Realized P&L
-$277
Unrealized P&L
+$534
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
682
lifetime
Volume
$221.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$325
Open exposure
$6.84K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-03 05:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
91% 33% $-194
Other
8% 50% $-83
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6,228 $5,000 84¢ $5.2K +$201 06-28 21:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,850 $500 24¢ $453 $-47 06-19 22:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -1,284 $-348 22¢ $-289 +$59 06-14 20:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,454 $-683 16¢ $-240 +$443 05-29 22:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -1,848 $-420 12¢ $-231 +$189 05-29 21:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,003 $-172 16¢ $-155 +$17 06-14 20:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +3,000 $300 $116 $-184 05-28 22:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,333 $200 $87 $-113 05-28 22:54
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +1,277 $100 $70 $-30 06-15 21:51