Minor-Identity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$42

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$94

$94 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-14 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

85% 75% +$42

Other

10% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	+21	$10	50¢	$10	+$0	05-14 01:15
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	+18	$10	55¢	$10	$-0	05-14 01:15
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	+19	$10	54¢	$10	$-0	05-14 01:15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	+19	$10	52¢	$10	$-0	05-14 01:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	05-14 01:09
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+9	$5	32¢	$3	$-2	05-14 01:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	+143	$2	1¢	$2	$-0	05-14 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:16:26	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4ee638…
05-14 01:15:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0d16b2…
05-14 01:15:21	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x12211b…
05-14 01:15:18	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0dd2fe…
05-14 01:15:14	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x43cf6d…
05-14 01:15:09	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x749243…
05-14 01:14:57	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf67916…
05-14 01:10:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x5f811f…
05-14 01:09:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7808e4…
05-07 23:11:33	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8646ec…
05-07 23:11:24	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6b5d37…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	8	$132.0K	979	05-14 12:40
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$4.13K	34	05-14 11:39
Unkempt-Image 0xd106…c79c	5	$3.28K	11	05-14 13:14
Essential-Shelf 0x2dc4…0c92	5	$1.79K	44	05-14 13:24
(anonymous) 0x5375…aeea	4	$78.3K	161	05-14 03:16
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$5.48K	59	05-14 03:14
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$2.27K	27	05-14 11:22
Probable-Atom 0x52e3…3337	4	$1.20K	8	05-14 10:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-14 01:15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-14 01:15
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-14 01:15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	18	+18	Texas Rangers	+$8	05-14 01:14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-14 01:15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	1	$10	43	+43	Miami Marlins	$-10	05-07 23:11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$10	21	+21	Tampa Bay Rays	+$11	05-07 23:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$10	43	+43	Cavaliers	+$33	05-14 01:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-14 01:09
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-14 01:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	143	+143	open	—	05-14 01:10