Rotating-Simvastatin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$1.73K

Hit rate

30.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,783

lifetime

Volume

$683.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$246

Open exposure

$52.6K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

36% 50% $-155

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-47,629	$-41,343	90¢	$-42628	$-1,285	06-07 13:19
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	-6,313	$-5,589	91¢	$-5732	$-143	06-07 13:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-4,897	$-3,936	86¢	$-4236	$-300	06-07 13:18
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-103	$-27	26¢	$-26	+$1	06-04 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	182	$93.5K	51,261	51,261	+0	open	—	04-29 00:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	226	$77.7K	41,319	42,343	-1,024	open	—	03-25 15:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	11	$42.1K	432	48,061	-47,629	open	—	06-07 13:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	46	$38.1K	18,394	21,191	-2,797	open	—	03-08 15:56
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	185	$34.7K	37,727	0	+37,727	open	—	02-19 07:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	43	$30.8K	19,783	13,522	+6,261	open	—	03-15 12:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	43	$22.9K	17,545	8,862	+8,683	open	—	04-01 01:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	53	$22.3K	23,711	327	+23,385	open	—	03-01 03:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	61	$13.9K	9,709	10,873	-1,164	open	—	04-08 07:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	37	$13.9K	10,004	4,377	+5,627	open	—	03-06 15:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	65	$11.9K	0	12,219	-12,219	open	—	06-03 14:29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	60	$10.7K	11,260	6,561	+4,700	open	—	02-28 22:54
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	14	$8.4K	1,561	7,874	-6,313	open	—	06-07 13:19
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	32	$7.6K	5,293	2,603	+2,690	open	—	03-15 03:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	38	$7.1K	7,830	0	+7,830	open	—	01-22 01:04
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	25	$7.1K	5,936	1,484	+4,452	open	—	02-19 02:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$6.7K	3,503	3,503	-0	open	—	02-04 00:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	36	$6.7K	5,791	5,791	+0	open	—	04-07 23:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	17	$6.6K	7,887	0	+7,887	open	—	05-03 03:46
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	47	$5.9K	3,263	3,263	+0	open	—	03-27 04:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$5.9K	3,465	3,465	+0	open	—	05-03 01:59
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	12	$5.8K	5,934	0	+5,934	open	—	03-04 07:05
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	35	$4.9K	4,127	3,359	+768	open	—	02-22 12:33
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	35	$4.8K	3,290	3,290	+0	open	—	03-26 06:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	20	$4.8K	4,087	4,087	+0	open	—	04-07 23:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	19	$4.7K	5,389	546	+4,843	open	—	04-05 01:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	16	$4.7K	2,454	2,454	+0	open	—	05-13 12:50
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	10	$4.6K	2,415	2,415	-0	open	—	02-22 14:47
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$4.5K	4,449	1,071	+3,378	open	—	01-31 03:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	8	$4.4K	2,323	2,323	+0	open	—	03-07 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:19:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	12,905	87¢	$11,227	0xbb7d45…
06-07 13:19:09	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	934	87¢	$810	0x1a8d8c…
06-07 13:18:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	553	80¢	$442	0xd4a120…
06-07 13:16:37	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	934	90¢	$839	0x26cdc5…
06-07 11:23:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	553	80¢	$442	0x0962f4…
06-07 11:22:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	4,302	87¢	$3,742	0xbacc47…
06-07 11:22:39	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	623	89¢	$557	0x9421e3…
06-07 11:22:01	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	830	90¢	$746	0x86324e…
06-06 17:03:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	359	85¢	$305	0x85d9f7…
06-06 16:47:57	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1,107	90¢	$993	0xb0f910…
06-06 16:15:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	3,069	87¢	$2,670	0x1b6ffb…
06-06 16:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	359	84¢	$302	0xc55d2b…
06-06 05:32:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6,759	87¢	$5,880	0xc71be5…
06-06 05:32:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	707	80¢	$565	0xf7522a…
06-06 05:32:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	778	83¢	$646	0x460344…
06-06 05:31:22	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1,476	87¢	$1,281	0x909be7…
06-05 15:31:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	9,453	87¢	$8,224	0x969083…
06-05 15:20:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x71b7a4…
06-05 15:06:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xff7fe4…
06-05 14:36:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x0bf467…
06-05 13:32:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2,528	87¢	$2,199	0xf07558…
06-05 02:01:25	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1,969	91¢	$1,784	0x664673…
06-05 00:20:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	1,812	81¢	$1,468	0x041a0b…
06-04 16:17:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	1,273	80¢	$1,019	0x7f0802…
06-04 16:15:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	9,011	86¢	$7,750	0x59d53f…
