Faraway-Eurocentrism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.09K

Unrealized P&L

+$30

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

453

Trades

4,951

lifetime

Volume

$297.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-30 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

94% 40% +$1,805

Other

6% 61% +$288

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-633	-$39	2¢	$-9	+$30	06-10 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	684	$80.9K	63,202	63,202	+0	Yes	+$196	06-21 01:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	137	$49.0K	52,611	13,519	+39,091	Yes	+$5,305	05-01 17:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	288	$37.0K	39,645	42,097	-2,452	No	-$4,280	04-25 04:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	64	$23.5K	39,654	39,654	+0	open	—	07-24 06:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	14	$16.7K	13,200	13,200	+0	Yes	-$116	06-09 17:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	32	$11.4K	6,290	6,290	+0	No	+$59	03-31 02:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	170	$9.5K	7,315	7,386	-72	Yes	-$342	04-30 04:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	59	$8.9K	8,668	8,668	+0	No	+$97	06-11 12:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$4.0K	4,421	4,421	+0	Yes	+$58	04-02 04:23
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	29	$3.8K	2,636	2,636	+0	No	-$83	06-22 02:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	35	$3.4K	3,324	3,324	+0	No	+$204	05-28 16:54
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	15	$3.3K	2,612	2,800	-188	Yes	+$64	03-31 02:49
will the us invade iran by march 31	59	$3.2K	3,641	3,801	-160	No	-$98	03-28 23:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	586	$3.1K	22,777	23,410	-633	open	—	06-10 18:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$3.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$81	04-01 11:54
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	6	$2.9K	3,150	0	+3,150	No	+$203	03-30 00:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$60	03-31 07:59
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	15	$2.8K	1,820	1,420	+400	No	+$69	06-22 13:35
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$102	03-31 02:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$270	06-01 13:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	19	$1.4K	1,302	1,456	-153	No	-$104	05-28 14:52
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	8	$1.3K	1,403	0	+1,403	No	+$92	03-31 05:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	7	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$35	06-01 18:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	21	$947	11,005	10,885	+120	No	-$20	05-10 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?	5	$933	531	531	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 20:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	24	$919	1,906	1,906	+0	No	+$61	03-25 14:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	22	$845	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$13	06-13 22:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$180	06-01 13:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	12	$723	600	600	+0	Yes	-$29	05-25 14:51
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	10	$693	368	368	-0	No	+$1	03-23 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:58:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$44	0x55904d…
10-30 02:57:13	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,000	9¢	$270	0x003e50…
09-08 06:54:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	262	7¢	$18	0x1c7edb…
09-08 06:06:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x2b5867…
09-08 02:41:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xac686b…
09-08 02:41:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xda2461…
09-08 02:41:30	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0e1004…
09-08 01:59:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	716	7¢	$50	0xc271d4…
08-24 18:12:19	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x95e7d8…
08-23 00:35:24	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x0617f4…
07-24 06:21:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19,000	29¢	$5,510	0x5800e3…
07-23 17:13:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	211	30¢	$63	0xcd71a1…
07-23 17:11:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xf3b89d…
07-23 17:08:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x34216b…
07-23 16:59:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x2ba0f1…
07-23 16:59:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x6a2629…
07-23 16:57:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x953417…
07-23 16:55:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xbf8ec3…
07-23 16:48:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe7a667…
07-23 16:46:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0x801aaf…
07-23 16:46:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x716600…
07-23 16:45:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb6f0e7…
07-23 16:44:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xbb90cd…
07-23 16:44:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xedb45e…
07-23 16:43:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x60dd33…
07-23 16:43:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x29f666…
07-23 16:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x882fed…
07-23 16:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5bdff9…
07-23 16:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x414642…
07-23 16:43:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0xf8cecc…
07-23 16:43:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	30¢	$28	0xb3e9e4…
07-23 16:43:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17,000	31¢	$5,270	0xec63ae…
07-23 16:43:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x88c0e6…
07-23 16:43:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x15d152…
07-23 16:42:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73adac…
07-23 16:42:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xe7181a…
07-23 16:42:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0x4452a4…
07-23 16:42:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x115126…
07-23 16:37:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xf99f68…
07-23 16:34:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x12682e…
07-23 16:33:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	145	30¢	$43	0xf47988…
07-23 16:32:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	30¢	$15	0x57b65b…
07-20 13:25:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,500	77¢	$1,155	0xb0a77a…
07-20 10:40:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	76¢	$1,140	0x973e8a…
07-20 09:52:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,805	23¢	$1,105	0xa11b20…
07-20 09:35:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0d76d3…
07-20 09:28:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,000	25¢	$1,000	0x79849d…
07-20 09:22:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x4afcbb…
07-20 09:22:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x488f9b…
07-20 09:18:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x7d235c…
07-20 09:18:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x369725…
07-20 09:06:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xb9fa85…
07-20 08:58:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x547488…
07-20 08:50:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x070fc4…
07-20 08:49:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x8b7aa6…
07-20 08:44:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x480c7a…
07-20 08:44:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xe5ccb5…
07-20 08:44:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xb2c13b…
07-20 08:44:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$5	0xace485…
07-20 08:44:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x919e74…
07-20 08:44:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x6ac10c…
07-20 08:44:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8,000	24¢	$1,920	0xd3fdc8…
07-20 08:44:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	280	25¢	$70	0xb6088f…
07-20 08:41:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	25¢	$175	0xe46b9a…
07-20 08:33:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x4eb1c6…
07-18 02:01:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,000	28¢	$2,240	0x4da417…
07-18 01:55:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,854	28¢	$519	0x9f865e…
07-18 01:52:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	28¢	$560	0x1cdedb…
07-18 01:51:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	28¢	$1,400	0x39949a…
07-16 18:05:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,102	22¢	$243	0x192a52…
07-16 17:38:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x45d3df…
07-16 16:28:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,250	24¢	$300	0x31ca9a…
07-16 16:26:55	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	3¢	$3	0x8ff5ff…
07-01 22:56:19	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x95777a…
06-28 11:25:46	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0x74786c…
06-27 04:25:20	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x011355…
06-26 04:20:13	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x4d3521…
06-26 04:19:56	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$125	0x63a9e3…
06-26 04:12:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0x24be2a…
06-25 13:44:41	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0ccbf4…
06-23 14:58:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xb4f4fc…
06-23 03:09:07	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0xd4cccb…
06-22 13:35:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xc7646d…
06-22 12:44:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xa57b1d…
06-22 11:47:20	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0xab561a…
06-22 11:46:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0x01dce0…
06-22 11:45:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	218	85¢	$185	0xd50350…
06-22 07:51:41	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x554959…
06-22 02:58:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,120	87¢	$976	0x8488cf…
06-22 02:57:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,044	71¢	$741	0xb507eb…
06-22 02:57:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,592	71¢	$1,138	0x7a741f…
06-21 19:27:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	72	71¢	$51	0x98afb7…
06-21 14:13:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x83b9eb…
06-21 13:55:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x844130…
06-21 13:55:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7becf2…
06-21 13:55:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x526375…
06-21 13:01:38	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xd0d92c…
06-21 12:59:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x5573ac…
06-21 12:59:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x41f08e…
06-21 12:58:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xdf56eb…