Intentional-Kitten — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$604

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,084

lifetime

Volume

$326.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

$498

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-31 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

64% 50% $-702

Other

18% 100% +$98

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No		-500	$-498	100¢	$-498	$-0	05-31 11:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	98	$15.8K	20,639	12,765	+7,874	open	—	02-25 20:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$14.1K	16,480	0	+16,480	open	—	03-07 00:34
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	53	$12.1K	14,399	6,405	+7,994	open	—	02-16 16:57
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	38	$10.7K	12,066	0	+12,066	open	—	02-12 17:46
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	14	$9.4K	10,650	0	+10,650	open	—	02-17 12:52
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	116	$8.7K	10,125	8,235	+1,890	open	—	02-28 06:24
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	9	$6.5K	6,585	213	+6,372	open	—	02-02 13:01
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	50	$6.4K	6,849	2,543	+4,306	open	—	02-25 15:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	25	$6.0K	4,927	2,730	+2,197	open	—	01-26 11:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	24	$5.5K	9,067	6,946	+2,121	open	—	02-26 05:22
will spacex have exactly 7 launches in january	5	$5.4K	5,357	0	+5,357	open	—	01-19 02:59
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	4	$5.3K	5,339	0	+5,339	open	—	02-14 08:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	23	$5.3K	6,252	800	+5,452	open	—	01-28 22:53
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	15	$5.1K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	01-23 20:57
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	10	$4.5K	5,929	238	+5,691	open	—	02-12 17:08
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	50	$4.4K	7,474	900	+6,574	open	—	02-26 17:11
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	14	$4.4K	4,982	31	+4,951	open	—	02-25 16:22
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	18	$4.3K	4,385	0	+4,385	No	+$96	03-14 10:47
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	65	$4.2K	5,429	5,128	+301	open	—	01-14 23:01
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	3	$3.9K	4,600	0	+4,600	open	—	02-26 09:28
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 17 2026	16	$3.9K	4,378	0	+4,378	open	—	02-17 18:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	20	$3.9K	7,852	0	+7,852	open	—	01-23 10:44
will deepseek win the okbet trading competition	1	$3.6K	3,615	0	+3,615	open	—	02-01 00:01
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	9	$3.5K	3,800	0	+3,800	open	—	02-04 17:47
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	42	$3.5K	3,415	2,127	+1,288	open	—	01-17 23:15
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase december 30 january 5	15	$3.4K	2,243	2,184	+59	open	—	01-05 04:29
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	4	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	02-03 21:26
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	5	$3.4K	2,764	1,150	+1,615	open	—	02-16 03:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	30	$3.3K	2,385	3,385	-1,000	open	—	01-31 01:24
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	20	$3.1K	2,325	1,743	+582	open	—	01-15 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 11:50:45	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x8028aa…
05-11 11:58:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,995	72¢	$1,434	0x5bfed6…
05-11 11:58:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,043	72¢	$1,467	0xd7833c…
04-06 16:32:59	will trump say sleepy joe or biden during the white house easter egg roll	No	BUY	700	6¢	$40	0x48db3f…
03-14 10:47:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa5f5c5…
03-14 10:38:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	490	98¢	$479	0x419a8b…
03-14 10:22:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xa5838a…
03-14 10:21:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6ee090…
03-14 10:20:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf150e7…
03-14 10:11:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,340	98¢	$1,311	0xee37a0…
03-14 09:40:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x093f0f…
03-14 09:39:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x8d2b9c…
03-14 09:39:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x128ebf…
03-14 09:38:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5d13a5…
03-14 09:38:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xb7ecee…
03-14 09:35:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x630ad2…
03-14 09:33:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c309a…
03-14 09:32:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x321f13…
03-14 09:30:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x494c5d…
03-14 09:16:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x763cec…
03-14 09:15:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	909	98¢	$889	0x450ca2…
03-14 09:12:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,151	98¢	$1,126	0xb3b6e9…
03-07 00:34:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	888	85¢	$754	0x5ffaac…
03-07 00:33:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,482	89¢	$2,209	0x75dfe8…
03-07 00:24:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	15,000	86¢	$12,900	0x79e2bd…
03-07 00:06:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0xe1c1d3…
03-07 00:05:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	592	82¢	$486	0x62b6ea…
03-05 21:41:49	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x695ab2…