06-04 16:09:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	103	26¢	$27	0x75aed8…
06-04 16:09:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	171	75¢	$128	0xa84557…
06-04 16:09:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	857	96¢	$826	0xfb8247…
06-04 16:07:34	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	SELL	69	78¢	$54	0x6f933a…
06-03 14:29:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,055	97¢	$1,022	0x9fb7e1…
06-03 14:29:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,550	97¢	$1,508	0xf0017d…
06-03 14:23:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	517	97¢	$503	0xe17469…
06-03 14:16:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	689	97¢	$671	0x2a7384…
06-03 12:03:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	919	97¢	$895	0x7f3719…
06-03 10:45:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,225	97¢	$1,192	0xbb5794…
06-03 10:33:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,463	97¢	$1,424	0xad6bfa…
06-03 09:59:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	786	98¢	$767	0xb067e3…
06-03 04:22:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	975	97¢	$948	0xe2adfb…
06-03 03:58:41	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x256b6b…
06-02 14:10:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	560	100¢	$559	0x831cd2…
06-02 10:55:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	203	96¢	$195	0x466904…
06-02 10:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	228	96¢	$219	0xf97919…
06-02 02:14:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	432	88¢	$380	0x89b7d9…
06-01 23:00:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0xc8653b…
06-01 22:47:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	515	81¢	$417	0x9a1bb2…
06-01 16:22:57	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xc53d22…
05-31 15:00:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x64a3d3…
05-31 12:43:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	125	94¢	$118	0xae7558…
05-31 12:43:22	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	252	91¢	$231	0xe2d7d0…
05-30 16:17:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	471	98¢	$460	0xc494f1…
05-30 16:13:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x14fb53…
05-30 16:12:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0xb338eb…
05-30 16:09:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x3ab4ab…
05-30 16:07:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdd974d…
05-30 16:06:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x48e6a0…
05-30 16:00:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x965b31…
05-30 15:56:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x125a32…
05-30 15:54:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	244	98¢	$239	0xbecac2…
05-30 15:51:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x51ee28…
05-30 15:41:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xc26376…
05-30 15:40:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9dfd1d…
05-30 15:39:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xa6173c…
05-30 15:37:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xc3ba7d…
05-30 15:35:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x3d0f3b…
05-30 15:32:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xab2186…
05-30 15:27:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9ba849…
05-30 15:26:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xeadca2…
05-30 15:25:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x4c7473…
05-30 15:21:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5ccfbb…
05-30 15:08:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xfab667…
05-30 15:06:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xc271b2…
05-30 15:00:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0b4066…
05-30 14:59:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfc3c9a…
05-30 14:55:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x15d115…
05-30 14:53:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x535e43…
05-30 14:46:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xc0d26e…
05-30 14:44:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xb697f7…
05-30 14:44:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5da48f…
05-30 14:40:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x8423a1…
05-30 14:40:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xc49a29…
05-30 14:39:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x698091…
05-30 14:37:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe5a778…
05-30 14:36:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x94a944…
05-30 14:35:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xaa6fcc…
05-30 14:27:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xa76825…
05-30 14:25:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xeeac8f…
05-30 14:20:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x933bfd…
05-30 14:19:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0xfd8b67…
05-30 14:19:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x3a87df…
05-30 14:19:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x742c32…
05-30 14:13:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbd6109…
05-30 14:13:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xa4c32b…
05-30 14:08:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xa4f84c…
05-30 14:05:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x99e019…
05-30 14:01:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x848a20…
05-30 13:59:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x945f45…
05-30 13:58:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x1a738c…
05-30 13:55:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xede036…
05-30 13:55:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x969f8d…
05-30 13:54:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x044586…