Joyous-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$499

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

748

Trades

2,579

lifetime

Volume

$43.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-07 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 67% +$261

Politics

37% 40% +$489

Other

9% 33% -$154

Tech

1% 0% -$96

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-1,500	-$14	0¢	$-4	+$9	05-03 08:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	84	$3.4K	2,279	1,973	+306	No	-$136	05-07 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	12	$2.0K	1,056	1,056	+0	Up	+$46	05-01 01:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$2.0K	1,853	1,853	+0	No	-$116	05-07 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	Up	+$19	05-01 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	14	$1.8K	957	957	+0	Up	+$47	05-01 01:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	55	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$597	05-01 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$1.2K	621	621	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 10:34
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	55	$903	578	573	+5	No	+$27	04-23 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$783	791	0	+791	Down	+$8	05-01 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$777	785	0	+785	Up	+$8	05-01 09:54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	23	$727	566	566	+0	No	-$9	05-07 17:53
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	31	$723	636	617	+20	No	+$64	04-11 23:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	81	$704	2,248	1,867	+381	No	-$199	04-11 23:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	11	$662	515	515	+0	Yes	+$21	05-01 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$614	620	0	+620	Down	+$6	05-01 10:39
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	45	$610	890	767	+123	No	+$126	04-30 04:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	16	$557	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	05-01 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$441	226	226	+0	Up	+$11	05-01 12:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$434	263	263	+0	No	+$20	05-07 17:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	14	$425	364	364	+0	Yes	+$124	04-08 14:46
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	28	$358	462	462	+0	Yes	-$102	04-08 22:15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	12	$334	295	95	+200	Yes	+$46	04-06 01:04
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	9	$333	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 11:49
NATO dissolves before 2027?	25	$304	162	162	+0	open	—	05-06 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$294	156	156	+0	Down	+$14	05-02 12:04
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	19	$290	380	380	+0	Yes	+$29	04-09 18:15
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	7	$284	180	180	+0	open	—	05-07 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$239	122	122	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 08:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	13	$225	178	178	+0	open	—	05-06 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$210	111	111	+0	Down	+$10	05-04 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 17:53:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xe1b913…
05-07 17:53:41	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x0dce9b…
05-07 17:53:39	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xde8468…
05-07 17:53:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x61d76c…
05-07 17:53:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x106165…
05-07 17:53:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xeece16…
05-07 17:53:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	110	84¢	$92	0x35bbe0…
05-07 17:53:31	Russian strike on Poland by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0x6c4232…
05-07 17:53:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,833	52¢	$953	0xf5e451…
05-07 17:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x755f72…
05-07 17:38:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xb5c42f…
05-07 17:37:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x07e454…
05-07 17:26:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xec537d…
05-07 17:25:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x21c5c5…
05-07 17:25:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x242cc1…
05-07 17:24:52	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xae9749…
05-07 17:11:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x0ece13…
05-07 16:24:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x507533…
05-07 16:15:57	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xec7993…
05-07 16:09:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x00dc1b…
05-07 15:45:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	189	61¢	$115	0x0b5de5…
05-07 15:44:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x889f6e…
05-07 15:43:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfd8b26…
05-07 14:29:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x34afa1…
05-07 14:24:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x069eb3…
05-07 14:08:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xc026f0…
05-07 13:51:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x61d14b…
05-07 13:49:44	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x86c403…
05-07 13:49:13	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x80efc9…
05-07 13:48:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1fe583…
05-07 13:47:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x47b2d6…
05-07 13:42:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xa9d7b3…
05-07 13:41:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x699b53…
05-07 13:40:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xf714a4…
05-07 13:39:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	42	65¢	$28	0x426710…
05-07 13:39:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x0eaca0…
05-07 13:39:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xeeedda…
05-07 13:37:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	79	65¢	$52	0xfc3e97…
05-07 13:37:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	21	65¢	$13	0x40c342…
05-07 13:27:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x0284b9…
05-07 13:20:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xee47e3…
05-07 12:35:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x79075c…
05-07 12:31:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xc97b78…
05-07 12:16:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x2adab6…
05-07 12:05:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	52¢	$41	0x9091c3…
05-07 12:04:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3f283a…
05-07 12:03:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0x953e2e…
05-07 12:00:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xc6bce2…
05-07 12:00:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xc4529a…
05-07 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x2beeeb…
05-07 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3718d9…
05-07 11:56:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xf96d46…
05-07 11:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x6b8f40…
05-07 11:51:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x193042…
05-07 11:50:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x4a9f03…
05-07 11:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x1cc93a…
05-07 11:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	107	60¢	$64	0xa741fc…
05-07 11:30:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x4f90d7…
05-07 11:25:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	79	67¢	$53	0xf94315…
05-07 11:25:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0xf38536…
05-07 11:21:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	99	79¢	$79	0xfa4a21…
05-07 11:12:16	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x142324…
05-07 11:11:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	101	79¢	$79	0x0b611f…
05-07 11:10:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	178	78¢	$139	0xbf37e8…
05-07 10:57:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdc4c17…
05-07 10:57:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc0360f…
05-07 10:57:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe528e0…
05-07 10:51:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x592db0…
05-07 10:44:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0xf792d4…
05-07 10:38:50	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x0ba3a6…
05-07 10:37:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xd37006…
05-07 10:36:48	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xbdbccb…
05-07 10:35:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xa22a3a…
05-07 10:30:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x6f7947…
05-07 10:27:37	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x9f3fb0…
05-07 09:06:23	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xc624d8…
05-07 09:04:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb215dd…
05-07 09:03:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xecac27…
05-07 09:02:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf3c433…
05-07 09:02:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x125332…
05-07 09:00:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0bb7fc…
05-07 08:59:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x3d1b20…
05-07 08:55:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xa48696…
05-07 08:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	134	57¢	$76	0xe2c6f8…
05-07 08:41:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x5434b3…
05-07 08:41:21	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x561a45…
05-07 08:40:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe270c6…
05-07 08:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x574f4e…
05-07 08:34:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x6ed75d…
05-07 08:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xf8fc8a…
05-07 08:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x151107…
05-07 08:32:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb358eb…
05-07 08:31:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x937056…
05-07 08:24:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x113467…
05-07 08:16:48	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf66c02…
05-07 07:47:03	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x188ebc…
05-07 07:11:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	88	7¢	$6	0x760332…
05-07 07:09:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x45b7da…
05-07 06:52:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x3931d6…
05-07 06:44:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x0f6302…