Great-Signup — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

49 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$662

$3.14K lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$315

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-12 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$12

Other

37% 100% +$33

Politics

13% 100% +$4

Sports

10% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$96	99¢	$99	+$3	10-14 08:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$96	94¢	$94	-$2	10-14 08:09
Will XRP reach $2.60 in November?	No	+64	$63	99¢	$63	$0	11-12 13:05
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+60	$59	98¢	$59	+$0	11-12 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$159	160	0	+160	No	+$1	03-11 10:50
will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	02-24 08:43
Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$134	145	0	+145	No	+$11	06-26 09:29
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$0	01-28 03:25
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	1	$121	122	0	+122	No	+$1	10-14 09:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$113	114	0	+114	No	+$1	04-08 03:58
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	2	$108	121	0	+121	Yes	+$13	05-19 08:58
ethereum above 1500 on february 25	2	$104	105	0	+105	Yes	+$1	02-24 08:55
will bitcoin dip to 76k december 29 january 4	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-04 09:36
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-28 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-30 07:36
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$3	06-26 09:20
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	04-05 02:45
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	08-08 08:18
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	03-09 08:17
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	10-14 08:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	10-14 08:09
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	05-18 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 1?	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	06-30 07:38
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	08-28 13:37
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	1	$79	79	0	+79	Yes	+$0	07-25 11:21
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	1	$76	78	0	+78	No	+$2	09-10 07:40
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	08-29 02:49
Will XRP reach $2.60 in November?	1	$63	64	0	+64	open	—	11-12 13:05
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	4	$63	65	65	+0	Yes	+$3	04-06 12:55
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	1	$61	62	0	+62	No	+$1	06-07 06:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-17 03:59
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	1	$59	60	0	+60	open	—	11-12 12:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-05 02:46
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	07-25 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 13:05:03	Will XRP reach $2.60 in November?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x0eccba…
11-12 12:45:37	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4481e9…
10-14 09:09:28	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x779929…
10-14 08:09:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x026614…
10-14 08:09:31	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdd4d71…
09-10 07:40:19	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x7dda69…
08-29 02:49:57	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x4364ae…
08-28 13:37:36	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf55ff0…
08-08 08:18:28	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5c0c07…
08-08 08:16:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb8a798…
07-25 11:21:34	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2b609f…
07-25 11:19:57	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdc565…
07-25 11:17:54	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x20f178…
07-25 08:55:03	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc94a00…
07-25 08:53:16	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba1fda…
07-25 08:30:58	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb4c32d…
07-25 08:27:49	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x2e337c…
07-25 08:23:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xc6507d…
06-30 07:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa71167…
06-30 07:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on July 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2c0797…
06-26 09:29:43	Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x2a6923…
06-26 09:29:13	Will Congo DR be the worst-placed African nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	101	92¢	$93	0xfb7218…
06-26 09:20:49	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x66a291…
06-26 09:20:37	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xbb77d2…
06-26 09:18:52	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe44807…
06-07 06:57:37	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xc26427…
05-19 08:58:07	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x706e5e…
05-18 19:25:05	WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf957ca…
05-17 03:59:07	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x6dcf66…
05-17 03:58:25	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x54fff6…
04-08 03:58:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x7ca14e…
04-06 12:55:13	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	SELL	55	50¢	$28	0xdcf172…
04-06 00:01:41	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x20c754…
04-05 02:46:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa75cab…
04-05 02:45:59	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe7f615…
04-05 02:45:07	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3767c1…
04-05 02:45:01	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8ccaa4…
03-27 07:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	67¢	$8	0xb60081…
03-27 07:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x520020…
03-11 10:50:23	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x7b0e6d…
03-09 08:17:27	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4bc2bd…
03-06 08:29:07	xrp above 1 on march 8	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x72aaeb…
02-24 08:55:42	ethereum above 1500 on february 25	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x4f0113…
02-24 08:44:32	ethereum above 1500 on february 25	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x961753…
02-24 08:43:40	will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xb7f9d6…
01-28 03:32:41	will trump meet with emmanuel macron in january 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3bd008…
01-28 03:25:13	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xa1a3a6…
01-28 03:24:33	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdff8a1…
01-04 09:36:39	will bitcoin dip to 76k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x946021…