Downright-Carriage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.9%

Resolved

123

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-18 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

70% 23% -$47

Politics

23% 11% -$16

Crypto

6% 33% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	4	$188	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-07 19:15
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 22:01
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	7	$87	80	80	+0	No	-$12	05-06 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	2	$74	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 07:18
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	10	$72	107	107	+0	No	$0	05-05 19:00
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	6	$67	80	80	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	3	$59	47	47	+0	Yes	+$6	05-09 10:41
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-05 18:28
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	2	$54	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-18 17:33
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	2	$50	50	50	+0	No	-$3	05-18 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	6	$49	50	50	+0	No	-$3	05-08 18:43
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	2	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	05-08 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	8	$48	50	50	+0	No	-$4	05-10 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$42	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-18 16:46
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?	2	$37	50	50	+0	Yes	-$21	05-14 21:39
Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	-$3	05-06 08:23
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$32	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	5	$30	50	0	+50	No	+$20	05-09 22:17
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	05-05 21:42
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?	4	$28	50	50	+0	Yes	-$25	05-06 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$28	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-06 13:45
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$27	44	44	+0	No	-$1	05-18 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	-$2	05-07 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	2	$13	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-13 00:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$13	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 05:07
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 12:08
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 18:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	05-12 12:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 12:53
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	2	$8	30	30	+0	No	-$1	05-05 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 17:33:56	Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x9b747b…
05-18 17:33:46	Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x29fa7e…
05-18 16:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$21	0xb21ef1…
05-18 16:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xd7809c…
05-18 13:51:08	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xd1842d…
05-18 13:50:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x590eb9…
05-18 13:25:09	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0x47fb6f…
05-18 13:24:55	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0xeb5ad6…
05-15 07:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xff0060…
05-15 07:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xc0f3bb…
05-15 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x0d6ed8…
05-15 00:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf7587c…
05-14 23:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x9e4803…
05-14 23:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x474024…
05-14 22:01:02	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x070031…
05-14 22:00:53	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x639d20…
05-14 21:39:20	Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x953172…
05-14 21:39:06	Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xe69633…
05-13 18:56:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xdcc163…
05-13 18:56:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6cc8bc…
05-13 00:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0xe7063f…
05-13 00:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x850860…
05-12 12:49:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x781c00…
05-12 12:48:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4937d9…
05-12 09:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xcdd6a0…
05-12 08:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xac7849…
05-11 16:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x507742…
05-11 16:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xcddb90…
05-11 02:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xd26b02…
05-11 01:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0f8316…
05-10 18:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 11?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x889108…
05-10 18:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xee3c93…
05-10 09:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2cccb9…
05-10 09:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	SELL	44	44¢	$20	0x9b61c7…
05-10 04:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x975b4e…
05-10 04:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xad655b…
05-10 00:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3ccea4…
05-09 23:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xfbe81a…
05-09 23:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x95d6b3…
05-09 23:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0xecd0bd…
05-09 22:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x4d3450…
05-09 22:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0xeb8338…
05-09 22:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x391bb0…
05-09 22:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x78ad58…
05-09 22:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7fa59d…
05-09 10:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0xb8245b…
05-09 10:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	No	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x9ec342…
05-08 22:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	47	56¢	$27	0x5a61f7…
05-08 18:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xcc255b…
05-08 18:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	No	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xce3aba…
05-08 18:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xfab363…
05-08 18:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xa76034…
05-08 18:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	No	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0xf05d85…
05-08 18:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x7c941a…
05-08 13:47:39	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xbb496e…
05-08 13:47:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xf359f6…
05-07 19:15:26	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x7df0e5…
05-07 19:12:33	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x5e0f20…
05-07 18:52:26	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x180066…
05-07 18:44:26	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xfbc689…
05-07 11:30:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x4c0f99…
05-07 09:47:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6ed918…
05-07 01:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x950a3d…
05-07 01:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x92694c…
05-06 23:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xd47a36…
05-06 21:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa08ea2…
05-06 13:45:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x652062…
05-06 13:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x8870db…
05-06 13:03:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x3b9d00…
05-06 13:03:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x4fac9a…
05-06 12:53:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x679daf…
05-06 12:52:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xc5f3a6…
05-06 12:44:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf46f18…
05-06 12:08:02	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x5eee8e…
05-06 12:07:58	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x3785d7…
05-06 11:58:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xbf3393…
05-06 11:57:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa52be2…
05-06 09:18:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xf281b9…
05-06 09:15:24	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x01d8b8…
05-06 09:10:34	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xbcab29…
05-06 09:08:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x79ec1b…
05-06 09:08:44	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5104e8…
05-06 08:23:50	Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x4b3d10…
05-06 08:03:52	Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbcd33e…
05-06 07:27:04	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xbc4bdb…
05-06 05:07:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x408357…
05-05 23:45:00	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x4315aa…
05-05 22:55:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xdb4917…
05-05 21:42:32	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x32d09b…
05-05 21:41:20	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x47e19c…
05-05 20:03:28	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xdeadbe…
05-05 20:03:22	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x083bad…
05-05 19:46:32	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xee45f6…
05-05 19:46:20	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x19861d…
05-05 19:46:14	Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x4dc389…
05-05 19:45:58	Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x33d615…
05-05 19:34:16	Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x4ca20f…
05-05 19:34:14	Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe8601a…
05-05 19:07:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x5d8310…
05-05 19:07:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xc0d7d9…