Tan-Wharf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$329.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$656

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-20 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

28% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-1,746

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	56	$57.3K	28,758	28,758	+0	open	—	04-13 08:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	35	$32.1K	16,080	16,080	+0	open	—	05-11 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$24.0K	100,000	100,000	+0	open	—	06-03 10:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	6	$18.9K	9,800	9,800	+0	open	—	05-19 22:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	11	$18.4K	12,400	12,400	+0	open	—	05-28 13:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$18.0K	28,000	28,000	+0	open	—	05-19 23:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$16.0K	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	05-21 06:56
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$16.0K	9,921	9,921	+0	Yes	$-281	04-04 14:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	20	$14.0K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	05-24 02:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$13.7K	22,500	5,308	+17,192	open	—	06-14 02:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	30	$13.6K	6,800	6,800	+0	open	—	05-10 21:57
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	13	$12.3K	71,665	13,697	+57,967	open	—	07-15 03:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$11.3K	3,916	7,437	-3,521	open	—	03-13 03:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	10	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	07-05 09:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$9.2K	0	9,182	-9,182	open	—	04-15 23:48
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	28	$6.5K	23,911	14,936	+8,975	No	$-1,466	03-12 00:31
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	19	$5.1K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	07-02 06:49
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$3.2K	20,700	20,700	+0	open	—	03-04 07:31
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$2.7K	12,700	12,700	+0	open	—	01-26 11:40
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	5	$2.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-10 05:53
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	1	$2.2K	4,370	0	+4,370	open	—	01-04 10:27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$2.1K	1,403	9,062	-7,659	open	—	03-12 00:33
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	07-14 04:20
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-20 07:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$1.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.2K	3,334	3,334	+0	open	—	01-23 08:23
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	06-04 05:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	8	$1.1K	8,776	8,776	+0	open	—	05-29 05:44
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	05-17 12:42
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	4	$934	518	518	+0	open	—	07-03 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 07:12:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	457	93¢	$425	0x039478…
07-20 01:32:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0xdb7178…
07-20 01:31:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	514	92¢	$473	0x8d0790…
07-20 01:30:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x992b91…
07-20 01:11:54	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	490	5¢	$24	0xe8dfdb…
07-20 01:11:36	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x6b1c4b…
07-20 01:09:43	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x736648…
07-19 00:12:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	500	66¢	$330	0xde7d47…
07-19 00:10:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x1f6f87…
07-15 03:50:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	9,730	14¢	$1,387	0xc96e7f…
07-15 03:42:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x078426…
07-15 03:37:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x8920aa…
07-15 03:29:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0xbbf619…
07-15 03:14:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	1,905	14¢	$276	0x8f6906…
07-15 03:10:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xc3b152…
07-15 03:06:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	597	15¢	$87	0x2a1f0e…
07-15 03:03:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x9852bf…
07-15 03:01:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x98ee7f…
07-15 03:00:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0xba8d5b…
07-15 02:58:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	SELL	1,340	15¢	$198	0x11997e…
07-15 02:56:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	21,665	14¢	$3,087	0xca16bf…
07-14 04:20:08	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	434	5¢	$22	0x4a37f3…
07-14 04:20:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0xbd3953…
07-14 04:19:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xc6ae36…
07-14 04:18:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x493e28…
07-14 04:13:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$924	0x19e719…
07-14 04:10:26	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$924	0xf67de3…
07-09 00:19:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0xa3edf6…
07-09 00:19:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	438	18¢	$79	0x168a01…
07-09 00:19:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x8d9ad9…
07-05 09:20:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2,965	93¢	$2,748	0xd3509f…
07-05 09:19:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xea1f5f…
07-05 09:19:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	869	93¢	$810	0xe0da57…
07-05 09:17:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x781ded…
07-05 09:17:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x776fe8…
07-05 09:17:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	501	94¢	$471	0x63886e…
07-05 09:15:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	554	94¢	$522	0xa87088…
07-05 09:14:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0xbb310f…
07-05 09:14:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x25acb6…
07-05 09:13:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0xaaa3a5…
07-05 07:26:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	13,010	2¢	$195	0x4db9b7…
07-05 07:08:38	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	221	2¢	$4	0x447dc5…
07-05 06:37:16	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$5	0xb7c5ca…
07-05 06:10:05	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	294	2¢	$5	0x584b09…
07-05 05:16:07	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	8,000	2¢	$136	0xf27f0d…
07-05 04:42:43	will anyone say new record during 2026 nathans hot dog eating contest 20260630153701056 248	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x416549…
07-05 04:12:37	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x90e0cc…
07-05 04:10:50	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	22,000	2¢	$385	0xd89145…
07-04 08:45:32	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xe43afd…
07-04 08:44:56	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x5a2d72…
07-04 01:56:17	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x657840…
07-04 01:55:49	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x82da9d…
07-03 02:15:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	318	90¢	$286	0xcf6fdb…
07-03 02:14:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xd99058…
07-03 02:14:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	318	90¢	$286	0x5c99e0…
07-03 02:08:13	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$183	0x29d395…
07-02 06:49:14	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0x435340…
07-02 06:48:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	410	20¢	$82	0x19eacc…
07-02 06:47:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x46c8c8…
07-02 04:05:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	848	78¢	$661	0xe65ff0…
07-02 03:58:35	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1a6f35…
07-02 03:58:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xac9288…
07-02 03:58:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x384a10…
07-02 03:58:14	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4f9588…
07-02 03:58:14	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x1db107…
07-02 03:58:13	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x2b1859…
07-02 03:57:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x33f4e7…
07-02 03:55:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x200ce2…
07-02 03:47:35	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	227	78¢	$177	0xcaff34…
07-02 03:47:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x489d71…
07-02 03:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	641	78¢	$500	0x93bbd1…
07-02 03:46:32	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x260378…
07-02 03:46:14	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1,192	79¢	$943	0x8f2834…
07-02 03:45:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x514a55…
07-01 04:06:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	83	7¢	$6	0xced85a…
07-01 04:05:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	83	7¢	$6	0x25282e…
06-30 05:16:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x41ae37…
06-30 05:14:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x5806ae…
06-30 01:17:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xa57657…
06-30 01:04:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xc88b4b…
06-26 08:39:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x219d22…
06-26 08:39:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	65¢	$195	0x17220e…
06-26 08:37:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xccfdf4…
06-16 02:27:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	Yes	SELL	135	18¢	$24	0xfe4880…
06-16 01:59:54	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x3a9090…
06-16 01:57:28	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd1954a…
06-16 00:42:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x8fd992…
06-16 00:37:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xeeae46…
06-16 00:37:24	spy up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc152a5…
06-16 00:35:28	spy up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0423e2…
06-16 00:29:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x64b674…
06-16 00:22:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x6d8858…
06-15 23:36:48	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0d833c…
06-14 06:29:40	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	101	53¢	$54	0xee432a…
06-14 06:28:55	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	102	45¢	$46	0x668b0d…
06-14 06:28:00	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	102	30¢	$31	0x2db27f…
06-14 06:22:51	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	101	60¢	$61	0x0e6ed6…
06-14 06:21:03	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	101	52¢	$53	0x2d9ad2…
06-14 06:19:01	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	102	43¢	$44	0x36f2a6…
06-14 06:08:28	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0x83aec6…