Crazy-Bicycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-06 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

23% — —

Sports

18% 100% +$149

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1.5K	0	1,471	-1,471	open	—	07-06 20:21
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	4	$1.0K	1,117	546	+571	open	—	04-23 15:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	04-28 15:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$701	1,505	0	+1,505	open	—	04-30 13:17
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	2	$700	1,359	0	+1,359	open	—	04-23 05:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$670	471	471	+0	open	—	05-01 02:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	1	$300	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	06-03 03:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$200	645	0	+645	open	—	06-08 00:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$200	571	0	+571	open	—	05-06 05:35
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	1	$150	580	0	+580	open	—	04-27 04:59
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$120	111	111	+0	Avalanche	+$102	05-14 03:33
mlb sf chc 2026 06 07	1	$100	238	0	+238	open	—	06-08 01:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$100	645	0	+645	open	—	06-15 00:56
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$100	385	0	+385	open	—	04-17 05:13
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$67	62	62	+0	Cavaliers	+$47	05-14 02:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	263	0	+263	open	—	04-21 15:30
mlb nym phi 2026 06 20	2	$40	267	0	+267	open	—	06-20 23:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$40	667	0	+667	open	—	06-15 04:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	2	$30	222	0	+222	open	—	04-20 20:56
btc updown 5m 1776276900	3	$26	44	41	+2	open	—	04-15 18:18
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$20	182	0	+182	open	—	04-29 05:30
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 54 55f	1	$20	199	0	+199	open	—	04-20 20:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	1	$20	74	0	+74	open	—	04-20 20:56
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	04-28 03:52
will arvell reese be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	2	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	04-22 16:06
highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 54forhigher	3	$15	74	0	+74	open	—	04-17 04:23
mlb tor bos 2026 06 18	1	$11	100	0	+100	open	—	06-18 19:03
nba den sas 2026 04 12	1	$11	52	0	+52	open	—	04-12 23:40
atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	1	$11	31	0	+31	open	—	04-17 05:09
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 52 53f	1	$10	41	0	+41	open	—	04-20 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 20:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,471	100¢	$1,470	0x420bda…
06-20 23:58:41	mlb nym phi 2026 06 20	New York Mets	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x88c81b…
06-20 23:58:32	mlb nym phi 2026 06 20	New York Mets	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0x1be125…
06-18 19:03:02	mlb tor bos 2026 06 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x545a7e…
06-15 04:12:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x3db578…
06-15 04:11:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x67326c…
06-15 00:57:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3820a6…
06-15 00:56:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	645	15¢	$100	0xf86fb8…
06-08 01:27:39	mlb sf chc 2026 06 07	Chicago Cubs	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x3b8795…
06-08 00:41:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0x2de78b…
06-05 01:57:51	itf greiner tatu 2026 06 05	Sophie Greiner	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x24469a…
06-04 05:49:42	atp beckley duran 2026 06 04	Alec Beckley	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x722675…
06-03 03:48:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0xb986aa…
05-14 03:33:49	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x955130…
05-14 02:57:49	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	62	91¢	$57	0x663ebb…
05-14 02:30:43	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0xe785a1…
05-14 02:28:27	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x220456…
05-06 05:35:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0xd67836…
05-01 22:47:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x5477f3…
05-01 02:39:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	471	100¢	$469	0xa91bb5…
04-30 13:17:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	1,224	49¢	$600	0x73bf1f…
04-29 05:30:42	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x37312d…
04-28 15:08:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0x4440c8…
04-28 03:52:34	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x58e114…
04-27 05:24:26	Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa38f4f…
04-27 04:59:34	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	580	26¢	$150	0xdf52f5…
04-23 16:00:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	281	36¢	$101	0x31e8bd…
04-23 15:58:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	521	97¢	$504	0x1c3037…
04-23 05:36:58	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	1,167	51¢	$600	0x4e4a8d…
04-23 04:55:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x615a63…
04-22 19:19:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xa9427a…
04-22 16:06:18	will arvell reese be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xacd6b4…
04-22 16:06:12	will arvell reese be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x100ee4…
04-22 16:03:52	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa3d104…
04-22 02:17:14	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x6148da…
04-21 15:30:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x9e5cea…
04-21 06:19:08	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	831	60¢	$500	0x68f49f…
04-21 05:18:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	468	43¢	$200	0xbbd880…
04-21 05:09:08	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x38c195…
04-20 20:56:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x945454…
04-20 20:56:32	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	146	14¢	$20	0xe2f8ca…
04-20 20:55:26	highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x89d402…
04-20 20:55:18	highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 56 57f	Yes	BUY	239	2¢	$5	0x64e948…
04-20 20:55:10	highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 54 55f	Yes	BUY	199	10¢	$20	0xbfe22e…
04-20 20:44:20	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xf9a6cf…
04-20 05:39:50	Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5bb3c5…
04-19 05:13:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x23152d…
04-19 05:03:24	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa37508…
04-19 05:00:02	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x9301af…
04-17 05:13:20	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x2ec3ff…
04-17 05:09:00	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Ben Shelton	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xf08f3f…
04-17 04:23:56	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x30f932…
04-16 22:24:56	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7368bc…
04-16 21:25:28	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6253b0…
04-16 21:25:14	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe17672…
04-16 06:15:40	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x64a290…
04-16 06:15:30	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x880cda…
04-16 06:15:16	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$4	0xa5e24f…
04-16 06:15:06	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xdedbe4…
04-16 06:14:58	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x2a4d2b…
04-16 05:16:56	highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0x89bd9b…
04-16 05:16:40	highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x51f953…
04-15 20:31:58	will trump say maga or make america great again during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x26cdee…
04-15 18:18:26	btc updown 5m 1776276900	Down	SELL	41	39¢	$16	0x40e3fc…
04-15 18:17:22	btc updown 5m 1776276900	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9f9551…
04-15 18:16:22	btc updown 5m 1776276900	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3e0a41…
04-12 23:40:01	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Nuggets	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0x3626c8…
04-12 21:39:45	mlb cws kc 2026 04 12	Kansas City Royals	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd16be2…