Realized P&L
-$8.84K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.53K
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
262
Trades
944
lifetime
Volume
$370.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$392
Open exposure
$3.76K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-20 02:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Politics
71% 43% +$1,917
Other
23% 46% -$3,362
Sports
5% 9% -$7,343
Crypto
0% 0% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,466 -$1,032 82¢ $-1209 -$177 05-16 08:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,916 $632 34¢ $984 +$352 06-20 19:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +898 $658 59¢ $530 -$128 07-24 06:45
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,354 $550 2¢ $234 -$316 06-09 07:37
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +1,548 $200 12¢ $186 -$14 07-09 13:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +2,412 $200 6¢ $133 -$67 07-09 15:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +3,625 $600 3¢ $118 -$482 05-28 22:54
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +832 $100 12¢ $100 $0 10-07 02:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3,749 $1,000 2¢ $94 -$906 09-10 23:12
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +1,277 $100 5¢ $59 -$41 06-15 21:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,850 $500 3¢ $49 -$451 06-19 22:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +417 $130 8¢ $31 -$99 10-08 16:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -370 $20 6¢ $-20 -$40 06-18 15:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -52 -$43 15¢ $-8 +$35 07-13 20:32
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,345 $200 0¢ $7 -$193 10-20 02:03