Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

7.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$718

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$344

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-09

last 10-26 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 33% -$207

Other

37% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+149	$128	85¢	$127	-$1	10-10 11:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+121	$110	92¢	$111	+$0	10-26 03:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+52	$45	92¢	$48	+$3	10-26 17:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+24	$23	93¢	$23	-$1	10-26 03:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+11	$11	94¢	$11	$0	10-18 08:53
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+17	$10	56¢	$9	-$1	10-09 05:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+16	$9	56¢	$9	+$0	10-25 12:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+13	$8	55¢	$7	-$1	10-09 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:26:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0xe3c4ae…
10-26 03:50:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xd7220c…
10-26 03:41:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x8fa8f4…
10-26 03:40:42	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x98ffb1…
10-25 22:06:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xeed752…
10-25 21:53:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0f7d5b…
10-25 21:41:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$16	0x00da94…
10-25 20:25:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xc72df2…
10-25 17:53:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xd7e9d4…
10-25 12:03:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xf86b10…
10-24 12:31:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x8d785a…
10-23 13:21:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x97d4b6…
10-23 12:27:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x3e48f0…
10-23 03:28:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xf72fc1…
10-21 17:54:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xbfd3a1…
10-18 08:53:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xa1339f…
10-16 15:36:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xd8aca6…
10-15 21:51:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	77¢	$65	0x542948…
10-15 01:18:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	78	91¢	$71	0x0c40b3…
10-14 01:13:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xd77b49…
10-10 23:32:28	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x1f2127…
10-10 11:12:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	75	86¢	$64	0x2a1aa3…
10-09 17:35:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	143	87¢	$125	0x4f1a38…
10-09 15:13:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x814100…
10-09 15:00:28	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xe06121…
10-09 05:19:47	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6da1ca…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$202	227	20	+207	No	-$178	10-25 22:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$129	131	10	+121	open	—	10-26 03:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$128	149	0	+149	open	—	10-10 11:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$128	80	56	+24	open	—	10-26 03:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$45	52	0	+52	open	—	10-26 17:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$31	54	0	+54	No	-$31	10-25 20:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$1	10-16 15:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 08:53
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	10-09 05:19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	10-25 12:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	10-09 15:00