Realized P&L (90d)
-$14.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$220
Hit rate
49.1%
Resolved (90d)
840
Trades (90d)
7,840
275,221 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$233.0K
$3.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-15 06:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 54% -$11,890
Other
6% 29% -$5,381
Sports
3% 47% -$10,064
Tech
0% 100% +$87
Politics
0% 100% +$452
Pop-Culture
0% 75% -$319
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 2001 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +293 $229 88¢ $256 +$27 11-06 06:10
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader? Yes +237 $221 98¢ $232 +$12 11-08 16:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +237 $141 95¢ $225 +$84 11-11 14:28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +212 $187 92¢ $196 +$10 11-10 12:15
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +194 $151 86¢ $166 +$14 11-09 20:39
Will "The Gospel of Christmas" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Yes +171 $155 89¢ $152 -$3 11-14 17:20
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +138 $80 95¢ $130 +$51 11-02 17:18
Will "A Dog's Perfect Christmas" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Yes +132 $119 98¢ $129 +$10 11-13 23:55
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? No +189 $104 64¢ $121 +$17 11-11 22:42
Will "Reminders of Him" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Yes +121 $99 92¢ $111 +$11 11-14 13:52
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +85 $78 100¢ $85 +$6 11-06 00:20
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? Yes +76 $74 98¢ $74 +$1 11-09 23:28
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%? Yes +82 $71 86¢ $70 $0 11-14 14:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +155 $119 44¢ $67 -$52 10-30 14:25
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? Yes +74 $65 90¢ $67 +$1 11-09 20:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? No +46 $39 100¢ $46 +$7 11-06 00:23
will anthropics ipo price be between 66pt00 and 69pt99 No +48 $47 90¢ $44 -$3 11-13 03:01
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? No +63 $40 66¢ $41 +$2 11-11 01:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +44 $25 86¢ $38 +$13 10-28 17:26
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5 Over +73 $39 52¢ $37 -$1 11-15 06:24
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? Yes +92 $63 39¢ $36 -$27 11-13 22:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? Yes +33 $28 99¢ $33 +$5 10-30 14:23
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +32 $27 96¢ $31 +$5 10-29 23:19
Will "The Gospel of Christmas" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Yes +32 $28 92¢ $30 +$2 11-14 12:22
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +31 $24 88¢ $27 +$3 11-13 07:27
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? Yes +24 $7 92¢ $22 +$16 11-09 22:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? Yes +22 $19 98¢ $22 +$3 11-09 20:11
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5 Under +43 $21 48¢ $21 $0 11-15 06:24
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? No +24 $21 82¢ $20 -$1 11-13 04:03
Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO? Yes +33 $11 57¢ $19 +$8 11-13 04:07