Earnest-Baobab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

768

Trades

1,247

lifetime

Volume

$197.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-17 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 93% -$616

Sports

9% 45% -$123

Other

8% 64% +$427

Politics

7% 52% -$775

Tech

0% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	11	$2.6K	1,400	1,400	+0	India	+$67	03-05 17:23
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$2.0K	1,395	593	+802	No	+$20	02-27 00:56
nba phx min 2026 03 17	7	$1.8K	984	984	+0	Timberwolves	+$19	03-18 02:26
nba phx bos 2026 03 16	3	$1.8K	894	894	+0	Celtics	+$1	03-17 02:06
bitcoin above 70k on march 21	2	$1.8K	883	883	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 15:47
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 16	2	$1.8K	888	888	+0	No	+$17	03-16 16:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 20	2	$1.7K	873	873	+0	Yes	+$8	03-20 16:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 20	2	$1.7K	865	865	+0	No	+$3	03-20 15:56
ethereum up or down march 15 2026 1am et	2	$1.7K	846	846	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 06:00
nba den mem 2026 01 25	4	$1.7K	860	860	+0	Grizzlies	+$42	03-19 02:56
nba sas lac 2026 03 16	3	$1.6K	796	796	+0	Spurs	+$2	03-17 04:44
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	2	$1.6K	786	786	+0	Yes	+$3	02-25 17:00
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	7	$1.6K	815	815	+0	India	+$59	03-08 16:21
nba hou chi 2026 03 23	3	$1.5K	778	778	+0	Bulls	+$8	03-24 02:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 13	3	$1.5K	776	776	+0	No	+$15	03-13 16:08
nba bkn sac 2026 03 22	3	$1.5K	763	763	+0	Kings	+$7	03-23 00:37
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$1.5K	753	753	+0	No	+$5	02-25 01:42
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$1.5K	760	760	+0	No	+$7	02-25 05:20
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$1.5K	757	757	+0	No	+$15	02-28 04:10
nba was orl 2026 03 12	2	$1.5K	741	741	+0	Magic	+$0	03-13 01:44
nba phx ind 2026 03 12	2	$1.5K	740	740	+0	Suns	+$2	03-13 01:38
ethereum above 1900 on march 12	6	$1.5K	729	729	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 15:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 10	7	$1.4K	718	718	+0	No	+$5	03-10 15:55
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$1.4K	698	698	+0	No	+$6	03-08 04:48
ethereum up or down on march 7	2	$1.4K	690	690	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 17:19
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	2	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$6	03-07 16:56
ethereum above 2100 on march 7	2	$1.4K	683	683	+0	No	+$4	03-07 15:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$4	03-07 01:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 6	2	$1.4K	677	676	+0	No	+$1	03-06 17:14
xrp up or down march 10 8pm et	3	$1.3K	665	665	+0	Up	+$2	03-11 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 06:49:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x60ac77…
09-29 11:40:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5c179b…
09-16 02:56:31	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x998106…
09-08 04:18:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x048d1f…
09-08 04:14:40	ZCash Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76f96e…
09-02 07:11:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x27524e…
08-18 05:12:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x223d1e…
08-18 05:07:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc053d2…
08-18 04:43:36	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc6a89…
08-18 04:39:25	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x57b0de…
08-18 04:36:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2cf082…
08-18 04:36:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x633d23…
08-02 10:04:30	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1f775f…
08-02 10:04:09	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc09b0a…
08-02 10:02:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xb70df9…
08-02 10:01:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x762343…
08-02 09:58:42	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf09f6b…
08-02 09:54:41	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3a35da…
07-24 04:29:09	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2f9eb…
07-24 04:28:48	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fc6a5…
07-24 04:12:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x10d75c…
07-11 01:35:13	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe3a004…
07-11 01:34:47	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d4dc1…
07-10 02:28:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7b8460…
07-08 04:13:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x565511…
07-08 04:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xee2512…
07-08 03:59:23	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xc832a2…
07-08 03:58:16	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc2b446…
07-03 10:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5e7678…
07-03 10:56:04	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x365f50…
07-03 10:55:25	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xb801ee…
07-03 10:49:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xebb0cb…
07-03 10:48:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5f5aca…
07-03 10:46:25	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x58332b…
07-03 10:44:20	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xaa565a…
07-03 10:43:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xddb3ee…
07-03 10:42:29	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xc0bb7b…
07-03 10:42:05	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe8607b…
07-03 10:41:37	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8c7f34…
07-03 10:41:13	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x83afea…
07-03 10:40:31	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x99bd91…
06-30 03:59:55	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0abda6…
06-30 03:59:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcd77e1…
06-30 03:58:04	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdbc1e4…
06-30 03:57:44	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf46afb…
06-30 03:56:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x336a82…
06-30 03:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf2133…
06-29 11:58:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x147730…
06-29 10:57:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0f4e59…
06-29 10:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf31ac4…
06-29 10:44:44	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x12e7d5…
06-29 10:44:16	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x768133…
06-29 10:43:55	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xb483fd…
06-29 10:43:17	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x32c0bd…
06-29 10:42:56	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2ec3ac…
06-29 10:42:40	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x452032…
06-29 10:40:35	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x58adc8…
06-29 10:40:11	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x040cb2…
06-29 10:39:28	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d0fe3…
06-29 10:38:40	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fb8b1…
06-29 10:38:16	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2fbfc3…
06-29 10:37:56	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x22a017…
06-29 10:34:29	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0e04b8…
06-29 10:34:05	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdb4c5e…
06-29 10:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbf0a10…
06-29 10:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0839b2…
06-29 10:28:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x028a3f…
06-29 10:28:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7a9130…
06-29 10:26:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc29590…
06-29 10:26:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6804bf…
06-29 10:25:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f8649…
06-29 10:24:47	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23a122…
06-29 10:23:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c777d…
06-29 10:23:35	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b2b5…
06-29 10:22:17	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x27139b…
06-29 10:21:35	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5a0aa…
06-29 10:14:34	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x669c49…
06-29 10:14:11	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e6683…
06-29 10:13:46	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1e9b5e…
06-29 10:13:26	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc7feb9…
06-29 10:12:47	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8fd3a5…
06-29 10:12:16	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe4af2e…
06-29 10:10:01	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xa5293e…
06-29 10:09:40	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf32bc0…
06-29 10:08:56	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x4e0c01…
06-29 10:08:23	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe78c96…
06-29 10:07:40	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x94b60c…
06-29 10:07:19	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe5786f…
06-29 10:06:02	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdacbaa…
06-29 10:04:55	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b57e6…
06-29 10:04:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8c094c…
06-29 10:03:01	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2fc3f9…
06-29 10:02:37	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xad6342…
06-29 10:02:10	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ebb45…
06-29 02:27:58	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc3e66d…
06-29 02:27:35	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb1422…
06-29 02:27:01	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdc9e3c…
06-29 02:26:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xad7e09…
06-29 02:23:14	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb69409…
06-29 02:22:50	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1eae04…