Bogus-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-18 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-0

Politics

32% 33% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes		-1	$-0	37¢	$-0	$-0	06-11 03:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 07:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:43
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 01:52
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:47
will trump and machado not shake hands	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-16 09:48
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 01:50
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 02:59
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:42
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:10
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-29 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 02:59:32	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xceae3b…
06-18 02:57:10	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03369a…
06-18 02:46:34	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe5225d…
06-18 02:39:38	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6f962…
06-17 03:01:06	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x05122b…
06-17 02:52:21	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a385e…
06-17 02:49:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6a4293…
06-17 02:36:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa27d12…
06-16 02:45:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdedd31…
06-16 02:38:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffedc1…
06-16 02:24:21	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa38a48…
06-15 03:05:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70d29d…
06-15 02:43:06	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3fda9…
06-12 03:52:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4df764…
06-12 03:43:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb78735…
06-12 03:40:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6d084…
06-12 03:24:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1dc6b…
06-11 03:07:13	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x51366a…
06-11 03:05:30	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x20071e…
06-09 01:37:00	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x424aae…
06-09 01:36:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3af331…
06-09 01:23:00	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x64471b…
06-09 01:18:16	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xceaa72…
06-06 03:28:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe00909…
06-06 03:23:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4811d1…
06-06 03:18:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7709e9…
06-06 03:02:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1a331a…
06-04 02:41:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4c022c…
06-04 02:14:28	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf63450…
06-04 02:06:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54e58a…
06-02 02:10:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f99f1…
06-02 02:05:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e5804…
06-02 01:56:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5727fd…
06-01 02:58:27	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfb4a12…
06-01 02:27:44	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc9c143…
05-30 02:31:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe8b0d6…
05-30 02:08:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfc492a…
05-29 02:09:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e69fb…
05-29 02:06:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x324685…
05-29 01:55:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd76c15…
05-29 01:49:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda1c52…
05-28 03:29:36	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1aefde…
05-28 03:19:51	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x38d413…
05-25 02:47:41	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd46d6b…
05-25 02:38:38	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e8e6e…
05-21 03:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55b2e0…
05-21 02:55:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbd83c…
05-19 02:30:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xaf3925…
05-19 01:53:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd53d69…
05-18 03:32:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xbecbd9…
05-18 02:40:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9f11fc…
05-16 03:03:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x27a696…
05-16 02:44:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x083184…
05-15 02:43:29	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xef6eb1…
05-15 02:36:03	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc384d0…
05-14 02:28:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6cf435…
05-14 02:16:59	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x70bb9d…
05-11 02:33:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdd21bb…
05-11 02:32:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7066ba…
05-11 02:26:00	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x85f994…
05-11 02:15:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa86031…
05-09 02:08:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3efeb7…
05-09 01:55:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x440ef1…
05-08 03:20:38	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x9b54ed…
05-08 03:18:21	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6c48a9…
05-08 03:13:27	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8e03da…
05-08 03:04:11	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xebe280…
05-07 01:54:27	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf385aa…
05-07 01:52:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xdb2f5b…
05-07 01:44:11	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9fb69d…
05-07 01:34:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2c1175…
05-06 03:19:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf84d4c…
05-06 02:07:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4db89…
05-05 02:30:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xaeb932…
05-05 02:12:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x70299d…
05-04 01:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ebeac…
05-04 01:57:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x627228…
05-04 01:47:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x570755…
05-04 01:43:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1e1be…
04-30 03:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79a05a…
04-30 03:05:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c6bd2…
04-29 02:12:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa28132…
04-29 02:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x59637c…
04-29 02:04:00	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x14942e…
04-29 02:00:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf22018…
04-28 02:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x30eb7a…
04-28 01:59:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa1e71a…
04-28 01:53:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae879d…
04-28 01:47:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcabf7c…
04-27 01:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x393617…
04-27 01:49:46	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe889a5…
04-27 01:46:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69be93…
04-27 01:40:24	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4b7f4e…
04-25 02:10:30	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8fe315…
04-25 02:07:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x89e1de…
04-25 02:02:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe66553…
04-25 01:56:18	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7537ca…
04-24 01:56:32	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xad59bc…
04-24 01:55:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe81efc…
04-24 01:50:00	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e0374…