(anonymous) 0x5e3cea…066fea
bot new 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved
62
Trades
497
lifetime
Volume
$7.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.81K
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-01 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
76% 84% $0
Politics
20% 0% $0
Sports
2% 50% -$7
Tech
2% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? No +774 $773 100¢ $773 $0 10-31 09:04
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +323 $322 99¢ $319 -$4 10-31 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +282 $280 100¢ $282 +$2 10-31 17:38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 11-01 05:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +183 $90 46¢ $85 -$5 10-30 17:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +84 $83 99¢ $83 -$1 10-31 14:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +43 $42 97¢ $42 $0 10-31 20:24
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 $0 10-31 15:41
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +39 $36 93¢ $36 $0 10-31 23:54
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $21 $0 10-30 23:08
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$0 10-30 06:51
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +34 $20 54¢ $19 -$1 10-31 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-30 15:02
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +6 $0 5¢ $0 $0 10-30 10:45