Realized P&L (30d)
-$14.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$222
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved (30d)
237
Trades (30d)
3,402
290,641 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$94.3K
$3.31M lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-14 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 54% -$11,890
Other
6% 29% -$5,763
Sports
3% 46% -$10,168
Tech
0% 100% +$87
Politics
0% 100% +$452
Pop-Culture
0% 75% -$319
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 2001 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +293 $229 90¢ $265 +$36 11-06 06:10
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader? Yes +237 $221 96¢ $227 +$7 11-08 16:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +237 $141 93¢ $220 +$80 11-11 14:28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +212 $187 90¢ $190 +$3 11-10 12:15
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +194 $151 78¢ $152 +$1 11-09 20:39
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +138 $80 94¢ $129 +$49 11-02 17:18
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? No +189 $104 68¢ $129 +$25 11-11 22:42
Will "A Dog's Perfect Christmas" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Yes +132 $119 94¢ $124 +$5 11-13 23:55
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +85 $78 100¢ $85 +$6 11-06 00:20
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +76 $74 98¢ $74 +$1 11-09 23:28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +155 $119 44¢ $67 -$52 10-30 14:25
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? Yes +74 $65 88¢ $66 +$1 11-09 20:32
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%? Yes +69 $59 86¢ $59 $0 11-14 01:10
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +92 $63 52¢ $48 -$15 11-13 22:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? No +46 $39 100¢ $46 +$7 11-06 00:23
will anthropics ipo price be between 66pt00 and 69pt99 No +48 $47 90¢ $44 -$3 11-13 03:01
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? No +63 $40 70¢ $44 +$4 11-11 01:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +44 $25 86¢ $38 +$13 10-28 17:26
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +33 $28 98¢ $33 +$4 10-30 14:23
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +32 $27 96¢ $31 +$5 10-29 23:19
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +31 $24 92¢ $28 +$4 11-13 07:27
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +24 $7 93¢ $23 +$16 11-09 22:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +22 $19 97¢ $22 +$3 11-09 20:11
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? No +24 $21 81¢ $19 -$1 11-13 04:03
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +21 $8 90¢ $19 +$10 11-09 02:54
Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO? Yes +33 $11 52¢ $17 +$6 11-13 04:07
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings? No +21 $10 68¢ $14 +$4 11-11 12:19
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 11-07 06:28
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +16 $8 49¢ $8 $0 11-13 17:00
New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026? No +7 $3 76¢ $5 +$2 11-12 16:01