Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$921

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-16

last 10-22 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 57% +$2

Other

34% 35% +$7

Sports

6% — —

Politics

3% 0% -$10

Tech

2% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	+15	$10	90¢	$13	+$3	08-27 11:51
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	+12	$5	45¢	$5	+$0	09-06 07:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+35	$6	8¢	$3	-$3	09-26 21:40
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+76	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	10-22 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 11am et	3	$86	57	56	+0	Up	+$26	08-27 16:02
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	3	$71	43	43	+0	Yes	+$11	10-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$53	61	61	+0	Up	-$7	09-08 18:42
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$45	28	28	+0	No	+$5	09-15 12:27
bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 2pm et	5	$42	33	33	+0	Up	+$12	08-26 18:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	09-16 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 17?	2	$33	23	23	+0	No	+$13	08-17 07:46
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	2	$24	33	33	+0	No	-$16	09-17 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	09-08 17:52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	09-16 09:04
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	09-27 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	09-07 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	09-16 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	4	$18	38	38	+0	Down	-$2	08-27 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:35 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Up	+$8	08-19 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:20 UTC	3	$15	28	0	+28	Down	-$15	08-19 19:21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-23?	1	$15	34	0	+34	Yes	+$19	08-16 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:25 UTC	2	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	08-27 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	09-06 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	3	$12	118	118	+0	Down	-$8	08-27 14:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$12	11	11	+0	No	-$8	10-20 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	09-06 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	09-07 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	09-08 17:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$11	21	0	+21	No	-$11	09-13 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-08 17:49
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	10-20 19:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	09-29 20:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	09-10 07:15
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	1	$10	41	0	+41	Yes	-$10	09-08 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 18:24:45	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7582fd…
10-20 20:07:05	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xc2b2de…
10-20 19:49:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x48db4c…
10-20 19:47:18	Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x54bb3d…
10-20 19:46:57	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x0838a3…
10-11 15:34:07	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x68f51d…
10-11 15:32:06	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xc6c992…
10-06 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3fc41e…
10-03 06:25:38	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x04c9d6…
10-01 21:20:39	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd40a13…
09-30 15:30:57	Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0xf8a9c7…
09-29 21:03:41	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5c87b0…
09-29 20:47:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8de4ea…
09-29 07:41:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe62688…
09-27 20:16:50	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x612043…
09-27 18:12:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbdd669…
09-27 06:26:53	Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2f9108…
09-27 06:22:14	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$11	0x7b4562…
09-26 21:40:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x3f1229…
09-17 20:46:42	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x52d2de…
09-16 10:20:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	84¢	$19	0xe0bc0d…
09-16 10:18:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	No	SELL	11	84¢	$10	0x8cc84e…
09-16 09:04:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x0dae8d…
09-15 12:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8e1fee…
09-15 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xddc601…
09-15 12:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x91c5f4…
09-15 12:27:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x5a5f7d…
09-13 19:25:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbe51ae…
09-13 12:24:42	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2265fb…
09-13 12:18:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe0c870…
09-10 07:15:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x954359…
09-09 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xeec422…
09-09 18:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x771c48…
09-08 19:16:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	No	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x730f71…
09-08 19:03:57	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x432311…
09-08 19:02:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xebd5d4…
09-08 18:47:19	Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc6a28f…
09-08 18:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xc1998b…
09-08 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb07a5d…
09-08 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x50a25d…
09-08 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x35fa8e…
09-08 17:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xb66bf0…
09-08 17:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8b9606…
09-08 17:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x4de5cb…
09-08 17:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbf3244…
09-08 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x00d16f…
09-08 17:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xa43f0b…
09-08 17:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9c9070…
09-07 10:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xfa2ea7…
09-07 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa2d3f9…
09-07 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x47ff11…
09-07 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6a1f29…
09-07 10:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xecc43a…
09-07 10:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6a5725…
09-07 10:02:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x740d9b…
09-07 09:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x41f24e…
09-06 17:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x11091b…
09-06 17:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd99bf1…
09-06 17:51:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7dd666…
09-06 17:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd04aec…
09-06 17:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x769e50…
09-06 07:46:09	Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x036a24…
09-06 07:44:36	Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x12c7b6…
09-05 20:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0046ee…
09-05 20:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 6?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1a9dff…
09-05 20:00:40	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x2983ae…
09-05 07:47:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xcd32cd…
09-05 07:45:24	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5a25b4…
09-05 07:31:16	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x6518ed…
09-05 07:29:15	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x3d7c48…
09-05 07:02:25	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 - 0 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa6087a…
09-05 07:00:07	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0423d5…
09-05 06:51:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf2a639…
09-02 20:32:03	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0xd917e1…
09-02 20:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x317c38…
08-30 14:34:21	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x218134…
08-30 14:33:28	Will Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6d91ae…
08-30 14:32:25	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xb65416…
08-30 12:01:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xc51fba…
08-29 06:47:42	Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2865c3…
08-27 20:35:33	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x95ce6d…
08-27 20:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x7187ef…
08-27 20:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa1ed11…
08-27 17:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0f7397…
08-27 17:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcd4c5a…
08-27 17:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	Down	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x45f192…
08-27 17:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfa4452…
08-27 16:02:21	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x913410…
08-27 15:01:31	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x483f7b…
08-27 15:01:13	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9d3d30…
08-27 15:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfbb964…
08-27 14:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	118	2¢	$2	0xbabf41…
08-27 14:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4f4645…
08-27 14:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbd1638…
08-27 11:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8cd5fd…
08-27 11:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb99efa…
08-27 11:51:55	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7947a7…
08-26 20:07:06	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xbdf3c3…
08-26 18:59:01	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xa03816…
08-26 18:55:04	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1e42e7…