Bogus-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$387

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-28 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-0

Politics

34% 33% $-0

Crypto

20% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 03:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 07:29
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:43
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 01:52
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:47
will trump and machado not shake hands	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-16 09:48
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 01:50
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:16
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-27 02:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 04:13:58	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x61c3d5…
07-28 03:35:09	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc16d0e…
07-28 03:31:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c1ff4…
07-28 03:22:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e409a…
07-27 02:52:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa63b44…
07-27 02:42:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcbd865…
07-27 02:39:22	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd067df…
07-27 02:31:39	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65b947…
07-25 04:22:06	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0743d…
07-25 04:09:00	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf32f6f…
07-25 03:50:58	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xae9822…
07-25 03:36:42	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb5358c…
07-24 04:02:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x14206a…
07-24 03:50:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x003f57…
07-24 03:41:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x888f76…
07-24 03:21:06	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x57e48e…
07-23 03:12:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x662e66…
07-23 03:04:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4a42de…
07-23 03:02:04	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc48bb9…
07-23 02:57:07	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95fe4c…
07-22 03:10:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9b8f42…
07-22 03:03:15	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7e0207…
07-21 02:58:18	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x627281…
07-21 02:52:21	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x720cf9…
07-21 02:47:58	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x497960…
07-21 02:36:00	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bb09a…
07-20 04:52:16	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc6c666…
07-20 04:38:19	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd7cd42…
07-20 04:33:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x521f70…
07-20 04:20:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x565f9d…
07-18 03:45:52	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3cfd4f…
07-18 03:22:46	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x01a036…
07-17 03:10:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf07efa…
07-17 02:57:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe974ad…
07-17 02:51:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9f28a3…
07-17 02:44:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ac499…
07-15 02:52:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb89093…
07-15 02:45:07	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb67f45…
07-15 02:39:11	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x58f1e4…
07-15 02:28:37	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee6459…
07-14 03:58:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x88e337…
07-14 03:53:40	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e4b29…
07-14 03:49:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38a4bc…
07-14 03:30:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbf007e…
07-13 03:38:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb43e06…
07-13 03:28:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1b59f…
07-11 03:08:29	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x22e736…
07-11 03:01:35	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd39a57…
07-11 02:55:31	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xdcd37d…
07-11 02:47:23	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x194669…
07-10 03:36:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x09ef5f…
07-10 03:13:14	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd6b58c…
07-10 03:08:56	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xb51e89…
07-10 03:07:16	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa39cee…
07-09 02:46:07	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x19b22d…
07-09 02:38:56	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x83ffb6…
07-08 03:10:07	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf1c0d0…
07-08 02:35:29	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x39c7a7…
07-07 03:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x526763…
07-07 03:32:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x26c1ff…
07-07 03:23:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3fb75a…
07-07 03:15:58	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc26893…
07-06 03:09:25	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x6f4f11…
07-06 02:59:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x85cfd3…
07-04 02:54:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6cd326…
07-04 02:36:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f3025…
07-04 02:33:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x910736…
07-04 02:20:14	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1859ee…
07-02 02:54:47	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0edc6a…
07-02 02:45:23	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x08e607…
07-02 02:39:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x09a607…
07-02 02:32:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x66462b…
07-01 02:21:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb46feb…
07-01 02:13:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x92a983…
07-01 02:09:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x99433e…
07-01 01:55:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6cf972…
06-30 02:51:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x89b6a8…
06-30 02:44:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa51a17…
06-30 02:41:01	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbe9346…
06-30 02:34:31	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x93d988…
06-29 04:27:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x000009…
06-29 04:12:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x779ddc…
06-29 04:06:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1d55ff…
06-29 03:44:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd59004…
06-27 02:34:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97bef4…
06-27 02:19:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39411d…
06-27 02:15:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x60765a…
06-27 02:09:34	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd9f409…
06-26 04:13:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bea4c…
06-26 03:44:40	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6f741…
06-26 03:19:05	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9f299f…
06-26 03:09:26	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa3852b…
06-25 03:50:41	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x883ff0…
06-25 03:42:37	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x50fe49…
06-25 03:37:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x645b28…
06-25 03:35:29	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x12d0fc…
06-24 03:45:04	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd2e9b3…
06-24 03:44:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x77861c…
06-24 03:37:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d22a3…
06-24 03:31:43	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c4d2b…