Joyous-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,263

lifetime

Volume

$36.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-07 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 85% +$116

Politics

35% 0% $-11

Other

2% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	83	$3.3K	2,279	1,885	+394	open	—	05-07 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	12	$2.0K	1,056	1,056	+0	open	—	05-01 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	05-01 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	14	$1.8K	957	957	+0	open	—	05-01 01:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	55	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-01 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$1.2K	621	621	+0	open	—	05-01 10:34
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	55	$903	578	573	+5	open	—	04-23 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$783	791	0	+791	open	—	05-01 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$777	785	0	+785	open	—	05-01 09:54
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	31	$723	636	617	+20	open	—	04-11 23:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	81	$704	2,248	1,867	+381	open	—	04-11 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$614	620	0	+620	open	—	05-01 10:39
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	45	$610	890	767	+123	open	—	04-30 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$441	226	226	+0	open	—	05-01 12:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$434	263	263	+0	open	—	05-07 17:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	14	$425	364	364	+0	open	—	04-08 14:46
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	28	$358	462	462	+0	open	—	04-08 22:15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	12	$334	295	95	+200	open	—	04-06 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$294	156	156	+0	open	—	05-02 12:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	19	$290	380	380	+0	open	—	04-09 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$239	122	122	+0	open	—	05-03 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	13	$206	144	144	+0	Up	+$50	05-06 09:59
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	15	$205	350	350	+0	open	—	04-09 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	05-02 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$202	103	103	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$193	150	150	+0	open	—	05-03 08:34
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	14	$177	170	170	+0	open	—	04-10 06:40
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	23	$176	401	176	+226	open	—	04-13 15:40
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	5	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 02:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	19	$150	140	127	+13	No	$-8	04-23 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 17:53:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	110	84¢	$92	0x35bbe0…
05-07 17:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x755f72…
05-07 17:37:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x07e454…
05-07 17:25:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x21c5c5…
05-07 16:09:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x00dc1b…
05-07 14:29:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x34afa1…
05-07 14:24:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x069eb3…
05-07 14:08:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xc026f0…
05-07 13:48:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1fe583…
05-07 13:47:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x47b2d6…
05-07 13:41:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x699b53…
05-07 13:27:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x0284b9…
05-07 12:31:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xc97b78…
05-07 12:16:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x2adab6…
05-07 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x2beeeb…
05-07 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3718d9…
05-07 11:51:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x193042…
05-07 11:25:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	79	67¢	$53	0xf94315…
05-07 11:25:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0xf38536…
05-07 11:21:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	99	79¢	$79	0xfa4a21…
05-07 11:11:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	101	79¢	$79	0x0b611f…
05-07 10:57:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe528e0…
05-07 10:51:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x592db0…
05-07 10:44:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0xf792d4…
05-07 10:35:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xa22a3a…
05-07 10:30:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x6f7947…
05-07 08:55:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xa48696…
05-07 08:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x151107…
05-07 07:09:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x45b7da…
05-07 06:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xf7aa67…
05-07 06:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x46a0f7…
05-07 06:41:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xbdcf0d…
05-07 06:41:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x86b47e…
05-07 06:40:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb44c78…
05-07 06:11:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x94cce2…
05-07 05:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x9ef7a1…
05-07 05:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xeedb4a…
05-07 05:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xef29d3…
05-07 05:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x88204f…
05-07 05:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xfc9115…
05-07 04:18:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x79bd22…
05-07 04:13:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	86	78¢	$67	0xf1ddfb…
05-07 04:10:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xa475a9…
05-07 03:54:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x6d54ce…
05-07 03:20:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xbcd57a…
05-07 02:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	173	43¢	$74	0x0ce3ab…
05-07 02:35:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x987661…
05-07 02:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x35885f…
05-07 02:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x49c2ac…
05-07 02:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x1874ad…
05-07 02:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x761c2a…
05-07 02:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0x870080…
05-07 01:10:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xa0154b…
05-06 21:56:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	53	78¢	$41	0xc37391…
05-06 21:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xfb6016…
05-06 21:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xcd8972…
05-06 21:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x8e6df9…
05-06 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xc2e4a8…
05-06 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x694168…
05-06 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x5890aa…
05-06 21:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x21d184…
05-06 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x47e6a6…
05-06 21:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x0d4196…
05-06 20:56:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xb9e2c7…
05-06 19:18:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd588b8…
05-06 19:16:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x69e593…
05-06 19:06:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xa92b7f…
05-06 19:00:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xf54373…
05-06 18:55:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x881446…
05-06 11:55:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0xfd0b52…
05-06 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0xc71228…
05-06 11:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x0c2bb5…
05-06 10:21:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x620c2f…
05-06 10:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb0137b…
05-06 10:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2fd432…
05-06 10:11:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x78dfb3…
05-06 10:09:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xee543d…
05-06 10:05:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2993dc…
05-06 10:02:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0xe8ceb8…
05-06 10:01:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	168	76¢	$128	0xe5d542…
05-06 09:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x009eb1…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xfeb64b…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xd560a2…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xd51f0c…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xcfff94…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	51	89¢	$45	0xba0953…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb80e07…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x7643c3…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x74ca93…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x5b8843…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x24bcfa…
05-06 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x1d10ff…
05-06 09:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	144	54¢	$78	0x4d2c03…
05-06 09:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	58¢	$48	0x494de2…
05-06 09:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x6b2d08…
05-06 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x8df611…
05-06 02:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x483dfa…
05-06 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x263a3e…
05-06 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x382bf8…
05-06 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe2c58e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	655	$373.9K	13,294	06-01 07:30
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	614	$200.1K	60,198	05-07 17:49
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	613	$442.6K	28,791	05-07 17:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	613	$174.8K	55,598	05-07 17:49
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	610	$1.02K	2,566	05-07 17:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	609	$205.0K	37,453	05-07 17:49
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	609	$107.3K	12,100	05-07 17:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	608	$183.5K	31,508	05-07 17:49