Feline-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$783

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

526

Trades

1,699

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$138

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

73% 48% +$735

Politics

15% 34% -$4

Crypto

12% 62% -$63

Sports

1% 36% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+50	$31	61¢	$30	-$1	07-04 23:42
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$1	07-06 12:19
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+20	$13	91¢	$18	+$5	07-06 16:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+20	$18	90¢	$18	$0	10-21 18:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+20	$10	89¢	$18	+$8	07-06 17:45
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	+20	$12	80¢	$16	+$4	07-10 02:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	+10	$9	100¢	$10	+$1	07-05 13:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$8	82¢	$8	+$0	07-13 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	30	$804	610	590	+20	open	—	07-06 17:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	47	$344	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 16:00
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	5	$303	400	300	+100	No	+$361	06-03 17:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24?	18	$287	225	225	+0	No	-$5	06-24 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	12	$197	105	105	+0	Yes	+$9	07-01 11:00
will edgex launch a token in 2025	45	$160	57,386	19,198	+38,188	Yes	-$52	01-02 01:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24?	12	$159	170	100	+70	Yes	-$20	06-24 13:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 31?	37	$158	191	191	+0	Yes	+$117	05-31 11:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	08-04 11:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	11	$154	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-09 17:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	8	$138	155	105	+50	open	—	08-04 13:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$110	150	150	+0	No	+$2	06-09 17:21
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	4	$109	100	100	+0	No	+$65	06-03 17:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23?	7	$109	75	45	+30	Yes	+$3	06-23 15:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$108	56	56	+0	No	+$0	06-23 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?	3	$99	100	14	+86	No	+$12	06-24 17:42
Will "Texas" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	+$84	06-03 17:00
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$3	08-15 17:33
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 38 39f	3	$82	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	02-16 02:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$78	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	07-08 02:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	07-05 22:46
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 27?	6	$75	80	80	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 18:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$74	200	200	+0	No	+$2	07-08 03:18
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	7	$73	250	250	+0	No	+$66	06-03 17:00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?	6	$70	125	100	+25	Yes	+$16	06-02 20:06
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$63	65	15	+50	Yes	+$3	06-26 21:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-23 16:00 UTC	9	$62	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	06-23 16:44
will trump say bitcoin in february	3	$61	69	0	+69	No	+$8	02-27 21:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?	19	$61	145	65	+80	Yes	+$22	07-02 12:31
Will Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?	3	$60	71	0	+71	No	+$11	05-23 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:51:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x6c95cb…
10-22 04:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9a82ac…
10-22 00:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xb5698b…
10-21 22:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x703f27…
10-21 18:51:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4e2115…
10-21 04:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x83ae1f…
10-21 04:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x492fc5…
10-21 03:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 21?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe55723…
10-21 03:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc0191f…
10-21 02:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 22?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa76c06…
10-21 00:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x0b491c…
10-20 21:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x4f23d6…
10-20 18:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa4b79a…
10-20 18:04:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x26120f…
10-20 17:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdbf018…
10-20 17:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0x12ec5e…
10-20 17:14:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x080384…
10-20 17:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xfd9ea9…
10-20 17:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 21?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x749680…
10-20 17:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 21?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xecd581…
10-05 23:52:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x6867b4…
08-15 17:33:13	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x666ea7…
08-13 04:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe2dd1b…
08-13 00:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x824a4e…
08-12 21:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8c4e77…
08-12 20:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x613cec…
08-12 17:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe2663f…
08-12 17:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x537992…
08-12 17:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbf475f…
08-12 17:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf97e10…
08-12 16:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x749c3a…
08-12 16:37:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb78a12…
08-12 16:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x677cb5…
08-12 16:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x48b5df…
08-12 16:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x35c224…
08-12 16:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2342d3…
08-12 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe2ad8c…
08-12 16:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xe7e85e…
08-12 16:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5dd770…
08-12 16:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfbba85…
08-12 16:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd82988…
08-12 16:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x918719…
08-12 16:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x72372b…
08-12 16:19:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc631f9…
08-12 16:19:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa8004e…
08-12 16:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x880249…
08-12 16:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x633ee4…
08-11 23:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd1b8ff…
08-11 22:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2aea87…
08-11 22:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4f2154…
08-11 22:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd1c374…
08-11 22:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb166b4…
08-11 22:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee8ae8…
08-11 22:15:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xdc7469…
08-11 22:04:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd4c2cf…
08-11 22:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd53ae7…
08-11 21:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1ad1bb…
08-11 21:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5206e0…
08-11 21:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0ee200…
08-11 21:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbe3909…
08-11 21:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe0f804…
08-11 21:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2863ce…
08-11 21:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x573b31…
08-11 21:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb39b11…
08-11 21:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 12?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x2842ae…
08-11 21:41:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3c0cd2…
08-11 21:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x44bccf…
08-11 21:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xba9a4e…
08-11 21:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc45802…
08-11 21:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc050f3…
08-11 21:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xada8f3…
08-11 21:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x97f645…
08-11 21:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9df663…
08-11 21:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x434dec…
08-11 21:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 12?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7a924e…
08-11 21:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 12?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x51101c…
08-11 21:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5805c8…
08-11 21:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdc57a1…
08-11 21:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x352c59…
08-11 21:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x482c43…
08-11 21:31:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 12?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x764ffd…
08-11 21:31:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0e205c…
08-11 21:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbdb001…
08-11 21:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9c832c…
08-11 21:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7cf0b1…
08-11 21:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5acd38…
08-11 21:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe3ab01…
08-11 21:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7b12bc…
08-11 21:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd0ddca…
08-11 21:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x16addd…
08-11 21:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe070b6…
08-11 21:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x15ac61…
08-11 21:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x36416d…
08-11 21:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xeb31e3…
08-11 21:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1cf1b2…
08-11 21:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x408bbd…
08-11 21:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc8cbea…
08-11 21:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x73c656…
08-11 21:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2631c8…
08-11 21:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x83aa30…