Bumpy-Significance-Challenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$6.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-18 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 78% +$60

Other

35% 43% $-72

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774857900	4	$215	134	132	+2	open	—	03-30 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$157	141	120	+22	open	—	04-24 21:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	2	$154	162	155	+7	open	—	04-27 14:37
btc updown 5m 1776706800	2	$154	110	105	+4	open	—	04-20 17:45
btc updown 5m 1775741100	2	$136	94	91	+3	open	—	04-09 13:29
dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29	4	$130	82	82	+0	open	—	03-29 20:17
atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	2	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	04-09 16:07
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	5	$126	88	87	+1	open	—	04-14 20:27
btc updown 5m 1774514400	2	$124	83	82	+1	open	—	03-26 08:43
btc updown 5m 1774446300	2	$123	85	84	+1	open	—	03-25 13:48
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$122	77	76	+1	open	—	04-30 18:54
btc updown 5m 1774270500	4	$120	69	68	+0	open	—	03-23 13:03
btc updown 5m 1774558500	4	$119	68	67	+0	open	—	03-26 21:00
lol fxw7 lev 2026 03 29	2	$119	69	69	+0	open	—	03-29 19:30
btc updown 5m 1777010700	3	$93	85	81	+4	open	—	04-24 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$90	66	66	+0	Up	+$40	05-06 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776692100	2	$85	76	74	+3	open	—	04-20 13:39
btc updown 5m 1774433700	4	$72	69	68	+1	open	—	03-25 10:20
btc updown 5m 1774346100	4	$69	62	61	+1	open	—	03-24 09:59
btc updown 5m 1774286100	2	$68	80	79	+1	open	—	03-23 17:17
btc updown 5m 1774445100	4	$58	40	40	+1	open	—	03-25 13:30
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$52	32	32	+0	open	—	03-25 13:56
cs2 crash mibra 2026 03 29	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	03-29 17:12
btc updown 5m 1774272000	4	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	03-23 13:23
btc updown 5m 1776692700	2	$50	42	41	+2	open	—	04-20 13:48
cs2 nem rust 2026 04 08	1	$47	89	0	+89	open	—	04-08 15:20
btc updown 5m 1774445700	2	$47	29	28	+0	open	—	03-25 13:37
btc updown 5m 1774271100	4	$47	45	37	+8	open	—	03-23 13:07
lol foxy hle 2026 03 30	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-30 09:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	05-07 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 08:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3af88b…
05-18 08:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xa7e1cd…
05-18 08:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xae9ebb…
05-18 08:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x1f6fe0…
05-12 07:19:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1f8b5f…
05-12 07:19:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdc1272…
05-11 18:16:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbfc07e…
05-11 09:04:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6f02e9…
05-10 18:11:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3901eb…
05-10 16:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc7f472…
05-10 12:56:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x935225…
05-10 10:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x676a68…
05-10 08:24:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x77b3f2…
05-10 08:07:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbb304b…
05-09 19:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x527c82…
05-09 19:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc0fd70…
05-08 14:27:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	33	65¢	$21	0x340c14…
05-08 13:49:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	No	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0x7544d6…
05-07 21:28:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x193424…
05-07 21:27:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xf22ca7…
05-07 18:58:54	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x065561…
05-07 14:13:55	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x2ec6d9…
05-07 11:06:31	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xff30e0…
05-07 11:06:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xbea2e0…
05-07 07:29:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	81¢	$22	0xe8c5fc…
05-07 05:42:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xdb6f17…
05-06 15:03:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x52ff70…
05-06 15:03:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3e82e4…
05-06 12:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x288c02…
05-06 12:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x7dc648…
05-06 08:30:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5c3a6f…
05-06 08:27:14	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1f9c5d…
05-05 17:52:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x0acab2…
05-05 17:51:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb5b904…
05-05 16:26:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x932467…
05-05 13:50:10	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x8e98f3…
05-05 07:14:02	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x39a0ec…
05-05 06:50:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc4f5d7…
05-04 14:50:14	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x9e1739…
05-04 09:45:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xbe9962…
05-04 07:50:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x8fd8e5…
05-04 07:42:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x0388de…
05-04 07:28:00	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x935e4f…
05-04 07:22:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7177b1…
05-03 16:35:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2ba7ee…
05-03 16:34:06	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x801644…
05-03 12:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?	Up	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x00db6f…
05-03 07:47:28	XRP Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5cd35b…
05-03 07:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x924464…
05-02 20:09:40	Dogecoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3d2106…
05-02 18:57:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x4bbb47…
05-02 18:10:58	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x7756a5…
05-02 13:22:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	42	48¢	$20	0x80e8ed…
05-02 10:41:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa6646e…
04-30 18:54:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xee1a4a…
04-30 18:54:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x254faf…
04-29 10:14:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xf1a1db…
04-28 21:12:42	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x962374…
04-28 21:06:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x64397c…
04-28 21:03:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x0e136f…
04-28 09:16:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x80bc4a…
04-27 21:02:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 28?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x14b330…
04-27 20:32:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xaf2304…
04-27 20:32:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0xa6d8b7…
04-27 17:32:56	Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x77faf9…
04-27 14:53:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x4a36b4…
04-27 14:37:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	155	61¢	$94	0x26c318…
04-27 07:03:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	162	37¢	$60	0xf8bc8e…
04-26 18:44:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 26?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfec728…
04-26 17:26:22	Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0x8c2d91…
04-26 17:17:44	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x7a1d3d…
04-26 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x38d20a…
04-26 16:57:50	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x41d620…
04-26 16:56:12	Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x388536…
04-26 16:17:22	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xbf686a…
04-26 16:15:10	Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4a9d23…
04-26 16:14:08	Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x20f21e…
04-26 16:01:02	Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbc6c39…
04-25 02:34:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x0b6136…
04-25 02:34:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xfe3fc1…
04-25 02:31:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x55e42e…
04-25 02:26:12	Will Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x649811…
04-25 02:15:34	Will Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x9c887c…
04-25 02:13:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd1804e…
04-24 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x215704…
04-24 21:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x81d660…
04-24 21:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x0e0ca6…
04-24 21:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x43715b…
04-24 21:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xfba140…
04-24 21:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x692159…
04-24 21:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	120	81¢	$97	0x05b84e…
04-24 21:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xd566f6…
04-24 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xc0f351…
04-24 21:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xb32090…
04-24 15:51:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x033bea…
04-24 15:50:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x6e7a55…
04-24 15:49:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x6db277…
04-24 08:27:10	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8d879e…
04-24 06:20:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb2967c…
04-24 06:10:26	btc updown 5m 1777010700	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1ca6f1…