03-03 23:31:03	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	220	64¢	$141	0x13513b…
02-28 06:24:11	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x0e38cc…
02-27 11:45:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x43090b…
02-27 11:29:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xeadbf9…
02-27 11:04:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$33	0xb7b34e…
02-27 11:04:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb2794a…
02-27 11:04:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x61ab4f…
02-27 11:04:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xd8531b…
02-27 11:01:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xabfbb4…
02-27 10:48:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xa21e40…
02-27 09:53:09	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x3fab7d…
02-27 09:52:57	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x54cdbf…
02-27 09:52:47	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x04b6b1…
02-27 09:52:03	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	552	97¢	$535	0xc715c7…
02-27 09:44:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94f1ce…
02-27 09:13:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0xa49b12…
02-27 09:13:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x903079…
02-27 08:05:51	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	2,207	98¢	$2,156	0x736881…
02-26 19:35:08	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0xd57dd9…
02-26 19:35:04	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0x552b02…
02-26 19:34:58	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb4345b…
02-26 19:34:58	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	41	55¢	$22	0xb2ea92…
02-26 19:34:34	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x5a651d…
02-26 17:56:40	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x2eba76…
02-26 17:11:34	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	65¢	$48	0xdaee5d…
02-26 17:11:32	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x75191e…
02-26 17:01:40	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x8b3cb2…
02-26 17:01:38	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xe11290…
02-26 17:01:38	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x6e62dd…
02-26 17:01:34	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xb29e6c…
02-26 16:54:58	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x8224c6…
02-26 16:48:22	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	422	65¢	$274	0x3af0e8…
02-26 16:45:12	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x33e831…
02-26 15:57:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	5¢	$12	0x17822c…
02-26 15:57:06	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	575	86¢	$495	0xc647b0…
02-26 15:55:36	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfd9ff9…
02-26 15:54:28	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	714	86¢	$614	0xfa7154…
02-26 15:54:04	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	53	86¢	$45	0x06dbdb…
02-26 15:52:32	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xcaf12f…
02-26 15:52:16	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2fe31b…
02-26 15:51:16	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x593e24…
02-26 15:48:42	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x95d4c3…
02-26 15:48:20	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xb3354b…
02-26 15:48:08	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x59e63a…
02-26 09:49:48	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	67¢	$163	0x5dd225…
02-26 09:45:46	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	67¢	$58	0xa57591…
02-26 09:45:46	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0x39b165…
02-26 09:45:46	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0x327719…
02-26 09:45:42	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	356	67¢	$238	0x7da4de…
02-26 09:28:46	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1,334	85¢	$1,134	0xe746eb…
02-26 09:28:14	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	266	85¢	$226	0xaaccaf…
02-26 08:44:48	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0x9cefef…
02-26 08:44:42	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdb8714…
02-26 08:44:28	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x9da15e…
02-26 08:44:22	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x76bb8d…
02-26 08:43:24	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	109	89¢	$97	0x04c55d…
02-26 08:41:48	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	545	89¢	$485	0x4a0bef…
02-26 08:41:42	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0x285ae1…
02-26 08:41:32	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	164	89¢	$146	0xa8c040…
02-26 08:41:32	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	164	89¢	$146	0x6af75e…
02-26 08:41:26	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x5be7aa…
02-26 08:41:24	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	86¢	$2,580	0x62ff86…
02-26 08:41:22	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x90b7ad…
02-26 08:41:16	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	76	89¢	$68	0xb24af2…
02-26 08:41:14	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x65ee19…
02-26 08:41:12	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x1d40b9…
02-26 08:14:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	686	96¢	$661	0xe36699…
02-26 07:50:24	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	2,600	98¢	$2,551	0x6cb349…
02-26 05:36:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	402	96¢	$388	0xb13faf…
02-26 05:32:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xfc64a1…
02-26 05:32:26	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1dd30c…
02-26 05:31:06	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xea73c2…