Realized P&L
+$318
Unrealized P&L
+$76
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
155
Trades
198
lifetime
Volume
$4.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$687
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-26 23:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Politics
54% 51% +$561
Other
23% 25% -$73
Sports
22% 20% -$170
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -133 -$127 97¢ $-129 -$2 10-26 00:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,136 $50 9¢ $106 +$56 05-07 16:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +75 $50 96¢ $72 +$22 09-08 18:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +102 $50 66¢ $68 +$18 08-04 14:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +75 $50 70¢ $52 +$2 10-26 00:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +74 $50 68¢ $50 +$0 08-04 14:26
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +312 $50 14¢ $42 -$8 09-10 17:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +76 $25 38¢ $29 +$4 08-04 14:28
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +167 $20 15¢ $25 +$5 08-04 14:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +234 $30 11¢ $25 -$5 10-26 01:02
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +32 $20 63¢ $20 +$0 10-26 00:55
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +69 $20 29¢ $20 $0 10-26 13:46
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +667 $20 2¢ $15 -$5 08-04 14:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +91 $10 11¢ $10 $0 10-26 01:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +91 $10 11¢ $10 $0 10-26 13:48
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +33 $15 28¢ $9 -$6 10-06 19:09
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +667 $10 1¢ $6 -$4 10-12 17:06