Vapid-Mechanic 0x63e30d…46f341
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$277
Unrealized P&L
+$356
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
778
lifetime
Volume
$284.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$365
Open exposure
$2.23K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-20 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
76% 33% $-194
Other
24% 50% $-83
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,364 $300 30¢ $416 +$116 07-15 23:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,850 $500 18¢ $324 $-176 06-19 22:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -1,284 $-348 24¢ $-302 +$46 06-14 20:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +950 $228 28¢ $261 +$33 07-13 20:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,412 $200 11¢ $253 +$53 07-09 15:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -1,848 $-420 14¢ $-249 +$170 05-29 21:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,454 $-683 14¢ $-196 +$487 05-29 22:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +3,000 $300 3¢ $82 $-218 05-28 22:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,333 $200 6¢ $73 $-127 05-28 22:54
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +1,277 $100 6¢ $70 $-30 06-15 21:51