Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
84
lifetime
Volume
$862
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$300
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 07-08 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 20% $-12
Other
28% 100% +$0
Politics
24%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +104 $100 96¢ $100 $-0 07-08 11:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +51 $40 74¢ $38 $-2 07-06 11:33
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +36 $30 84¢ $30 $-0 07-06 10:52
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +34 $30 87¢ $30 $-0 07-06 11:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 07-06 10:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +33 $20 60¢ $20 $-0 07-06 11:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -16 $-13 80¢ $-13 +$0 07-05 07:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +16 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 07-06 10:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 07-06 11:11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 07-06 11:00
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +15 $10 62¢ $9 $-1 07-06 11:18
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +7 $5 55¢ $4 $-1 07-06 11:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +20 $3 15¢ $3 $-0 07-06 12:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 86¢ $-3 $-0 07-05 07:48