9af…
03-09 15:28:11	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6ad4b0…
03-09 15:28:07	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x055cbb…
03-09 15:28:05	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1d10b7…
03-09 15:28:01	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x2b0a70…
03-09 15:27:59	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xbebd07…
03-09 15:27:51	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x8fa294…
03-09 15:27:51	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x810ebc…
03-09 15:27:45	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xf8bdb8…
03-09 15:27:43	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xf8880e…
03-09 15:27:43	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xb0e5cf…