Realized P&L
+$6.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$820
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
1,532
Trades
4,381
lifetime
Volume
$404.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$39.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-17
last 10-27 19:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
67% 45% +$12,668
Sports
17% 42% +$1,978
Crypto
8% 22% -$7,118
Politics
7% 50% -$598
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 648 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +15,006 $13,808 92¢ $13.9K +$73 10-23 09:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,709 $4,343 92¢ $4.3K -$34 10-23 19:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,850 $3,563 96¢ $3.7K +$134 10-27 09:58
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,700 $2,135 90¢ $2.4K +$309 10-18 19:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,800 $1,656 96¢ $1.7K +$72 10-23 12:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,105 $1,028 92¢ $1.0K -$17 10-22 16:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,121 $1,001 88¢ $981 -$20 10-26 20:55
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,000 $803 79¢ $790 -$13 10-23 06:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +850 $695 92¢ $786 +$92 10-26 18:03
Pistons vs. Knicks Knicks +800 $752 98¢ $784 +$32 10-28 02:03
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +800 $773 96¢ $765 -$8 10-22 06:48
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +748 $729 98¢ $735 +$6 10-24 19:08
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,082 $1,026 34¢ $718 -$308 10-21 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,797 $682 38¢ $674 -$8 10-26 08:28
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,064 $757 12¢ $582 -$175 10-26 23:23
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +719 $590 80¢ $572 -$18 10-20 16:27
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +3,573 $583 16¢ $554 -$29 10-26 22:05
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +831 $607 66¢ $544 -$63 10-26 16:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +468 $406 95¢ $446 +$40 10-25 20:20
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +432 $205 98¢ $423 +$218 10-25 17:43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +460 $84 89¢ $407 +$323 10-20 18:26
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +393 $342 92¢ $359 +$18 10-26 20:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,644 $263 22¢ $353 +$90 10-25 02:53
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +370 $303 76¢ $281 -$22 10-26 03:05
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +316 $252 82¢ $258 +$6 10-25 12:42
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +325 $258 78¢ $254 -$5 10-23 06:55
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes +900 $153 24¢ $216 +$63 10-20 21:57
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +2,242 $223 10¢ $213 -$10 10-27 00:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +900 $207 24¢ $212 +$5 10-19 12:50
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +200 $120 95¢ $190 +$70 10-19 07:34