Realized P&L
-$274
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
900
Trades
1,275
lifetime
Volume
$6.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$106
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-19 19:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
63% 39% -$35
Sports
20% 41% -$243
Politics
14% 45% +$45
Crypto
2% 21% -$63
Tech
1% 25% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 60% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -24 -$20 88¢ $-21 -$1 06-04 09:28
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -15 -$14 92¢ $-14 -$1 09-16 11:03
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -13 -$13 100¢ $-13 $0 08-27 20:39
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -13 -$13 100¢ $-13 $0 09-16 11:02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 09-16 11:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -7 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 09-16 11:02
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 09-16 11:02
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -455 -$5 1¢ $-5 +$0 06-06 13:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -7 -$5 68¢ $-5 +$0 06-06 14:00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -312 -$6 2¢ $-5 +$1 06-13 09:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 34¢ $-2 +$1 08-27 20:38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -5 -$2 32¢ $-2 +$0 08-27 20:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9 -$1 12¢ $-1 +$0 10-19 19:07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5 -$1 19¢ $-1 +$0 10-19 19:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 10-19 19:08
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 10-19 19:08
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-19 19:06
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-19 19:08