Large-Flax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.4%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$327

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-08 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-0

Politics

35% 33% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 02:38
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:14
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:57
iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-07 03:25
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 03:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 02:54
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-21 03:23
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:10
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:54
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 01:38
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 03:10:14	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4a01b8…
07-08 02:35:31	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6348a8…
07-07 03:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0c782b…
07-07 03:30:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x19089b…
07-07 03:25:59	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ded28…
07-07 03:23:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbee5c1…
07-07 03:16:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xabb362…
07-06 03:09:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8f3bf1…
07-06 02:59:29	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4fcb3…
07-04 02:54:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbee2a7…
07-04 02:36:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c7533…
07-04 02:34:29	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac0200…
07-04 02:20:28	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb6c8f…
07-02 02:54:52	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0f152e…
07-02 02:45:26	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d77bc…
07-02 02:39:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x750a1c…
07-02 02:32:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x353266…
07-01 02:21:26	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x94daba…
07-01 02:13:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a9bbd…
07-01 02:09:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1e9fbf…
07-01 01:55:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcabbfe…
06-30 02:51:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x287320…
06-30 02:44:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x002115…
06-30 02:41:02	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa6c0d4…
06-30 02:34:32	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4daa39…
06-29 04:27:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5e8e07…
06-29 04:12:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe09018…
06-29 04:06:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x06763b…
06-29 03:44:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa5c747…
06-27 02:34:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17eea6…
06-27 02:19:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc969c4…
06-27 02:15:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6101f7…
06-27 02:09:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe9fb22…
06-26 04:13:07	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9bf0eb…
06-26 03:44:41	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbccc6…
06-26 03:19:05	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeeae8e…
06-26 03:09:28	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ae52b…
06-25 03:50:46	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd61d3…
06-25 03:42:40	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf1d1d6…
06-25 03:37:55	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x071843…
06-25 03:35:31	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x70f1b2…
06-24 03:45:05	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x95934d…
06-24 03:44:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdcaae3…
06-24 03:37:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x753633…
06-24 03:31:44	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78d7b8…
06-23 02:48:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1033b6…
06-23 02:46:19	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x70aca2…
06-23 02:30:16	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x263058…
06-23 02:25:32	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9e4456…
06-22 03:04:25	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1b898e…
06-22 03:02:59	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x158c38…
06-22 02:45:34	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xebb689…
06-22 02:39:58	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3ec3c…
06-21 03:23:26	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x49a26e…
06-21 03:14:13	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x74e427…
06-18 02:59:34	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe4412b…
06-18 02:57:10	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x18cf74…
06-18 02:46:43	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x357976…
06-18 02:39:38	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f1478…
06-17 03:01:06	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xff7bd3…
06-17 02:52:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x42cef6…
06-17 02:49:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x874275…
06-17 02:36:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa87a79…
06-16 02:45:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x32e3bc…
06-16 02:38:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x784bbe…
06-16 02:24:21	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe41432…
06-15 03:05:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e4d1c…
06-15 02:43:07	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xacfd9e…
06-12 03:52:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x09560b…
06-12 03:43:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x23ea97…
06-12 03:40:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe10860…
06-12 03:24:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c81ee…
06-11 03:07:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x6ddfc3…
06-11 03:05:31	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x70c53e…
06-09 01:36:18	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x88aac6…
06-09 01:30:21	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x877668…
06-09 01:29:36	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x65fab4…
06-09 01:18:16	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc1c399…
06-06 03:28:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x586afd…
06-06 03:23:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee5b78…
06-06 03:18:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x609f5d…
06-06 03:03:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4d90e6…
06-04 02:41:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4328e5…
06-04 02:14:30	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x98b046…
06-04 02:06:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x272efe…
06-02 02:10:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6bce03…
06-02 02:05:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15423c…
06-02 01:56:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1763df…
06-01 02:58:29	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe03bda…
06-01 02:27:44	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcda148…
05-30 02:31:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc23fe2…
05-30 02:08:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3bf294…
05-29 02:09:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xba5021…
05-29 02:06:26	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0f09e…
05-29 01:55:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ab14c…
05-29 01:49:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5014a3…
05-28 03:29:37	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb952a8…
05-28 03:19:53	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc5225f…
05-25 02:47:41	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25d825…
05-25 02:38:40	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x185fbc…