Realized P&L
-$261
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
897
Trades
1,275
lifetime
Volume
$6.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$134
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-19 19:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
63% 39% -$35
Sports
20% 41% -$243
Politics
14% 47% +$58
Crypto
2% 21% -$63
Tech
1% 25% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 60% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -24 -$20 82¢ $-20 +$0 06-04 09:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -16 -$13 94¢ $-15 -$2 06-06 13:58
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 86¢ $-13 +$0 09-16 11:03
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -13 -$13 100¢ $-13 $0 08-27 20:39
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -13 -$13 100¢ $-13 $0 09-16 11:02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 -$1 09-16 11:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -12 -$6 70¢ $-8 -$2 08-27 20:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -7 -$7 97¢ $-7 $0 09-16 11:02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -10 -$6 70¢ $-7 -$1 09-16 11:03
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 09-16 11:02
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -312 -$6 2¢ $-5 +$0 06-13 09:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -7 -$5 55¢ $-4 +$1 06-06 14:00
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -455 -$5 1¢ $-4 +$2 06-06 13:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -5 -$2 46¢ $-2 $0 08-27 20:38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 38¢ $-2 +$0 08-27 20:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9 -$1 16¢ $-1 $0 10-19 19:07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 10-19 19:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -5 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 10-19 19:08
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 10-19 19:08
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-19 19:08
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-19 19:06