Bogus-Webinar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$332

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-08 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% $-0

Politics

35% 33% $-0

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 03:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 07:29
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:39
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 02:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:43
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 01:52
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:47
will trump and machado not shake hands	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-16 09:48
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 01:50
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 03:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 03:10:07	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf1c0d0…
07-08 02:35:29	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x39c7a7…
07-07 03:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x526763…
07-07 03:32:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x26c1ff…
07-07 03:23:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3fb75a…
07-07 03:15:58	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc26893…
07-06 03:09:25	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x6f4f11…
07-06 02:59:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x85cfd3…
07-04 02:54:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6cd326…
07-04 02:36:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f3025…
07-04 02:33:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x910736…
07-04 02:20:14	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1859ee…
07-02 02:54:47	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0edc6a…
07-02 02:45:23	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x08e607…
07-02 02:39:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x09a607…
07-02 02:32:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x66462b…
07-01 02:21:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb46feb…
07-01 02:13:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x92a983…
07-01 02:09:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x99433e…
07-01 01:55:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6cf972…
06-30 02:51:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x89b6a8…
06-30 02:44:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa51a17…
06-30 02:41:01	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbe9346…
06-30 02:34:31	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x93d988…
06-29 04:27:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x000009…
06-29 04:12:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x779ddc…
06-29 04:06:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1d55ff…
06-29 03:44:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd59004…
06-27 02:34:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97bef4…
06-27 02:19:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39411d…
06-27 02:15:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x60765a…
06-27 02:09:34	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd9f409…
06-26 04:13:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bea4c…
06-26 03:44:40	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6f741…
06-26 03:19:05	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9f299f…
06-26 03:09:26	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa3852b…
06-25 03:50:41	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x883ff0…
06-25 03:42:37	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x50fe49…
06-25 03:37:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x645b28…
06-25 03:35:29	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x12d0fc…
06-24 03:45:04	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd2e9b3…
06-24 03:44:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x77861c…
06-24 03:37:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d22a3…
06-24 03:31:43	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c4d2b…
06-23 02:47:59	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8b593c…
06-23 02:46:17	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x52613e…
06-23 02:30:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xff7101…
06-23 02:25:28	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x07b795…
06-22 03:04:25	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xee2ad0…
06-22 03:02:58	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44fd13…
06-22 02:45:32	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0a825c…
06-22 02:39:53	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48350f…
06-21 03:23:22	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0d88e7…
06-21 03:14:10	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe89dee…
06-18 02:59:32	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xceae3b…
06-18 02:57:10	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03369a…
06-18 02:46:34	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe5225d…
06-18 02:39:38	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6f962…
06-17 03:01:06	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x05122b…
06-17 02:52:21	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a385e…
06-17 02:49:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6a4293…
06-17 02:36:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa27d12…
06-16 02:45:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdedd31…
06-16 02:38:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffedc1…
06-16 02:24:21	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa38a48…
06-15 03:05:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70d29d…
06-15 02:43:06	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3fda9…
06-12 03:52:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4df764…
06-12 03:43:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb78735…
06-12 03:40:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6d084…
06-12 03:24:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1dc6b…
06-11 03:07:13	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x51366a…
06-11 03:05:30	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x20071e…
06-09 01:37:00	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x424aae…
06-09 01:36:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3af331…
06-09 01:23:00	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x64471b…
06-09 01:18:16	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xceaa72…
06-06 03:28:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe00909…
06-06 03:23:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4811d1…
06-06 03:18:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7709e9…
06-06 03:02:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1a331a…
06-04 02:41:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4c022c…
06-04 02:14:28	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf63450…
06-04 02:06:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54e58a…
06-02 02:10:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f99f1…
06-02 02:05:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e5804…
06-02 01:56:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5727fd…
06-01 02:58:27	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xfb4a12…
06-01 02:27:44	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc9c143…
05-30 02:31:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe8b0d6…
05-30 02:08:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfc492a…
05-29 02:09:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e69fb…
05-29 02:06:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x324685…
05-29 01:55:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd76c15…
05-29 01:49:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda1c52…
05-28 03:29:36	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1aefde…
05-28 03:19:51	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x38d413…
05-25 02:47:41	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd46d6b…
05-25 02:38:38	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e8e6e…
05-21 03:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55b2e0…