Large-Flax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.4%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$382

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-28 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

34% 33% $-0

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 03:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 02:38
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:14
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:57
iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-07 03:25
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-27 02:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-18 03:45
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 03:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 02:54
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-21 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 04:14:09	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x365fbc…
07-28 03:35:10	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1fcc8f…
07-28 03:31:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf94f5f…
07-28 03:22:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2db3c2…
07-27 02:53:03	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdcf7b5…
07-27 02:42:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb11798…
07-27 02:39:27	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd2142b…
07-27 02:33:19	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xee8995…
07-25 04:22:10	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x17fce8…
07-25 04:09:13	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeae6b3…
07-25 03:51:00	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0e03a6…
07-25 03:36:45	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa87977…
07-24 04:02:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa54b5b…
07-24 03:50:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa32f09…
07-24 03:41:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x763b73…
07-24 03:26:13	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdd4a59…
07-23 03:12:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x90b8cf…
07-23 03:04:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x75b0f7…
07-23 03:02:06	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x93de2d…
07-23 02:57:09	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31a039…
07-22 03:10:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x20ff5c…
07-22 03:03:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2df0e…
07-21 02:58:22	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x84b615…
07-21 02:52:22	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc4e4c6…
07-21 02:47:58	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb585ed…
07-21 02:36:06	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaab071…
07-20 04:52:18	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x57be3e…
07-20 04:38:21	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x22409f…
07-20 04:33:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x62abe6…
07-20 04:20:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x706a78…
07-18 03:45:58	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c8f31…
07-18 03:23:42	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01df4c…
07-17 03:11:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f959a…
07-17 02:57:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b1c0c…
07-17 02:51:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa072b9…
07-17 02:44:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6abf20…
07-15 02:52:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x06fbf7…
07-15 02:45:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66df3b…
07-15 02:39:19	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x096bc5…
07-15 02:28:40	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbae9bd…
07-14 03:58:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb020ff…
07-14 03:53:43	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf1910f…
07-14 03:49:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2eb443…
07-14 03:30:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x783e34…
07-13 03:38:29	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0593de…
07-13 03:28:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02b920…
07-11 03:08:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3df882…
07-11 03:01:40	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc3751…
07-11 02:55:28	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xafe22e…
07-11 02:47:32	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb544f5…
07-10 03:37:05	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8cd367…
07-10 03:13:16	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8e0e94…
07-10 03:08:56	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x052370…
07-10 03:07:26	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe784d3…
07-09 02:46:11	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb1124d…
07-09 02:38:59	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x11b3b3…
07-08 03:10:14	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4a01b8…
07-08 02:35:31	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6348a8…
07-07 03:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0c782b…
07-07 03:30:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x19089b…
07-07 03:25:59	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ded28…
07-07 03:23:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbee5c1…
07-07 03:16:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xabb362…
07-06 03:09:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8f3bf1…
07-06 02:59:29	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf4fcb3…
07-04 02:54:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbee2a7…
07-04 02:36:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c7533…
07-04 02:34:29	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac0200…
07-04 02:20:28	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb6c8f…
07-02 02:54:52	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0f152e…
07-02 02:45:26	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d77bc…
07-02 02:39:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x750a1c…
07-02 02:32:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x353266…
07-01 02:21:26	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x94daba…
07-01 02:13:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a9bbd…
07-01 02:09:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1e9fbf…
07-01 01:55:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcabbfe…
06-30 02:51:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x287320…
06-30 02:44:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x002115…
06-30 02:41:02	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa6c0d4…
06-30 02:34:32	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4daa39…
06-29 04:27:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5e8e07…
06-29 04:12:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe09018…
06-29 04:06:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x06763b…
06-29 03:44:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa5c747…
06-27 02:34:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17eea6…
06-27 02:19:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc969c4…
06-27 02:15:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6101f7…
06-27 02:09:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe9fb22…
06-26 04:13:07	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9bf0eb…
06-26 03:44:41	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbccc6…
06-26 03:19:05	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xeeae8e…
06-26 03:09:28	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ae52b…
06-25 03:50:46	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd61d3…
06-25 03:42:40	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf1d1d6…
06-25 03:37:55	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x071843…
06-25 03:35:31	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x70f1b2…
06-24 03:45:05	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x95934d…
06-24 03:44:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdcaae3…
06-24 03:37:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x753633…