Large-Flax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.0%

Resolved

230

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$496

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-01 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

44% 7% -$2

Politics

32% 16% -$1

Crypto

17% 28% -$1

Tech

5% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-03 02:41
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 03:19
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:05
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:08
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-24 02:38
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 01:53
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:07
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:14
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-31 03:12
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 01:57
iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	3	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-07 03:25
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-21 01:55
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-16 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:45
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	07-18 03:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:12:06	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf1884b…
08-01 07:02:15	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae238c…
08-01 06:56:20	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc1dcdb…
08-01 06:48:05	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3a38a9…
07-31 03:24:56	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdbcebf…
07-31 03:22:15	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8895e…
07-31 03:12:06	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe38609…
07-31 02:59:08	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd59c73…
07-30 06:06:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9c2259…
07-30 04:13:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe6571c…
07-30 03:41:39	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xec1a2a…
07-30 03:05:51	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x04aa47…
07-29 04:48:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x43aa75…
07-29 04:30:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78a81a…
07-29 04:24:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x282132…
07-29 04:16:29	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6f5e9c…
07-28 04:14:09	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x365fbc…
07-28 03:35:10	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1fcc8f…
07-28 03:31:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf94f5f…
07-28 03:22:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2db3c2…
07-27 02:53:03	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdcf7b5…
07-27 02:42:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb11798…
07-27 02:39:27	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd2142b…
07-27 02:33:19	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee8995…
07-25 04:22:10	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x17fce8…
07-25 04:09:13	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeae6b3…
07-25 03:51:00	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0e03a6…
07-25 03:36:45	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa87977…
07-24 04:02:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa54b5b…
07-24 03:50:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa32f09…
07-24 03:41:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x763b73…
07-24 03:26:13	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdd4a59…
07-23 03:12:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x90b8cf…
07-23 03:04:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75b0f7…
07-23 03:02:06	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x93de2d…
07-23 02:57:09	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31a039…
07-22 03:10:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x20ff5c…
07-22 03:03:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2df0e…
07-22 02:58:34	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x67e0b8…
07-22 02:57:58	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x725635…
07-22 02:49:39	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8dbc27…
07-21 02:58:22	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x84b615…
07-21 02:52:22	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4e4c6…
07-21 02:47:58	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb585ed…
07-21 02:36:06	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaab071…
07-20 04:52:18	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x57be3e…
07-20 04:38:21	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22409f…
07-20 04:33:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x62abe6…
07-20 04:20:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x706a78…
07-18 04:34:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x20831d…
07-18 04:24:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd8bab9…
07-18 04:00:48	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x002bb2…
07-18 03:52:34	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xeff9bc…
07-18 03:45:58	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c8f31…
07-18 03:23:42	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01df4c…
07-17 03:11:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f959a…
07-17 02:57:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b1c0c…
07-17 02:51:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa072b9…
07-17 02:44:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6abf20…
07-16 02:59:46	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc7fecd…
07-16 02:40:37	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3670c5…
07-16 02:37:16	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x254371…
07-16 02:30:35	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xef7b26…
07-15 02:52:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x06fbf7…
07-15 02:45:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66df3b…
07-15 02:39:19	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x096bc5…
07-15 02:28:40	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbae9bd…
07-14 03:58:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb020ff…
07-14 03:53:43	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf1910f…
07-14 03:49:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2eb443…
07-14 03:30:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x783e34…
07-13 03:38:29	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0593de…
07-13 03:28:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02b920…
07-13 03:25:34	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa58c67…
07-13 03:16:29	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbaca3e…
07-11 03:08:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3df882…
07-11 03:01:40	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc3751…
07-11 02:55:28	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xafe22e…
07-11 02:47:32	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb544f5…
07-10 03:37:05	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8cd367…
07-10 03:13:16	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8e0e94…
07-10 03:08:56	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x052370…
07-10 03:07:26	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe784d3…
07-09 03:13:10	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9efef3…
07-09 02:48:17	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb91873…
07-09 02:46:11	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb1124d…
07-09 02:38:59	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x11b3b3…
07-08 03:20:20	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x67afeb…
07-08 03:16:25	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x76d1f3…
07-08 03:10:14	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4a01b8…
07-08 02:35:31	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6348a8…
07-07 03:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0c782b…
07-07 03:30:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x19089b…
07-07 03:25:59	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ded28…
07-07 03:23:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbee5c1…
07-07 03:16:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xabb362…
07-06 03:09:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8f3bf1…
07-06 02:59:29	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4fcb3…
07-06 02:56:23	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b73c5…
07-06 02:47:25	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc963b…