Necessary-Notebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

13.6%

Resolved

Trades

562

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-13 11:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

56% — —

Sports

20% 0% $-0

Other

14% 100% +$0

Politics

9% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+17	$9	54¢	$9	+$0	06-04 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	31	$219	142	142	+0	open	—	03-19 07:09
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	28	$186	98	98	+0	open	—	03-19 15:48
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$152	96	96	+0	open	—	03-20 03:05
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	18	$130	67	67	+0	open	—	03-19 20:42
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	15	$100	71	85	-15	open	—	02-25 11:15
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	7	$92	48	48	+0	open	—	02-01 13:55
GTA VI released before June 2026?	10	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	03-04 16:36
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	03-12 18:51
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$68	36	36	+0	No	$-0	03-19 23:49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$63	46	46	+0	open	—	02-27 13:20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$54	43	43	+0	open	—	03-19 21:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$52	35	35	+0	open	—	02-04 17:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$48	26	26	+0	open	—	02-17 15:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	$-0	02-17 13:13
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	7	$45	38	8	+30	open	—	02-01 01:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-01 02:04
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-06 22:05
bitcoin up or down march 5 12pm et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-05 18:04
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 10:04
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 21:14
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	03-11 17:56
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	03-14 20:16
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	03-05 21:31
bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 16:02
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	03-25 18:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	02-16 16:15
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-24 15:57
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-11 21:53
bitcoin up or down march 9 8pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-10 00:50
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-29 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 17:28:12	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xdd28b8…
06-13 11:21:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xa483ac…
06-13 08:17:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x1d8288…
06-11 17:31:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x6ac630…
06-11 03:29:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbd9f2b…
06-11 03:03:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 211pt5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8562f3…
06-11 02:27:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 20pt5	Knicks	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xbeb297…
06-11 00:52:39	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1b7e34…
06-11 00:46:18	mlb lad pit 2026 06 10 spread away 3pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x3e3545…
06-10 20:35:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x402233…
06-10 03:52:43	mlb mil oak 2026 06 09 total 16pt5	Under	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x942692…
06-10 01:22:34	mlb chc col 2026 06 09	Colorado Rockies	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb54c49…
06-09 01:46:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xa40b3c…
06-08 23:47:30	mlb phi tor 2026 06 08 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x901f41…
06-08 07:08:34	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x396402…
06-08 05:51:54	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfefcbd…
06-08 04:02:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf26d60…
06-07 18:57:42	mlb tb mia 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd43ae4…
06-07 18:57:19	mlb tb mia 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x624576…
06-04 20:37:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x7c77ba…
06-04 00:42:12	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5a5c53…
06-02 22:54:06	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x4fd034…
06-02 19:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xfbdec7…
06-01 21:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd0345e…
05-30 15:02:18	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x915aa2…
05-30 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x99523b…
05-29 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x81715b…
05-28 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xccbee6…
05-23 22:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b3034…
05-22 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e7e5d…
05-21 10:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4b347c…
05-20 07:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9d736c…
05-20 02:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9ac103…
05-19 20:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x2f6139…
05-19 11:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x23f22b…
05-19 07:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6213f9…
05-18 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb561b…
05-18 10:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x97ccca…
05-17 22:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe0caf7…
05-17 21:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x6f2a5c…
05-16 11:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x636faf…
05-15 22:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x04e2f0…
05-15 14:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x7fbfba…
05-15 12:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2fd65…
05-15 09:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb22686…
05-15 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf097ac…
05-15 05:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbc6752…
05-15 04:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6b1b6…
05-15 00:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe9b410…
05-14 19:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x308842…
05-14 13:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x798e2a…
05-14 13:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x063c47…
05-14 11:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa53c04…
04-26 13:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xe2d0b1…
04-26 04:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xe0ac49…
04-26 00:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2d1787…
04-25 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x316cbc…
04-25 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd178d8…
04-25 01:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8bf02e…
04-24 22:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa853d6…
04-24 09:50:58	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd66d82…
04-23 09:52:12	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x719a1e…
04-23 05:57:00	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x03e08c…
04-23 03:50:38	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc85ea5…
04-22 23:50:40	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe11c8…
04-22 21:51:44	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x82ed44…
04-22 21:05:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x371f59…
04-22 19:55:30	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb74a47…
04-22 13:04:50	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x506022…
04-21 23:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x005dc5…
04-21 14:57:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x87a62f…
04-21 14:50:22	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x10ec58…
04-21 12:50:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x50b535…
04-21 09:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb02075…
04-21 03:57:40	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7a7334…
04-20 23:51:10	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbaa0eb…
04-20 18:55:52	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbc8b04…
04-20 16:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xce8a94…
04-20 11:54:36	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x960717…
04-20 08:54:44	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x3da703…
04-15 06:57:12	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef26fa…
04-15 05:50:22	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6d491…
04-15 00:50:22	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa9cdd1…
04-14 22:51:34	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x56cfa9…
04-14 18:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc04d58…
04-14 14:52:53	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x33045b…
04-14 13:50:25	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5bc0fa…
04-14 06:50:25	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x92fc4c…
04-14 01:51:47	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0dd29f…
04-14 00:55:07	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc989da…
04-13 20:55:19	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe01bfa…
04-13 17:51:01	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x3fcc24…
04-13 17:50:21	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x633023…
04-13 16:50:25	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0bd59…
04-13 14:50:19	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x89a0d9…
04-13 11:50:17	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee2a9b…
04-13 08:53:41	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a8f3e…
04-13 06:50:29	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0e0ce6…
04-12 20:50:21	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x31c8fc…
04-12 17:52:53	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd7189e…