Incomparable-Brocolli-Phase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$663

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-24 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$3

Crypto

38% 0% $-1

Other

16% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+5	$1	12¢	$1	$-0	06-24 16:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		+3	$1	12¢	$0	$-1	05-29 00:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	14	$41	21	24	-2	open	—	05-30 21:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$25	13	15	-1	open	—	05-30 21:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-27 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 01:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	9	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-28 01:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$14	14	7	+8	open	—	05-30 01:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$13	12	3	+9	open	—	05-07 13:02
btc updown 5m 1776471900	3	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-18 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	05-30 04:49
btc updown 5m 1776919500	2	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	04-23 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	05-30 20:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	10	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	05-04 02:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	7	$11	7	8	-1	open	—	05-29 14:48
btc updown 5m 1776918900	2	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-23 04:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	6	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-07 13:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 02:10
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$8	19	19	+0	open	—	04-18 00:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 04:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-10 17:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	7	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-21 22:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-13 17:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-07 12:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 04:44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	6	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 12:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 02:09
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	4	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 04:47
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	5	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 04:15
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	4	$5	41	0	+41	open	—	04-19 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:26:49	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f65ce…
06-10 00:52:28	evo morales arrested by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x289b00…
06-10 00:36:12	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5f25df…
06-10 00:36:00	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x17c6e8…
06-10 00:30:37	btc updown 5m 1781051400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa58841…
06-10 00:29:00	btc updown 5m 1781051100	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf94791…
06-07 05:49:31	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x00a3a0…
06-06 06:49:15	btc updown 5m 1780728300	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc975cd…
06-06 06:46:57	btc updown 5m 1780728300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x430d02…
06-06 06:41:43	btc updown 5m 1780728000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38bc32…
06-06 06:41:25	btc updown 5m 1780728000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe23805…
06-06 06:37:30	btc updown 5m 1780727700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcd9d1d…
06-05 04:21:18	btc updown 5m 1780633200	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x25ce92…
06-05 04:11:16	btc updown 5m 1780632600	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe33119…
06-05 04:05:16	btc updown 5m 1780632300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbab25e…
06-04 22:51:03	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe6bd41…
06-04 22:45:54	btc updown 5m 1780613100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb39f82…
06-04 05:05:19	btc updown 5m 1780549500	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x35a0ab…
06-04 02:20:31	btc updown 5m 1780539600	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x795326…
06-04 02:11:31	btc updown 5m 1780539000	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9ba2b3…
06-04 02:02:55	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xce6651…
06-03 04:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2e246c…
06-03 04:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbc037f…
06-03 04:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa66f7c…
06-03 04:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd34427…
06-03 04:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x47565d…
06-03 03:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x752eb1…
06-03 03:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7deff8…
06-03 03:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3f95f1…
06-03 00:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x91801f…
06-03 00:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2e97ac…
06-03 00:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe228d9…
06-03 00:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc73396…
06-03 00:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd5ea10…
06-03 00:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x212f3a…
06-02 23:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7690a4…
06-02 23:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x976a03…
06-02 23:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x48e081…
06-02 23:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x25a2cb…
06-02 23:25:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd92bd9…
06-02 23:23:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6e01b3…
06-01 03:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xae5dd4…
06-01 02:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7d6d3c…
06-01 02:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5691fd…
06-01 02:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xac4c30…
06-01 02:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x688196…
06-01 02:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x501a55…
06-01 02:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdcff8d…
06-01 02:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd05a9a…
06-01 02:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x999049…
06-01 02:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb4a0ba…
06-01 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x885787…
06-01 02:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x020833…
05-31 16:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x92d647…
05-31 15:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x930e1c…
05-31 15:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8c45f6…
05-31 15:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3792fd…
05-31 15:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x318bf3…
05-31 15:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8f36ee…
05-31 15:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbcaa76…
05-31 04:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x40a684…
05-31 02:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2b8c2a…
05-31 02:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x79fd42…
05-31 02:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3aecf6…
05-31 02:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7bc7f9…
05-31 02:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x874759…
05-31 02:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7186d1…
05-31 02:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x479ede…
05-31 02:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf3929f…
05-31 02:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4b1745…
05-31 02:24:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x47d4b5…
05-30 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x67109f…
05-30 21:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x47e6a1…
05-30 21:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0856df…
05-30 21:49:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc9b739…
05-30 21:47:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xea540c…
05-30 21:47:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa156a9…
05-30 21:45:58	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x0af4c7…
05-30 21:45:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x28fa83…
05-30 21:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9cd337…
05-30 21:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xaa13ae…
05-30 21:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x06d56d…
05-30 21:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x35e6ea…
05-30 21:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5f38ae…
05-30 21:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4c044a…
05-30 20:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc94b60…
05-30 20:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf39e65…
05-30 20:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd8aac3…
05-30 20:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xbe46ed…
05-30 20:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbea15e…
05-30 19:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x96bad2…
05-30 18:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x92306b…
05-30 18:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a8c7f…
05-30 18:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8470c9…
05-30 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa2e0e0…
05-30 17:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbb6dff…
05-30 16:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd2091d…
05-30 16:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83bb52…
05-30 05:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0d18c3…
05-30 05:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8ebb3b…