Realized P&L (7d)
+$492
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved (7d)
67
Trades (7d)
1,272
289,555 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$16.4K
$3.29M lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-06 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 54% -$11,890
Other
5% 25% -$5,357
Sports
3% 46% -$9,600
Politics
0% 100% +$452
Tech
0% 100% +$40
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$341
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 2001 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +288 $225 79¢ $227 +$2 11-05 12:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +213 $119 84¢ $178 +$59 11-04 01:24
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +138 $80 84¢ $116 +$36 11-02 17:18
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +146 $116 74¢ $107 -$9 10-30 02:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +155 $119 59¢ $91 -$28 10-30 14:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +85 $78 92¢ $78 -$1 11-06 00:20
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader? Yes +66 $59 97¢ $64 +$5 11-04 04:46
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more? No +53 $47 99¢ $53 +$6 11-03 14:04
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? No +64 $41 79¢ $50 +$9 11-05 09:02
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? No +46 $39 80¢ $37 -$2 11-06 00:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +44 $25 72¢ $32 +$7 10-28 17:26
Will "The Day After Tomorrow" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Yes — +42 $38 74¢ $31 -$7 11-06 02:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +74 $27 40¢ $30 +$3 11-05 18:30
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +32 $27 92¢ $30 +$3 10-29 23:19
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? Yes +29 $27 98¢ $29 +$2 11-04 04:54
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +29 $20 65¢ $19 -$1 11-01 17:51
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more? No +15 $14 96¢ $15 +$1 11-02 23:47
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? Yes +57 $9 24¢ $14 +$5 11-04 08:42
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +12 $8 81¢ $10 +$2 10-28 21:09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +13 $11 72¢ $10 -$1 11-01 18:08
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14? No +16 -$1 58¢ $9 +$10 11-05 21:20
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 11-04 20:42
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? Yes +22 $5 17¢ $4 -$1 11-05 04:44
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? Yes +5 $1 75¢ $4 +$3 11-04 23:30
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? Yes +13 $3 26¢ $3 +$0 11-06 00:26
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $0 11-03 02:32
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? Yes — +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 11-03 20:47
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? No +36 $28 2¢ $1 -$27 11-02 18:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026? Yes +5 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-04 23:43
Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week? Yes +23 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 11-01 03:35